Várda SE vs Debrecen: match statistics
Várda SE vs Debrecen: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Várda SE played against Debrecen in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on April 13, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Várda SE has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Debrecen has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Várda SE scores 1.18 goals per game and allows 1.50. Debrecen scores 1.46 and allows 1.21. Games in this league average 2.98 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 46% of Várda SE's games and 57% of Debrecen's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 54%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 59% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Debrecen has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.28 per game. Várda SE takes 10.8 shots per game, while Debrecen takes 13.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Várda SE leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Debrecen leads at halftime in 25% and scores 0.93 after halftime.
When the teams score
Várda SE's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (8 goals). For Debrecen, it is minutes 46-60 (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 2.98 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 59% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Debrecen holds a clear advantage in season-long metrics and league position: 4th vs 7th for Várda, and 41 goals this season compared to the hosts' 33. Away from home Debrecen averages 1.57 goals per match with a positive goal difference of +7, while Várda at home scores 1.43 goals and has a home goal difference of +2. Defensively Debrecen concedes 1.07 goals away, better than Várda at home (1.29), but their away xG against is 1.64 versus Várda’s home xG against of 1.37, indicating the visitors allow more high-quality chances despite conceding fewer goals in practice. Offensive metrics are balanced: Várda at home averages 12.0 shots per game with 4.14 on target, and Debrecen away 12.14 shots with 4.21 on target; conversion rates are 12% for Várda and 13% for Debrecen, and the visitors scoreless rate is lower (14% vs 21%). Considering the higher goal tally (41 vs 33), superior away goal difference (+7 vs +2) and lower share of matches without a goal, I forecast an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a season BTTS rate of 57% and 60% respectively, and 57%/60% in their last 5 matches, while the league average is 61%, which strongly favors a both-teams-to-score scenario. Debrecen scores on average 1.57 goals per match (41 goals this season) with xG_for 1.47, whereas Várda averages 1.36 goals scored and concedes 1.36 per match this season (33 scored, 42 conceded) with xG_against 1.53, so the visitors have realistic chances to find the net. Várda generates xG_for 1.74 from 15.64 shots and 4.93 on target, while Debrecen shows a higher finishing rate of 13% on 12.14 attempts, suggesting both teams will create and convert opportunities. Additionally, Várda has only a 14% clean sheet rate versus Debrecen’s 36%, and both sides concede on average 1.36 and 1.07 goals per game respectively, making a shutout unlikely. Considering these figures I assess BTTS probability at 72% vs 28% and recommend a 'BTTS - Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
For the forecast I used a combination of seasonal xG and form from the last five matches: Várda has an offensive xG of 1.74 versus Debrecen’s allowed xG of 1.64, yielding about 1.69 expected goals for the home side; Debrecen has an offensive xG of 1.47 versus Várda’s allowed xG of 1.53, yielding about 1.50 for the visitors. Averaging these values with form over the last 5 matches (Várda average xG 1.18, Debrecen 1.72, and opponent xG allowed 1.55 and 1.34 respectively) produces a forecast of 1.48 goals for Várda and 1.56 for Debrecen, totaling ~3.04 goals. Seasonal stats confirm a tendency toward goals: Over 1.5 occurs for Várda in 71% of matches and for Debrecen in 79%, while Over 2.5 occurs in 50% and 57% of matches respectively. A Poisson model on the combined mean of 3.04 yields roughly an 81% chance for Over 1.5, about 59% for Over 2.5 and about 36% for Over 3.5, indicating Over 1.5 is the strongest signal. Additionally both teams have BTTS in 57% of matches and very high Over 0.5 shares (Várda 100%, Debrecen 93%), which reinforces the expectation of at least two goals and justifies selecting Over 1.5 as the primary bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back a Half-Time draw with Debrecen winning Full-Time (X/2). A draw at the break is common: Várda were level at half-time in 8 matches (57%), Debrecen in 6 (43%); Várda led at the break only 3 times (21%) and the visitors 4 times (29%). Debrecen clearly dominate after the break: second-half goal difference is +7 for the visitors versus -2 for Várda, the visitors collected 28 points in second halves against the hosts’ 17, and they win the second half in 56% of cases versus 28% for Várda. Seasonal stats confirm the visitors’ edge: Debrecen average 1.57 goals scored and concede 1.07 (difference +0.50), whereas Várda average 1.36 scored and 1.36 conceded (difference 0.00); shot conversion is 13% for Debrecen versus 9% for the hosts. The first half should be low scoring — Várda average 0.50 goals at half-time, Debrecen 0.57, and both-teams-to-score by half is rare (7% for the hosts, 21% for the visitors); therefore an HT draw with a turnaround after the break is the most likely scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | Debrecen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Várda SE is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Várda SE · 1.2 pts / game - Debrecen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Debrecen is 24% better for: goals scored per game.
1.18 goals / game - Várda SE · 1.46 goals / game - Debrecen
Debrecen is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Várda SE · 1.21 goals / game - Debrecen
Várda SE scores in 71% of games (20 of 28 meczów), while Debrecen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 meczów).
Debrecen scores in 79% of games (22 of 28 meczów), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 29% (8 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - Debrecen
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Debrecen is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Várda SE · 1.25 pts / game - Debrecen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Debrecen - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Várda SE
Debrecen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | Debrecen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.68 | 2.98 | ▼ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 46% | 59% | ▼ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 79% | 88% | • 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Várda SE's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Debrecen. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs Debrecen?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 0:0 Debrecen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Debrecen?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 1, Debrecen won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Debrecen?
Várda SE score 1.18 goals per game on average and Debrecen 1.46. The NB I average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Várda SE's matches and 57% of Debrecen's.
What form are Várda SE and Debrecen in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Debrecen 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Debrecen?
The statistical background for Várda SE vs Debrecen — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.