Portugal - Liga 3Data current as of September 13, 2026

Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: match statistics

150%(2.53)
X28%(3.20)
222%(2.43)

Varzim presents impressive home form with 55% wins and only 9% losses on their own ground, giving them a clear psychological advantage. The hosts additionally have a better goal difference at home (+11 goal difference) and higher shooting efficiency (15% vs 16% for visitors, but with more attempts - 11.18 shots/match). Académica Coimbra performs much worse on the road, winning only 20% of matches and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, which, combined with a poor 10% clean sheet rate, signals defensive problems. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.8 pts/match each), but Varzim shows great disposition in their last five home matches with a 'wdddwdwlwww' streak. Taking all factors into account, the hosts' advantage is clear, although Académica's experience and decent possession (52%) could make the match competitive, hence a moderate probability of a Varzim victory.

Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Varzim played against Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on March 7, 2026. Final score: 0:1.

Recent form

Varzim has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.

Scoring records

Varzim scores 1.36 goals per game and allows 1.00. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores 1.67 and allows 1.05. Games in this league average 2.20 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 50% of Varzim's games and 57% of Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF's. The Over 2.5 rates are 45% and 38%, compared with league averages of 47% for BTTS and 38% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF has the higher season xG average, 1.35 to 1.25 per game. Varzim takes 9.3 shots per game, while Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF takes 9.7.

First-half and second-half trends

Varzim leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.68 goals per game after halftime. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.90 after halftime.

When the teams score

Varzim's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF, it is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Liga 3 games average 2.20 goals. Both teams score in 47% of games, and 38% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Varzim presents impressive home form with 55% wins and only 9% losses on their own ground, giving them a clear psychological advantage. The hosts additionally have a better goal difference at home (+11 goal difference) and higher shooting efficiency (15% vs 16% for visitors, but with more attempts - 11.18 shots/match). Académica Coimbra performs much worse on the road, winning only 20% of matches and conceding an average of 1.4 goals per match, which, combined with a poor 10% clean sheet rate, signals defensive problems. Recent form for both teams is similar (1.8 pts/match each), but Varzim shows great disposition in their last five home matches with a 'wdddwdwlwww' streak. Taking all factors into account, the hosts' advantage is clear, although Académica's experience and decent possession (52%) could make the match competitive, hence a moderate probability of a Varzim victory.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

0 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

57Possession (%)43
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
15Shots7
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
3Shots on target2
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.45xG0.86
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
7Corners2
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
40Dangerous attacks37
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
-1Fouls-1
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1Cards2
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.36Goals scored / game1.67
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1Goals allowed / game1.05
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
47%Average possession53%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
3.73Shots on target / game4.29
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

9.32Shots per game9.67
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
3.73Shots on target4.29
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
14.6%Shot conversion17.2%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
47%Possession53%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.25xG for1.35
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.32xG against1.07
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Shooting quality

Varzim: Counter-attackingAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF: Efficient finishing
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Accuracy (shots on target)40%44%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Varzim
WWLWL
Season result split
41% W32% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-6
1.55 pts / game · goal difference +8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
WLWLW
Season result split
43% W33% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-7-5
1.62 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-4-4
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DWDLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.20Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF is 23% better for: goals scored per game.

1.36 goals / game - Varzim · 1.67 goals / game - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Varzim is 5% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - Varzim · 1.05 goals / game - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Varzim scoring profile: strong

Varzim scores in 68% of games (15 of 22 meczów), while Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scoring profile: very strong

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 meczów).

30Goals scored (season)35
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
22Goals conceded (season)22
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
2.36Average goals per game2.71
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
7Goals scored (last 5)8
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
6Goals conceded (last 5)5
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

How often they score at least...

68%1 goal81%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
45%2 goals48%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
18%3 goals29%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
5%4 goals10%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal71%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
18%2 goals19%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
9%3 goals14%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0%4 goals0%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

57%
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 21 meczów
47%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time33%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
5%BTTS in both halves14%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
32%Scored in both halves43%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
40%BTTS - last 540%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

Full game - team comparison (Over)

VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time24%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
9%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Varzim is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.45 pts / game - Varzim · 1.33 pts / game - Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Varzim - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - half-time state
29% leading48% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.45Points per game (1st half)1.33
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.68Goals scored (1st half)0.76
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.45Goals conceded (1st half)0.62
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.38
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
59%Clean sheet before half-time52%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
55%No goal before half-time48%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per game (2nd half)1.81
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.68Goals scored (2nd half)0.9
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
0.55Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
1.23Average goals (2nd half)1.33
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
50%Clean sheet after half-time57%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
45%No goal after half-time29%
VarzimAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Varzim - second-half results

32% W45% D23% L
32
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - second-half results

48% W38% D14% L
28
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+10
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Varzim - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game2.001.00
Goals scored / game1.00.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.6
Average goals per game1.61.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+2-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.401.80
Goals scored / game0.80.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.41.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Varzim
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
4
1
16-30
7
6
31-45
2
6
46-60
5
4
61-75
8
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
2
7
16-30
8
3
31-45
7
1
46-60
6
3
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.54
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
115%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
54%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Varzim

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.07
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
111%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
170%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
86%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

VarzimLigaAssociação Académica de Coimbra OAF
Average goals per game 2.362.20 2.71
Both teams scored 50%47% 57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 45%38% 38%
Clean sheets 27%32% 29%
Goal before half-time 73%65% 67%
Goal after half-time 77%73% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.20
Average goals per game
47%
Both teams scored
38%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.22
Home goals / game
0.98
Away goals / game
+24%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defensive advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
65%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFYellow cardAntónio Luís Cavaco Silva Sá Montez
  2. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Jean Carlos Sinisterra AnguloOff: António Luís Cavaco Silva Sá Montez
  3. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: António Manuel Pereira XavierOff: Jean Carlos Sinisterra Angulo
  4. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFGoalEdson Rodrigues Farias
  5. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFYellow cardCarlos Reinaldo Moreira Alves
  6. VarzimSubstitutionOn: Jefer GunjoOff: Ángel Antonio Gomes Arevalo
  7. Associação Académica de Coimbra OAFSubstitutionOn: Marco João Costa BaixinhoOff: Beni Yvan Roy Loussakou Souza

FAQ

What was the result of Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?

The Liga 3 match finished Varzim 0:1 Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?

Varzim score 1.36 goals per game on average and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 1.67. The Liga 3 average is 2.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Varzim's matches and 57% of Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF's.

What form are Varzim and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF in?

Over the last 5 games Varzim have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Varzim vs Associação Académica de Coimbra OAF?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.