Várda SE vs MTK: match statistics
Várda SE demonstrates significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, whereas MTK displays a disastrous away disposition with only 11% wins and a negative balance of -14 goals. The visitors have not kept a single clean sheet on the road and have lost 67% of their matches, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game. The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts - Várda earned 1.4 points per game, while MTK managed only 0.2 points, currently enduring a catastrophic streak of four consecutive defeats. xG statistics show that MTK creates more chances than they convert (1.55 xG vs 0.78 actual goals), suggesting finishing issues. Considering all these factors, especially the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' dismal away form, Várda SE has a clear edge to secure three points.
Várda SE vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Várda SE played against MTK in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on January 24, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Várda SE has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. MTK has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses, with 0.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Várda SE scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.61. MTK scores 1.83 and allows 2.06. Games in this league average 3.06 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Várda SE's games and 61% of MTK's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 72%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
MTK has the higher season xG average, 1.60 to 1.30 per game. Várda SE takes 11.0 shots per game, while MTK takes 13.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Várda SE leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. MTK leads at halftime in 28% and scores 1.11 after halftime.
When the teams score
Várda SE's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For MTK, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 3.06 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Várda SE demonstrates significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium, whereas MTK displays a disastrous away disposition with only 11% wins and a negative balance of -14 goals. The visitors have not kept a single clean sheet on the road and have lost 67% of their matches, conceding an average of 2.33 goals per game. The form of the last five matches also favors the hosts - Várda earned 1.4 points per game, while MTK managed only 0.2 points, currently enduring a catastrophic streak of four consecutive defeats. xG statistics show that MTK creates more chances than they convert (1.55 xG vs 0.78 actual goals), suggesting finishing issues. Considering all these factors, especially the hosts' home advantage and the visitors' dismal away form, Várda SE has a clear edge to secure three points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | MTK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Várda SE is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Várda SE · 0.2 pts / game - MTK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 50% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Várda SE · 1.83 goals / game - MTK
Várda SE is 28% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.61 goals / game - Várda SE · 2.06 goals / game - MTK
Várda SE scores in 67% of games (12 of 18 meczów), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 meczów).
MTK scores in 83% of games (15 of 18 meczów), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - MTK
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Várda SE is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Várda SE · 1 pts / game - MTK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
MTK - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 28% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -8 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Várda SE
MTK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | MTK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.83 | 3.06 | ▲ 3.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 61% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 22% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 88% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Várda SE's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against MTK. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs MTK?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 2:3 MTK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs MTK?
Várda SE score 1.22 goals per game on average and MTK 1.83. The NB I average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Várda SE's matches and 61% of MTK's.
What form are Várda SE and MTK in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and MTK 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs MTK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Várda SE vs MTK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.