Vasas vs Nyíregyháza Spartacus: match statistics

Vasas have a clear home advantage: they score an average of 2.33 goals per match at home, while Nyíregyháza Spartacus manage just 0.33 goals away from home. The visitors have lost all 3 of their away matches so far, conceding an average of 2.33 goals, with an away goal difference of -6. The hosts are also significantly more clinical, converting 18% of their shots compared with just 3% for their opponents, while averaging 6.33 shots on target per match against the visitors’ 5. Although the teams’ xG figures are similar—1.63 for Vasas versus 1.53 for Nyíregyháza—the visitors have failed to score in 67% of their away matches and have kept no clean sheets. Recent form over the last five matches also favors Vasas, who have averaged 1.4 points per match, compared with just 0.8 for the visitors.

Vasas has very strong arguments for scoring: the hosts average 1.67 goals, create 1.86 xG, while Nyíregyháza concede as many as 2.33 goals per match and have not kept a single clean sheet. However, the main obstacle to BTTS - Yes is the visitors’ attack, as they score only 0.33 goals per game in the competition and have failed to score in 67% of their matches. In their last five appearances, Nyíregyháza improved their xG figure to 1.86, but this translated into just 0.8 goals on average. Combined with a shot conversion rate of 3%, this points to a major finishing problem. Vasas have also failed to keep a clean sheet this season, but their defense allows opponents only 0.97 xG, while the hosts concede 1.0 goal on average. Therefore, the scenario of Vasas scoring while the visitors remain goalless is slightly more likely than both teams finding the net, making BTTS - No the marginally stronger selection.

Vasas has clear scoring potential: they average 1.67 goals at home, generate 1.86 xG, and record 6.67 shots on target per match. Nyíregyháza’s away defense concedes an average of 2.33 goals and allows opponents 1.16 xG, which supports at least two goals for the hosts or an open game. In their last five matches, both teams recorded games with at least three goals in 60% of cases, although the visitors’ weaker finishing—scoring only 0.33 goals away from home—limits confidence in Over 2.5. The Over 1.5 goals line looks safest, as it has landed in 100% of Vasas matches and 67% of Nyíregyháza’s fixtures. The projected total of 2.70 goals clearly favors Over 1.5.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Vasas victory after 90 minutes, as both teams were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches. First halves are generally cautious: Vasas average 0.4 goals in them, while Nyíregyháza also average 0.4, with just 0.6 and 0.8 total goals respectively in their matches. After the break, the home side should have a clearer advantage, as Vasas average 1.33 goals in second halves, whereas the visitors have failed to score in this period and concede 1.67 goals. Across the season, Vasas score 1.67 goals per match and average 2.33 points per game, while Nyíregyháza score just 0.33, concede 2.33, and have lost all of their matches. In addition, the hosts create chances worth an average xG of 1.86 compared with the visitors’ 1.53 and are significantly more efficient in front of goal, converting 11% of their shots compared with 3%, which further supports the prediction of a second-half turnaround.