Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata: match statistics
Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vélez Sarsfield play Gimnasia La Plata in Primera División (Argentina). The match date is 11 May 2026 at 02:30. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Vélez Sarsfield: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Gimnasia La Plata: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vélez Sarsfield scores 1.06 and concedes 0.76 goals per match. Gimnasia La Plata scores 1.11 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vélez Sarsfield 47%, Gimnasia La Plata 39%. Over 2.5: Vélez Sarsfield 24%, Gimnasia La Plata 44%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Vélez Sarsfield has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.28. Vélez Sarsfield: 12.7 shots per match, Gimnasia La Plata: 11.1.
Match halves
Vélez Sarsfield: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.59. Gimnasia La Plata: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.28.
Goals by minute
Vélez Sarsfield: 0-15 (6 goals). Gimnasia La Plata: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
3 H2H matches: 1-0-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I back the home win. Vélez Sarsfield create significantly more chances at home — averaging 13 shots per game, 4.63 on target, xG 1.55 and 56% possession — while Gimnasia on the road record 9.38 shots, 3.25 on target, xG 1.14 and 50% possession. Defensively the hosts are stronger at home: they concede just 0.75 goals per game and keep a clean sheet in 38% of matches, compared to visitors who concede 1.13 on average away and have 25% clean sheets. However, Gimnasia arrive in excellent form: 5 wins in their last 5, 9 goals scored and only 1 conceded in that span, averaging 3 points per game over the last 5 versus Vélez’s 1.6. The comparison shows a contrast: Vélez is superior at chance creation (xG 1.55 and 4.63 shots on target per game vs away xG 1.14 and 3.25 on target), while Gimnasia convert chances more efficiently (conversion 11% vs 9%). Considering the home advantage in chance creation and better home defence, I give Vélez a moderate edge: estimated probabilities 48% home win, 28% draw, 24% away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vélez Sarsfield | Gimnasia La Plata | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gimnasia La Plata is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 2.4 pts / match - Gimnasia La Plata
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gimnasia La Plata is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1.11 goals / match - Gimnasia La Plata
Vélez Sarsfield is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.76 goals / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1.17 goals / match - Gimnasia La Plata
Vélez Sarsfield scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Gimnasia La Plata keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Gimnasia La Plata scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Vélez Sarsfield keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vélez Sarsfield
Over / Under — Gimnasia La Plata
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gimnasia La Plata is 36% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Vélez Sarsfield · 1.83 pts / match - Gimnasia La Plata
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vélez Sarsfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gimnasia La Plata - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 50%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vélez Sarsfield
Gimnasia La Plata
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Vélez Sarsfield | Liga | Gimnasia La Plata | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.82 | 2.08 | ▲ 2.28 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 34% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 34% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 61% | ▲ 94% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 71% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Vélez Sarsfield 1 - 0 - 2 Gimnasia La Plata. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata?
The Primera División match finished Vélez Sarsfield 0:1 Gimnasia La Plata. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vélez Sarsfield and Gimnasia La Plata?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Vélez Sarsfield won 1, Gimnasia La Plata won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata?
Vélez Sarsfield score 1.06 goals per game on average and Gimnasia La Plata 1.11. The Primera División average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Vélez Sarsfield's matches and 39% of Gimnasia La Plata's.
What form are Vélez Sarsfield and Gimnasia La Plata in?
Over the last 5 games Vélez Sarsfield have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Gimnasia La Plata 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vélez Sarsfield vs Gimnasia La Plata: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.