Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec: match statistics
Venados display significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 2.78 goals per match at home, while Atlético Zacatepec score only 1.25 goals away. The hosts have a clear advantage in shot accuracy (20% vs 10%) and a higher average xG (1.66 vs 1.37), indicating they create better goal-scoring opportunities. Venados win or draw in 88% of their home matches (44% wins, 44% draws), which demonstrates their solidity at their own stadium. Atlético Zacatepec have a negative goal difference away (-2) and lose 38% of their away matches, further weakening their chances. Considering both teams' recent form (Venados: 1.4 PPG vs Zacatepec: 1.0 PPG) and the hosts' advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics, I expect a Venados victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the high frequency of such results for the home side.
Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Venados played against Atlético Zacatepec in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game was played on February 7, 2026. Final score: 3:3.
Recent form
Venados has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Atlético Zacatepec has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Venados scores 2.17 goals per game and allows 2.22. Atlético Zacatepec scores 1.12 and allows 1.71. Games in this league average 2.88 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 67% of Venados's games and 59% of Atlético Zacatepec's. The Over 2.5 rates are 67% and 47%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 53% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Venados has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.36 per game. Venados takes 12.8 shots per game, while Atlético Zacatepec takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Venados leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.11 goals per game after halftime. Atlético Zacatepec leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.65 after halftime.
When the teams score
Venados's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Atlético Zacatepec, it is minutes 46-60 (5 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ascenso MX games average 2.88 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 53% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 9.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Venados display significantly better offensive form, scoring an average of 2.78 goals per match at home, while Atlético Zacatepec score only 1.25 goals away. The hosts have a clear advantage in shot accuracy (20% vs 10%) and a higher average xG (1.66 vs 1.37), indicating they create better goal-scoring opportunities. Venados win or draw in 88% of their home matches (44% wins, 44% draws), which demonstrates their solidity at their own stadium. Atlético Zacatepec have a negative goal difference away (-2) and lose 38% of their away matches, further weakening their chances. Considering both teams' recent form (Venados: 1.4 PPG vs Zacatepec: 1.0 PPG) and the hosts' advantage in key offensive and defensive statistics, I expect a Venados victory, although a draw cannot be ruled out due to the high frequency of such results for the home side.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Venados | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Venados is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Venados · 1 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Venados is 94% better for: goals scored per game.
2.17 goals / game - Venados · 1.12 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Atlético Zacatepec is 30% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.22 goals / game - Venados · 1.71 goals / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Venados scores in 72% of games (13 of 18 meczów), while Atlético Zacatepec keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 meczów).
Atlético Zacatepec scores in 76% of games (13 of 17 meczów), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Venados
Over / Under - Atlético Zacatepec
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Venados is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / game - Venados · 1.12 pts / game - Atlético Zacatepec
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Venados - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Atlético Zacatepec - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.8 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 3.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Venados
Atlético Zacatepec
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).
Teams vs league
| Venados | Liga | Atlético Zacatepec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 4.39 | 2.88 | • 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 72% | 75% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 79% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Venados's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Atlético Zacatepec. Games average 9.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec?
The Ascenso MX match finished Venados 3:3 Atlético Zacatepec. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec?
Venados score 2.17 goals per game on average and Atlético Zacatepec 1.12. The Ascenso MX average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Venados's matches and 59% of Atlético Zacatepec's.
What form are Venados and Atlético Zacatepec in?
Over the last 5 games Venados have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Zacatepec 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Atlético Zacatepec?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.