Valur vs Keflavík: match statistics
Valur vs Keflavík: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Valur play Keflavík in Úrvalsdeild (Iceland). The match date is 21 June 2026 at 20:00. Venue: Origovöllurinn. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Valur: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Keflavík: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Valur scores 1.63 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Keflavík scores 1.36 and concedes 1.86. League average: 4.06 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Valur 69%, Keflavík 86%. Over 2.5: Valur 69%, Keflavík 64%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
xG, shots and style
Valur has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.63. Valur: 14.0 shots per match, Keflavík: 15.1.
Match halves
Valur: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69. Keflavík: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Valur: 0-15 (6 goals). Keflavík: 61-75 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Úrvalsdeild: 4.06 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Valur holds a slight home advantage: at home they score 1.83 goals per match and record xG 1.66, while Keflavík average 1.8 goals away with xG 1.49. Both teams have weak defenses — Valur concedes 2.33 goals at home on average (xG against 2.28), and Keflavík concede 2.8 goals away (xG against 1.79), which points to a high-scoring game. In the last five matches Valur scored 6 goals and average 1.2 points per game (2 wins, 3 losses), while Keflavík scored 7 goals and average 1.4 points per game (2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses), so the visitors are marginally better in form. Valur, however, sit higher in the table (6th vs 8th) and have a higher home win rate (50% vs Keflavík’s 40% away wins), as well as a greater share of clean sheets at home (17% vs 0%), providing organizational advantage. Considering similar efficiency metrics (conversion 13% vs 14% and average shots on target 4.67 vs 4.8) and both teams’ vulnerability to conceding, I project a Valur win, but expect an open match with several goals.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Valur | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Keflavík is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Valur · 1 pts / match - Keflavík
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Valur is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Valur · 1.36 goals / match - Keflavík
Keflavík is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
2 goals / match - Valur · 1.86 goals / match - Keflavík
Valur scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Keflavík keeps a clean sheet in 14% (2 of 14 matches).
Keflavík scores in 93% of matches (13 of 14 matches), while Valur keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Valur
Over / Under — Keflavík
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Valur is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Valur · 1.21 pts / match - Keflavík
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Valur - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Keflavík - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Valur
Keflavík
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Úrvalsdeild).
Teams vs league
| Valur | Liga | Keflavík | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.63 | 4.06 | ▼ 3.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 69% | 73% | ▼ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 13% | 13% | • 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 88% | 83% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 81% | 89% | ▼ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Valur vs Keflavík?
The Úrvalsdeild match finished Valur 1:1 Keflavík. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Valur vs Keflavík?
Valur score 1.63 goals per game on average and Keflavík 1.36. The Úrvalsdeild average is 4.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Valur's matches and 86% of Keflavík's.
What form are Valur and Keflavík in?
Over the last 5 games Valur have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Keflavík 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Valur vs Keflavík?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.