Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb: match statistics
Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite for this meeting, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The visiting team presents a significant advantage in away matches, where they win 55% of games, scoring an average of 1.82 goals while conceding just 0.82, resulting in a positive goal difference of +11. Varaždin, despite decent home form (50% wins), lags in quality, which is visible in possession (48% vs 55%) and the xG coefficient (1.62 vs 1.86). Dinamo also maintains 55% clean sheets on the road, evidencing a solid defense. The recent form of both teams is somewhat variable, but the class and statistical advantage of the league champion speak for a victory for the visitors. The difference in league position (1st place vs 4th place) and Dinamo Zagreb's overall effectiveness (48 goals in the season) further support the prediction of a win for the away team.
Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Varaždin played against Dinamo Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on February 22, 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Recent form
Varaždin has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Dinamo Zagreb has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Varaždin scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.36. Dinamo Zagreb scores 2.18 and allows 0.77. Games in this league average 2.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 64% of Varaždin's games and 50% of Dinamo Zagreb's. The Over 2.5 rates are 55% and 64%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Dinamo Zagreb has the higher season xG average, 1.98 to 1.42 per game. Varaždin takes 12.2 shots per game, while Dinamo Zagreb takes 16.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Varaždin leads at halftime in 27% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Dinamo Zagreb leads at halftime in 68% and scores 1.14 after halftime.
When the teams score
Varaždin's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Dinamo Zagreb, it is minutes 76-90+ (14 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Prva HNL games average 2.70 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dinamo Zagreb is the clear favorite for this meeting, occupying first place in the table with an impressive record of 15 wins this season. The visiting team presents a significant advantage in away matches, where they win 55% of games, scoring an average of 1.82 goals while conceding just 0.82, resulting in a positive goal difference of +11. Varaždin, despite decent home form (50% wins), lags in quality, which is visible in possession (48% vs 55%) and the xG coefficient (1.62 vs 1.86). Dinamo also maintains 55% clean sheets on the road, evidencing a solid defense. The recent form of both teams is somewhat variable, but the class and statistical advantage of the league champion speak for a victory for the visitors. The difference in league position (1st place vs 4th place) and Dinamo Zagreb's overall effectiveness (48 goals in the season) further support the prediction of a win for the away team.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Varaždin | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Dinamo Zagreb is 44% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Varaždin · 2.6 pts / game - Dinamo Zagreb
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Dinamo Zagreb is 65% better for: goals scored per game.
1.32 goals / game - Varaždin · 2.18 goals / game - Dinamo Zagreb
Dinamo Zagreb is 77% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.36 goals / game - Varaždin · 0.77 goals / game - Dinamo Zagreb
Varaždin scores in 77% of games (17 of 22 meczów), while Dinamo Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 meczów).
Dinamo Zagreb scores in 91% of games (20 of 22 meczów), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Varaždin
Over / Under - Dinamo Zagreb
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Dinamo Zagreb is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / game - Varaždin · 2.23 pts / game - Dinamo Zagreb
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Varaždin - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 27% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Dinamo Zagreb - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 68% of games and wins 68%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Varaždin
Dinamo Zagreb
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).
Teams vs league
| Varaždin | Liga | Dinamo Zagreb | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.68 | 2.70 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 55% | 53% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | • 23% | 24% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 77% | 81% | • 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 73% | 81% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Varaždin's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Dinamo Zagreb. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 0:4 Dinamo Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Varaždin and Dinamo Zagreb?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Varaždin won 0, Dinamo Zagreb won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
Varaždin score 1.32 goals per game on average and Dinamo Zagreb 2.18. The Prva HNL average is 2.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Varaždin's matches and 50% of Dinamo Zagreb's.
What form are Varaždin and Dinamo Zagreb in?
Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Dinamo Zagreb 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb?
The statistical background for Varaždin vs Dinamo Zagreb — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.