Várda SE vs Paksi SE: match statistics
Paksi SE seems to be the favorite for this meeting despite a current bad streak of five consecutive losses. The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (4th place vs 7th place) and have a significantly better goal difference in away matches (+6 goal difference). Várda SE has gained just 1 point in the last five matches, winning only once, which indicates poor form for the hosts. Paksi SE presents better offensive statistics on the road (averaging 1.64 goals per match vs 1.45 for the hosts at home) and a higher xG coefficient (1.86 vs 1.43), suggesting greater efficiency in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Although Paksi is going through a crisis, their overall quality and seasonal statistics speak for a victory for the visitors, especially considering a 45% win rate on the road compared to the same indicator for the hosts at home, but with better remaining parameters.
Várda SE vs Paksi SE: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Várda SE played against Paksi SE in NB I (Hungary). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Várda SE has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.00 points per game. Paksi SE has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Várda SE scores 1.22 goals per game and allows 1.57. Paksi SE scores 1.96 and allows 1.52. Games in this league average 3.04 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Várda SE's games and 74% of Paksi SE's. The Over 2.5 rates are 48% and 70%, compared with league averages of 61% for BTTS and 60% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Paksi SE has the higher season xG average, 2.09 to 1.30 per game. Várda SE takes 11.1 shots per game, while Paksi SE takes 17.0.
First-half and second-half trends
Várda SE leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.61 goals per game after halftime. Paksi SE leads at halftime in 22% and scores 1.22 after halftime.
When the teams score
Várda SE's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (6 goals). For Paksi SE, it is minutes 76-90+ (15 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
NB I games average 3.04 goals. Both teams score in 61% of games, and 60% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 2 away wins. Those games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paksi SE seems to be the favorite for this meeting despite a current bad streak of five consecutive losses. The visitors occupy a higher position in the table (4th place vs 7th place) and have a significantly better goal difference in away matches (+6 goal difference). Várda SE has gained just 1 point in the last five matches, winning only once, which indicates poor form for the hosts. Paksi SE presents better offensive statistics on the road (averaging 1.64 goals per match vs 1.45 for the hosts at home) and a higher xG coefficient (1.86 vs 1.43), suggesting greater efficiency in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Although Paksi is going through a crisis, their overall quality and seasonal statistics speak for a victory for the visitors, especially considering a 45% win rate on the road compared to the same indicator for the hosts at home, but with better remaining parameters.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Várda SE | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Várda SE is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / game - Várda SE · 0.6 pts / game - Paksi SE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paksi SE is 61% better for: goals scored per game.
1.22 goals / game - Várda SE · 1.96 goals / game - Paksi SE
Várda SE scores in 70% of games (16 of 23 meczów), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 meczów).
Paksi SE scores in 83% of games (19 of 23 meczów), while Várda SE keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Várda SE
Over / Under - Paksi SE
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Paksi SE is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / game - Várda SE · 1.3 pts / game - Paksi SE
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Várda SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.5 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Várda SE
Paksi SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Várda SE | Liga | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.78 | 3.04 | ▲ 3.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 61% | ▲ 74% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 48% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 21% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 88% | ▲ 96% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Várda SE's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses against Paksi SE. Games average 7.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Várda SE vs Paksi SE?
The NB I match finished Várda SE 2:1 Paksi SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Várda SE and Paksi SE?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Várda SE won 0, Paksi SE won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 7.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Várda SE vs Paksi SE?
Várda SE score 1.22 goals per game on average and Paksi SE 1.96. The NB I average is 3.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Várda SE's matches and 74% of Paksi SE's.
What form are Várda SE and Paksi SE in?
Over the last 5 games Várda SE have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Paksi SE 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Várda SE vs Paksi SE?
The statistical background for Várda SE vs Paksi SE — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.