Venados vs Atlante: match statistics
Atlante are clearly in better form and boast superior statistics this season. The visiting team has an impressive record of 13 wins against just 5 losses and a positive goal difference of +30 (51:21), while Venados have a negative goal difference of -5 (45:50) with only 7 wins and 12 losses. The recent 5-match form strongly favors Atlante - 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 pts/match) compared to just 1 win and 4 losses for Venados (0.6 pts/match). In away matches, Atlante maintains solid efficiency with a 38% win rate and 38% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.92 goals per game. Venados, in their home fixtures, concede an average of 1.83 goals, which, given their poor form, could be exploited by the visitors' effective attack. The difference in possession (60% for Atlante vs 52% for Venados) and better expected goals (xG) efficiency confirm the visitors' advantage, although the specific nature of away matches and Atlante's low scoring efficiency (FTS% 23%) could result in the match ending in a draw.
Venados vs Atlante: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Venados play Atlante in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 28 March 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Venados: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlante: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Venados scores 1.93 and concedes 1.96 goals per match. Atlante scores 1.84 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Venados 64%, Atlante 50%. Over 2.5: Venados 61%, Atlante 47%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Atlante has higher xG: 1.93 vs 1.48. Venados: 12.5 shots per match, Atlante: 17.3.
Match halves
Venados: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.14. Atlante: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.06.
Goals by minute
Venados: 46-60 (12 goals). Atlante: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ascenso MX: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Atlante are clearly in better form and boast superior statistics this season. The visiting team has an impressive record of 13 wins against just 5 losses and a positive goal difference of +30 (51:21), while Venados have a negative goal difference of -5 (45:50) with only 7 wins and 12 losses. The recent 5-match form strongly favors Atlante - 3 wins and 2 draws (2.2 pts/match) compared to just 1 win and 4 losses for Venados (0.6 pts/match). In away matches, Atlante maintains solid efficiency with a 38% win rate and 38% clean sheets, conceding an average of only 0.92 goals per game. Venados, in their home fixtures, concede an average of 1.83 goals, which, given their poor form, could be exploited by the visitors' effective attack. The difference in possession (60% for Atlante vs 52% for Venados) and better expected goals (xG) efficiency confirm the visitors' advantage, although the specific nature of away matches and Atlante's low scoring efficiency (FTS% 23%) could result in the match ending in a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Venados | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Venados is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Venados · 1.4 pts / match - Atlante
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.93 goals / match - Venados · 1.84 goals / match - Atlante
Atlante is 102% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.96 goals / match - Venados · 0.97 goals / match - Atlante
Venados scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Atlante keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
Atlante scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Venados
Over / Under — Atlante
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlante is 21% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Venados · 1.38 pts / match - Atlante
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Venados - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlante - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +11 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Venados
Atlante
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Venados | Liga | Atlante | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.89 | 2.85 | • 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 57% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 61% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 7% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 80% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Venados 0 - 0 - 1 Atlante. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Venados vs Atlante?
The Ascenso MX match finished Venados 4:1 Atlante. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Atlante?
Venados score 1.93 goals per game on average and Atlante 1.84. The Ascenso MX average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Venados's matches and 50% of Atlante's.
What form are Venados and Atlante in?
Over the last 5 games Venados have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlante 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Atlante?
The statistical background for Venados vs Atlante — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.