Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków: match statistics
Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Victoria Września played against Noteć Czarnków in 3 Liga Group 2 (Poland). The game was played on April 4, 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Recent form
Victoria Września has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Noteć Czarnków has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Victoria Września scores 1.13 goals per game and allows 1.48. Noteć Czarnków scores 1.43 and allows 1.48. Games in this league average 2.94 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 48% of Victoria Września's games and 43% of Noteć Czarnków's. The Over 2.5 rates are 52% and 48%, compared with league averages of 51% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Noteć Czarnków has the higher season xG average, 1.77 to 1.18 per game. Victoria Września takes 2.6 shots per game, while Noteć Czarnków takes 9.4.
First-half and second-half trends
Victoria Września leads at halftime in 26% of its games and scores 0.43 goals per game after halftime. Noteć Czarnków leads at halftime in 22% and scores 0.74 after halftime.
When the teams score
Victoria Września's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (7 goals). For Noteć Czarnków, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 2 games average 2.94 goals. Both teams score in 51% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Noteć Czarnków has a clear advantage in key metrics: away they record a 45% win rate and average 1.64 goals scored with xG 1.62, while Victoria at home wins only 27% of matches and has average xG 0.87. The difference in chance creation is significant — Noteć averages 13.22 shots per game (5.11 on target) away, whereas Victoria at home manages only 4 shots (2 on target), which translates into more opportunities for the visitors. The home defense looks weaker: Victoria concedes on average 1.82 goals at home with average xG against 2.47, while Noteć concedes 1.73 goals away and has xG against 1.4. In the last 5 matches Noteć recorded 2 wins, scored 4 goals and averaged 1.2 points, while Victoria has 1 win, 5 goals scored and 0.8 points on average, further favoring the visitors. Considering higher finishing effectiveness (33 goals this season vs 26), better chance creation and a higher away win rate, I expect a Noteć victory; suggested probabilities are 20% for the home side, 25% for a draw and 55% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics indicate a clear Lean towards BTTS - Yes — the home side generates 2.37 xG per match and records 7.67 shots on target from 17.5 total shots, while Noteć concedes 1.4 xG and allows 1.73 goals per game. The visitors average 1.64 goals per match and have a high conversion rate of 13%, and Victoria have only 17% clean sheets this season, increasing the likelihood that Noteć will score. Despite seasonal BTTS rates of 42% (Victoria) and 45% (Noteć), both below the league average of 51%, Victoria have produced BTTS in 60% of their last 5 matches, and Noteć have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game in that period. The gap between the home xG (2.37) and their actual goals per game (1.25) suggests the hosts create many chances that should yield goals, and Noteć’s high conversion (13%) raises the chance of a goal from the away side. Therefore I project BTTS - Yes at 62% vs 38% for No as the strongest signal from the data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis points to a goals-friendly game: home xG is 2.37 while Noteć’s defense xG conceded is 1.40, yielding Victoria’s expected goals ≈1.89; Noteć’s xG is 1.62 versus Victoria’s defense 1.01 yielding ≈1.32 expected, total ≈3.21 goals. The league average is 2.96 goals per game this season, Victoria has Over1.5 in 75% of matches and Noteć in 73%, with Victoria scoring at least 1 goal in 100% of games and Noteć in 82% — a strong case for Over1.5 (I price it at 84%). Shot metrics show the hosts average 17.5 shots and 7.67 on target per match with a low finishing rate of 6%, which explains the xG 2.37 versus season goals scored 1.25 and suggests potential for goal outcomes. Season Over2.5 rates are 33% for Victoria and 64% for Noteć, and the league has 56% of matches over 2.5; given the combined expected goals of 3.21 I assign Over2.5 a 62% probability and therefore recommend betting Over 2.5 as the optimal line. I rate Over3.5 at about 30% because the projected 3.21 goals leaves limited margin above 3.5 and season Over3.5 rates are 25%/45%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I forecast a draw at half-time followed by a Notec victory (X/2). The home side average 0.42 goals by the break versus 0.7 for the visitors, and in the last five matches Notec scored 9 first-half goals compared to Victoria’s 3, giving the visitors an advantage in the opening phase. Victoria have a higher xG (2.37 vs 1.62) and more shots and shots on target (17.5 and 7.67 vs 13.22 and 5.11), but their low conversion rate of 6% versus Notec’s 13% suggests the hosts may waste many opportunities. Additionally, the hosts have a high proportion of clean halves (42% at half-time) and concede a lot of goals late in the first half (5 goals in minutes 31–45), whereas Notec have better league form (45% wins and 1.55 points per match vs 33% and 1.17 for the hosts), which favors the visitors in the full-time result.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Victoria Września | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 8% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.45 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 5.14 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Noteć Czarnków is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Victoria Września · 1.2 pts / game - Noteć Czarnków
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Noteć Czarnków is 27% better for: goals scored per game.
1.13 goals / game - Victoria Września · 1.43 goals / game - Noteć Czarnków
Victoria Września scores in 65% of games (15 of 23 games), while Noteć Czarnków keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 games).
Noteć Czarnków scores in 61% of games (14 of 23 games), while Victoria Września keeps a clean sheet in 22% (5 of 23 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Victoria Września
Over / Under - Noteć Czarnków
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Victoria Września is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / game - Victoria Września · 1.04 pts / game - Noteć Czarnków
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Victoria Września - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 26% of games and wins 30%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Noteć Czarnków - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Victoria Września
Noteć Czarnków
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 2).
Teams vs league
| Victoria Września | Liga | Noteć Czarnków | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.61 | 2.94 | • 2.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 56% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 28% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | • 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Record from Victoria Września's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Noteć Czarnków. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?
The 3 Liga Group 2 match finished Victoria Września 0:0 Noteć Czarnków. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?
Victoria Września score 1.13 goals per game on average and Noteć Czarnków 1.43. The 3 Liga Group 2 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Victoria Września's matches and 43% of Noteć Czarnków's.
What form are Victoria Września and Noteć Czarnków in?
Over the last 5 games Victoria Września have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Noteć Czarnków 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków?
The statistical background for Victoria Września vs Noteć Czarnków — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.