Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Varaždin played against Lokomotiva Zagreb in Prva HNL (Croatia). The game was played on December 7, 2025. Final score: 4:2.

Recent form

Varaždin has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Lokomotiva Zagreb has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Varaždin scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.20. Lokomotiva Zagreb scores 1.13 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 60% of Varaždin's games and 80% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's. The Over 2.5 rates are 47% and 40%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Lokomotiva Zagreb has the higher season xG average, 1.52 to 1.37 per game. Varaždin takes 12.1 shots per game, while Lokomotiva Zagreb takes 12.3.

First-half and second-half trends

Varaždin leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.40 goals per game after halftime. Lokomotiva Zagreb leads at halftime in 40% and scores 0.60 after halftime.

When the teams score

Varaždin's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (4 goals). For Lokomotiva Zagreb, it is minutes 0-15 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Prva HNL games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Stats by half

0 : 2
First half
4 : 0
Second half

Game stats

41Possession (%)59
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
10Shots7
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
5Shots on target4
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
1.35xG1.16
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
4Corners4
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
50Dangerous attacks59
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
16Fouls14
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
4Cards3
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
1.13Goals scored / game1.13
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
1.2Goals allowed / game1.4
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
45%Average possession53%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
3.4Shots on target / game4
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.13Shots per game12.33
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
3.4Shots on target4
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
9.3%Shot conversion9.2%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
45%Possession53%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
1.37xG for1.52
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
1.63xG against1.37
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

Shooting quality

Varaždin: BalancedLokomotiva Zagreb: Balanced
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
Accuracy (shots on target)28%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Varaždin is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / game - Varaždin · 0.6 pts / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb

Varaždin
LDWLD
Season result split
33% W33% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-5
1.33 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-3-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.87BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Lokomotiva Zagreb
LLDDD
No win in the last 5 games
Season result split
27% W47% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-4
1.27 pts / game · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-2
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DLDLD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 1.89Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Varaždin is 17% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.2 goals / game - Varaždin · 1.4 goals / game - Lokomotiva Zagreb

Varaždin scoring profile: very strong

Varaždin scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Lokomotiva Zagreb keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).

Lokomotiva Zagreb scoring profile: very strong

Lokomotiva Zagreb scores in 93% of games (14 of 15 meczów), while Varaždin keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 meczów).

17Goals scored (season)17
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
18Goals conceded (season)21
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
2.33Average goals per game2.53
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
4Goals scored (last 5)5
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
7Goals conceded (last 5)9
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal93%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
33%2 goals20%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
7%3 goals0%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
0%4 goals0%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal87%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
27%2 goals33%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
20%3 goals13%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
0%4 goals7%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

80%
Lokomotiva Zagreb - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 15 meczów
62%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time13%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
13%Scored in both halves20%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

BTTS and goal count

47%Min. 3 goals and BTTS40%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
60%BTTS - last 5100%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time87%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time13%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time93%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Varaždin - half-time state
33% leading40% draw27% trailing
Lokomotiva Zagreb - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per game (1st half)1.4
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.53
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.13
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
53%Clean sheet before half-time53%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
47%No goal before half-time47%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per game (2nd half)1.27
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0.6
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
0.6Goals conceded (2nd half)0.8
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
1Average goals (2nd half)1.4
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
47%Clean sheet after half-time40%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb
67%No goal after half-time40%
VaraždinLokomotiva Zagreb

Varaždin - second-half results

20% W47% D33% L
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Lokomotiva Zagreb - second-half results

33% W27% D40% L
21
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
19
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding68%

Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 27%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Varaždin - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.400.60
Goals scored / game0.60.2
Goals allowed / game0.80.6
Average goals per game1.40.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Lokomotiva Zagreb - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.20
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game1.20.6
Average goals per game1.81.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Varaždin
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
3
4
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
4
46-60
2
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Lokomotiva Zagreb
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
5
31-45
1
3
46-60
5
1
61-75
3
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.43
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.3 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
70%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-59%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Varaždin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.43
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

Lokomotiva Zagreb

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.42
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.67
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prva HNL).

Teams vs league

VaraždinLigaLokomotiva Zagreb
Average goals per game 2.332.62 2.53
Both teams scored 60%62% 80%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 47%51% 40%
Clean sheets 27%22% 13%
Goal before half-time 73%78% 87%
Goal after half-time 67%82% 93%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.62
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
51%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / game
1.09
Away goals / game
+40%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defensive advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Lokomotiva ZagrebGoalAleks Stojaković
  2. Lokomotiva ZagrebGoalMarko Pajač
  3. VaraždinYellow cardMario Marina
  4. Lokomotiva ZagrebSubstitutionOn: Luka DajčerOff: Marko Pajač
  5. Lokomotiva ZagrebYellow cardIvan Katić
  6. Lokomotiva ZagrebSubstitutionOn: Matija SuboticOff: Mirko Šušak
  7. VaraždinGoalMateo BaraćAssist: Antonio Boršić
  8. Lokomotiva ZagrebYellow cardBlaž Bošković
  9. VaraždinYellow cardLamine Ba
  10. VaraždinSubstitutionOn: Roberto PunčecOff: Mateo Barać
  11. Lokomotiva ZagrebYellow cardJosip Posavec
  12. VaraždinSubstitutionOn: Ivan MamutOff: Aleksa Latković
  13. VaraždinGoalIvan Mamut
  14. VaraždinYellow cardIvan Mamut
  15. VaraždinGoalLuka MamićAssist: Ivan Mamut
  16. Lokomotiva ZagrebSubstitutionOn: Jakov-Anton VasiljOff: Blaž Bošković
  17. VaraždinYellow cardTomislav Duvnjak

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Mateo ErcegMatches officiated: 20
4.9Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 240%Home wins15%Draws45%Away wins

Head-to-head

Record from Varaždin's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Lokomotiva Zagreb. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1 : 0
NK Varaždin

FAQ

What was the result of Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

The Prva HNL match finished Varaždin 4:2 Lokomotiva Zagreb. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

Varaždin score 1.13 goals per game on average and Lokomotiva Zagreb 1.13. The Prva HNL average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Varaždin's matches and 80% of Lokomotiva Zagreb's.

What form are Varaždin and Lokomotiva Zagreb in?

Over the last 5 games Varaždin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Lokomotiva Zagreb 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varaždin vs Lokomotiva Zagreb?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.