Vicenza vs Novara: match statistics
Vicenza vs Novara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Vicenza play Novara in Serie C Group A (Italy). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 17:30. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Vicenza: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Novara: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Vicenza scores 1.82 and concedes 0.68 goals per match. Novara scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.34 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Vicenza 53%, Novara 53%. Over 2.5: Vicenza 50%, Novara 32%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Vicenza has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.45. Vicenza: 14.0 shots per match, Novara: 11.6.
Match halves
Vicenza: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 1.11. Novara: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Vicenza: 46-60 (15 goals). Novara: 61-75 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group A: 2.34 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): Vicenza are table leaders with 25 wins this season and 1st place, while Novara have 8 wins and sit 12th. At home Vicenza score 1.88 goals and concede only 0.65 per match with an average xG of 1.81 (xG against 0.94), whereas Novara on the road score 0.94 and concede 0.94 with xG for 1.34 and xG against 1.52. Vicenza create more chances: 15.47 shots and 5.29 on target per home match with a conversion rate of 12%, while Novara average 10.29 shots and 3.76 on target with a 9% conversion and are much more likely to fail to score (share of matches without a goal 29% vs 12%). In the last 5 matches Vicenza have scored 9, conceded 6 and averaged 2 points per match (3W-1D-1L), while Novara have 6 goals, 8 conceded and average 1 point per match (1W-2D-2L). Considering Vicenza’s 76% home win rate versus Novara’s just 18% away wins and the high share of away draws (65%), I assess the probabilities at 70% for the home side, 20% for a draw and 10% for Novara.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Vicenza | Novara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Vicenza is 167% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Vicenza · 0.6 pts / match - Novara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vicenza is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
1.82 goals / match - Vicenza · 1.05 goals / match - Novara
Vicenza is 51% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.68 goals / match - Vicenza · 1.03 goals / match - Novara
Vicenza scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Novara keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Novara scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Vicenza keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Vicenza
Over / Under — Novara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vicenza is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.79 pts / match - Vicenza · 1.21 pts / match - Novara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vicenza - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Novara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (15 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Vicenza
Novara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group A).
Teams vs league
| Vicenza | Liga | Novara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.50 | 2.34 | ▼ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 43% | ▼ 32% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 30% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | • 66% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Vicenza 0 - 1 - 0 Novara. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Vicenza vs Novara?
The Serie C Group A match finished Vicenza 3:1 Novara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vicenza vs Novara?
Vicenza score 1.82 goals per game on average and Novara 1.05. The Serie C Group A average is 2.34 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Vicenza's matches and 53% of Novara's.
What form are Vicenza and Novara in?
Over the last 5 games Vicenza have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Novara 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vicenza vs Novara?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vicenza vs Novara: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.