Valmiera / BSS vs Super Nova II: match statistics
Valmiera / BSS vs Super Nova II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Valmiera / BSS played against Super Nova II in 1. Liga (Latvia). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Vidzemes Olimpiskais centrs. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
Valmiera / BSS has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Super Nova II has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Valmiera / BSS scores 2.86 goals per game and allows 1.10. Super Nova II scores 1.33 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 3.72 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 76% of Valmiera / BSS's games and 67% of Super Nova II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 86% and 48%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 70% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Valmiera / BSS has the higher season xG average, 1.80 to 1.15 per game. Valmiera / BSS takes 12.4 shots per game, while Super Nova II takes 7.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Valmiera / BSS leads at halftime in 52% of its games and scores 1.90 goals per game after halftime. Super Nova II leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.57 after halftime.
When the teams score
Valmiera / BSS's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (16 goals). For Super Nova II, it is minutes 16-30 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
1. Liga games average 3.72 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 70% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Valmiera / BSS sit 2nd and have won 16 of their 21 matches this season, while ninth-placed Super Nova II have recorded 6 wins. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring 16 goals in that run; the visitors have failed to win any of their last 5 and have scored just 5 goals. At home, Valmiera average 2.78 goals and 8.78 shots on target per match, while Super Nova II average 1.45 goals and 4.6 shots on target away from home. Chance quality also favors the hosts: their home xG is 1.98, compared with the visitors’ away xG of 1.19, while Super Nova II concede chances worth an average xG of 1.91 on the road. However, Valmiera have conceded 9 goals in their last 5 matches, so despite their clear advantage, a win to nil is not a certainty.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The possibility of both teams scoring is supported by their season-to-date rates of matches in which both teams found the net: 82% for Super Nova II and 50% for Valmiera. In their last 5 matches, both teams scored in 100% of Valmiera’s games and 80% of Super Nova II’s, while each side conceded an average of 1.8 goals over that period. The visitors have not failed to score in any match this season, while Valmiera have recently averaged 3.2 goals per game against an opposition defense that has allowed chances worth 2.00 xG. The main risk to BTTS - Yes is that Valmiera have failed to score in 40% of their matches; however, their recent attacking form and the visitors’ season average of 1.73 goals conceded per game point towards the hosts getting on the scoresheet. Despite this caveat, it is more likely that both teams will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals: this line has been exceeded in 70% of Valmiera’s matches and 100% of Super Nova II’s matches. The hosts averaged 1.2 goals per game this season, but raised that average to 3.2 across their last five fixtures, while the visitors conceded 1.8 goals per game over the same period. Super Nova II average 1.45 goals per match and have scored in every game so far, increasing the likelihood of both teams finding the net. Although recent results also point towards a higher-scoring game, Over 2.5 goals has landed in only 50% of the hosts’ matches and 45% of the visitors’ matches this season, making the 1.5 line the clearer choice.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is Valmiera leading at the break and going on to win: the hosts have been ahead at half-time in 40% of their matches so far, scoring an average of 0.8 goals before the break, while the visitors have conceded 0.9. Their recent form over the last five matches supports them holding on to that lead: Valmiera have won three and averaged 3.2 goals, while Super Nova II have not won any and averaged 1.0 goal. The hosts have also won the second half in four of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.0 goals after the break, strengthening the case for a win after taking an early lead. Confidence in this prediction is tempered by the fact that the visitors have averaged 0.8 goals after half-time over the full season, so a draw at the break followed by a Valmiera win remains a significant alternative.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Valmiera / BSS | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Valmiera / BSS is 400% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Valmiera / BSS · 0.4 pts / game - Super Nova II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valmiera / BSS is 115% better for: goals scored per game.
2.86 goals / game - Valmiera / BSS · 1.33 goals / game - Super Nova II
Valmiera / BSS is 38% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.1 goals / game - Valmiera / BSS · 1.52 goals / game - Super Nova II
Valmiera / BSS scores in 95% of games (20 of 21 games), while Super Nova II keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 games).
Super Nova II scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 games), while Valmiera / BSS keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Valmiera / BSS
Over / Under - Super Nova II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valmiera / BSS is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.95 pts / game - Valmiera / BSS · 1.52 pts / game - Super Nova II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valmiera / BSS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 52% of games and wins 76%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Super Nova II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 29%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Valmiera / BSS
Super Nova II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Valmiera / BSS | Liga | Super Nova II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.95 | 3.72 | ▼ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 86% | 70% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 24% | 20% | • 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 77% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 90% | 83% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Valmiera / BSS's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Super Nova II. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Valmiera / BSS vs Super Nova II?
The 1. Liga match finished Valmiera / BSS 1:1 Super Nova II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Valmiera / BSS vs Super Nova II?
Valmiera / BSS score 2.86 goals per game on average and Super Nova II 1.33. The 1. Liga average is 3.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Valmiera / BSS's matches and 67% of Super Nova II's.
What form are Valmiera / BSS and Super Nova II in?
Over the last 5 games Valmiera / BSS have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Super Nova II 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valmiera / BSS vs Super Nova II?
The statistical background for Valmiera / BSS vs Super Nova II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.