Hungary - NB IVárkert SportpályaData current as of October 15, 2026

Várda SE vs Ferencváros: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Várda SE vs Ferencváros: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Várda SE plays Ferencváros in NB I (Hungary). The game is scheduled for October 18, 2026. Venue: Várkert Sportpálya.

Recent form

Várda SE has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ferencváros has 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Várda SE scores 1.11 goals per game and allows 1.22. Ferencváros scores 1.50 and allows 1.13. Games in this league average 3.19 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 67% of Várda SE's games and 63% of Ferencváros's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 50%, compared with league averages of 66% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Ferencváros has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.28 per game. Várda SE takes 10.6 shots per game, while Ferencváros takes 12.0.

First-half and second-half trends

Várda SE leads at halftime in 11% of its games and scores 0.78 goals per game after halftime. Ferencváros leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.75 after halftime.

When the teams score

Várda SE's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (3 goals). For Ferencváros, it is minutes 61-75 (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

NB I games average 3.19 goals. Both teams score in 66% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 3 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(5.68)
(4.25)
(1.44)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Várda SEFerencváros
1.11Goals scored / game1.5
Várda SEFerencváros
1.22Goals allowed / game1.13
Várda SEFerencváros
43%Average possession57%
Várda SEFerencváros
3.33Shots on target / game4.88
Várda SEFerencváros

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

10.56Shots per game12
Várda SEFerencváros
3.33Shots on target4.88
Várda SEFerencváros
10.5%Shot conversion12.5%
Várda SEFerencváros
43%Possession57%
Várda SEFerencváros
1.28xG for1.6
Várda SEFerencváros
1.76xG against1.27
Várda SEFerencváros

Shooting quality

Várda SE: BalancedFerencváros: Balanced
Várda SEFerencváros
Accuracy (shots on target)32%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Ferencváros is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Várda SE · 1.8 pts / game - Ferencváros

Várda SE
DDWLD
Season result split
22% W44% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-3
1.11 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-3-2
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DLDDL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.63BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Ferencváros
WWDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
38% W50% D13% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-1
1.63 pts / game · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-3-0
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 away
3-1-1
LWWWD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.75Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ferencváros is 35% better for: goals scored per game.

1.11 goals / game - Várda SE · 1.5 goals / game - Ferencváros

Ferencváros is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.22 goals / game - Várda SE · 1.13 goals / game - Ferencváros

Várda SE scoring profile: strong

Várda SE scores in 78% of games (7 of 9 games), while Ferencváros keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 games).

Ferencváros scoring profile: very strong

Ferencváros scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 games).

10Goals scored (season)12
Várda SEFerencváros
11Goals conceded (season)9
Várda SEFerencváros
2.33Average goals per game2.63
Várda SEFerencváros
4Goals scored (last 5)9
Várda SEFerencváros
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
Várda SEFerencváros

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal88%
Várda SEFerencváros
33%2 goals50%
Várda SEFerencváros
0%3 goals13%
Várda SEFerencváros
0%4 goals0%
Várda SEFerencváros

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal63%
Várda SEFerencváros
22%2 goals25%
Várda SEFerencváros
11%3 goals13%
Várda SEFerencváros
11%4 goals13%
Várda SEFerencváros

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

22%BTTS at half-time25%
Várda SEFerencváros
11%BTTS in both halves0%
Várda SEFerencváros
22%Scored in both halves13%
Várda SEFerencváros

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
Várda SEFerencváros
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS13%
Várda SEFerencváros
60%BTTS - last 580%
Várda SEFerencváros

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

44%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Várda SEFerencváros
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
Várda SEFerencváros
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time25%
Várda SEFerencváros

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Várda SEFerencváros
56%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Várda SEFerencváros
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Várda SEFerencváros

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ferencváros is 63% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Várda SE · 1.63 pts / game - Ferencváros

Várda SE - half-time state
11% leading67% draw22% trailing
Ferencváros - half-time state
38% leading50% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.63
Várda SEFerencváros
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.75
Várda SEFerencváros
0.44Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Várda SEFerencváros
0.78Average goals (1st half)1.25
Várda SEFerencváros
67%Clean sheet before half-time63%
Várda SEFerencváros
67%No goal before half-time50%
Várda SEFerencváros

After half-time (2nd half)

1.22Points per game (2nd half)1.5
Várda SEFerencváros
0.78Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Várda SEFerencváros
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.63
Várda SEFerencváros
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.38
Várda SEFerencváros
33%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Várda SEFerencváros
33%No goal after half-time50%
Várda SEFerencváros

Várda SE - second-half results

22% W56% D22% L
9
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at halftime in 11% of games and wins 22%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.3

Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Ferencváros - second-half results

38% W38% D25% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Várda SE - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.001.20
Goals scored / game0.20.6
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.41.2
1 goal20%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Ferencváros - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.602.00
Goals scored / game0.61.2
Goals allowed / game0.40.6
Average goals per game1.01.8
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Várda SE
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
1
16-30
1
2
31-45
2
0
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Ferencváros
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
2
31-45
2
4
46-60
4
0
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.48
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
78%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Várda SE

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.48
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.54
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

Ferencváros

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).

Teams vs league

Várda SELigaFerencváros
Average goals per game▼ 2.333.19▼ 2.63
Both teams scored• 67%66%▼ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%60%▼ 50%
Clean sheets▲ 22%19%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▼ 44%68%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time▼ 78%81%▼ 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per game
66%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
19%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / game
1.38
Away goals / game
+31%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
62%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Várda SE's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses against Ferencváros. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 33% of them.

FAQ

When do Várda SE and Ferencváros play?

Várda SE face Ferencváros on October 18, 2026 in NB I at Várkert Sportpálya. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Ferencváros?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 0, Ferencváros won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Ferencváros?

Várda SE score 1.11 goals per game on average and Ferencváros 1.50. The NB I average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Várda SE's matches and 63% of Ferencváros's.

What form are Várda SE and Ferencváros in?

Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ferencváros 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Ferencváros?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Várda SE vs Ferencváros: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.