Mexico - Ascenso MXEstadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde RiveroData current as of September 08, 2026

Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Venados plays Tepatitlán de Morelos in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The game is scheduled for September 12, 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero.

Recent form

Venados has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Tepatitlán de Morelos has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses, with 0.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Venados scores 2.29 goals per game and allows 2.43. Tepatitlán de Morelos scores 0.71 and allows 3.14. Games in this league average 3.35 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 86% of Venados's games and 43% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's. The Over 2.5 rates are 86% and 71%, compared with league averages of 56% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Venados has the higher season xG average, 2.09 to 1.20 per game. Venados takes 16.0 shots per game, while Tepatitlán de Morelos takes 9.9.

First-half and second-half trends

Venados leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 1.57 goals per game after halftime. Tepatitlán de Morelos leads at halftime in 29% and scores 0.29 after halftime.

When the teams score

Venados's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (6 goals). For Tepatitlán de Morelos, it is minutes 31-45+ (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ascenso MX games average 3.35 goals. Both teams score in 56% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

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Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
2.29Goals scored / game0.71
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
2.43Goals allowed / game3.14
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
50%Average possession39%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
7.57Shots on target / game3.14
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

16Shots per game9.86
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
7.57Shots on target3.14
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
14.3%Shot conversion7.2%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
50%Possession39%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
2.09xG for1.2
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.4xG against1.86
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

Shooting quality

Venados: AttackingTepatitlán de Morelos: Balanced
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
Accuracy (shots on target)47%32%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.23

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Venados is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Venados · 0.6 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Venados
WLWLL
Season result split
43% W14% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-3
1.43 pts / game · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-0
Last 5 at home
3-0-0
WWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 3.2xG: 1.88Opponent xG: 1.28BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 100%
Tepatitlán de Morelos
LLWLL
Season result split
14% W0% R86% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-0-6
0.43 pts / game · goal difference -17
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-3
Last 5 away
0-0-3
LLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 3.6xG: 1.06Opponent xG: 1.91BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Venados is 223% better for: goals scored per game.

2.29 goals / game - Venados · 0.71 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Venados is 29% better for: goals allowed per game.

2.43 goals / game - Venados · 3.14 goals / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Venados scoring profile: very strong

Venados scores in 100% of games (7 of 7 meczów), while Tepatitlán de Morelos keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 meczów).

Tepatitlán de Morelos scoring profile: strong

Tepatitlán de Morelos scores in 43% of games (3 of 7 meczów), while Venados keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 meczów).

16Goals scored (season)5
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
17Goals conceded (season)22
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
4.71Average goals per game3.86
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
12Goals scored (last 5)4
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
16Goals conceded (last 5)18
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal43%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
57%2 goals14%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
57%3 goals14%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
14%4 goals0%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal100%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
71%2 goals71%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
43%3 goals57%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
29%4 goals43%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

43%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.3 of 7 meczów
56%
League average

Goal patterns

43%BTTS at half-time14%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
29%Scored in both halves14%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
100%BTTS - last 540%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
57%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
43%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
86%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
71%Min. 3 goals after half-time57%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Tepatitlán de Morelos is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.86 pts / game - Venados · 1.14 pts / game - Tepatitlán de Morelos

Venados - half-time state
14% leading43% draw43% trailing
Tepatitlán de Morelos - half-time state
29% leading29% draw43% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.86Points per game (1st half)1.14
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
0.71Goals scored (1st half)0.43
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.29Goals conceded (1st half)1
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
2Average goals (1st half)1.43
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
29%Clean sheet before half-time57%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
43%No goal before half-time57%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

After half-time (2nd half)

1.57Points per game (2nd half)0.14
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.57Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)2.14
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
2.71Average goals (2nd half)2.43
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
43%Clean sheet after half-time0%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos
29%No goal after half-time86%
VenadosTepatitlán de Morelos

Venados - second-half results

43% W29% R29% P
6
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding307%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.2

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Tepatitlán de Morelos - second-half results

0% W14% R86% P
8
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding48%

Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 14%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.

Defense after halftime+1.1

Allows 1.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Venados - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.40
Goals scored / game0.81.6
Goals allowed / game1.61.6
Average goals per game2.43.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%100%
3 goals60%80%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Tepatitlán de Morelos - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.800.20
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game1.42.2
Average goals per game1.82.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%0%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-5-9
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Venados
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
2
4
46-60
6
2
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

4.29
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
2.7 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
128%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
65%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-65%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
43%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
4+
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Venados

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.69
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.83
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
117%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
174%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.23
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Tepatitlán de Morelos

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.66
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.77
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-1.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
161%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

VenadosLigaTepatitlán de Morelos
Average goals per game 4.713.35 3.86
Both teams scored 86%56% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 86%62% 71%
Clean sheets 14%25% 0%
Goal before half-time 86%76% 71%
Goal after half-time 86%76% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.35
Average goals per game
56%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
25%
Clean sheets
1.95
Home goals / game
1.40
Away goals / game
+39%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defensive advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
47%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
40%
3 goals
18%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Venados's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Tepatitlán de Morelos. Games average 1.50 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.

Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 : 0
Venados FC Yucatán
Venados FC Yucatán
1 : 0
Tepatitlán de Morelos

FAQ

When do Venados and Tepatitlán de Morelos play?

Venados face Tepatitlán de Morelos on September 12, 2026 in Ascenso MX at Estadio Olímpico Carlos Iturralde Rivero. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Venados and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Venados won 1, Tepatitlán de Morelos won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Venados score 2.29 goals per game on average and Tepatitlán de Morelos 0.71. The Ascenso MX average is 3.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Venados's matches and 43% of Tepatitlán de Morelos's.

What form are Venados and Tepatitlán de Morelos in?

Over the last 5 games Venados have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

The statistical background for Venados vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.