Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid: match statistics
Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Villarreal play Atlético Madrid in La Liga (Spain). The match date is 24 May 2026 at 21:00. Venue: Estadio de la Cerámica. Final score: 5:1.
Current form
Villarreal: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Madrid: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Villarreal scores 1.89 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Atlético Madrid scores 1.63 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Villarreal 63%, Atlético Madrid 53%. Over 2.5: Villarreal 58%, Atlético Madrid 50%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Madrid has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.36. Villarreal: 12.0 shots per match, Atlético Madrid: 13.1.
Match halves
Villarreal: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.87. Atlético Madrid: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.87.
Goals by minute
Villarreal: 31-45+ (18 goals). Atlético Madrid: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict a Villarreal win (1): the home side win 78% of matches at their stadium and score an average of 2.39 goals per game, while Atlético win only 33% on the road and score 1.22 on average. In the last 5 fixtures Villarreal have scored 10 goals (2.0 per game) versus Atlético’s 5 goals (1.0 per game), and average xG for the hosts is 1.66 compared to 1.29 for the visitors, indicating superior quality of chances created. Villarreal average 14.56 shots and 5.72 on target per home match with a conversion rate of 16%, whereas Atlético in away games average 10.89 shots and 3.89 on target with an 11% conversion, so the hosts produce more and better attempts. Defensively the hosts concede 1.00 goal per home match (xG against 1.29), while the visitors concede 1.22 on the road (xG against 1.56); Villarreal’s home goal difference is +25 versus 0 for Atlético, pointing to greater home stability. Although Atlético have slightly higher possession (52% vs 48%) and average 1.8 points in their last 5 matches compared to Villarreal’s 1.4, their lower efficiency and weaker away record limit the visitors’ chances, so I assess the probability of a home win at 62%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Villarreal | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Madrid is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Villarreal · 1.8 pts / match - Atlético Madrid
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Villarreal is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
1.89 goals / match - Villarreal · 1.63 goals / match - Atlético Madrid
Villarreal scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while Atlético Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 37% (14 of 38 matches).
Atlético Madrid scores in 87% of matches (33 of 38 matches), while Villarreal keeps a clean sheet in 21% (8 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Villarreal
Over / Under — Atlético Madrid
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Villarreal is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.76 pts / match - Villarreal · 1.5 pts / match - Atlético Madrid
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Villarreal - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Villarreal
Atlético Madrid
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Villarreal | Liga | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.11 | 2.69 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 58% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 70% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 82% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Villarreal 0 - 0 - 1 Atlético Madrid. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid?
The La Liga match finished Villarreal 5:1 Atlético Madrid. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid?
Villarreal score 1.89 goals per game on average and Atlético Madrid 1.63. The La Liga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Villarreal's matches and 53% of Atlético Madrid's.
What form are Villarreal and Atlético Madrid in?
Over the last 5 games Villarreal have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Madrid 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Villarreal vs Atlético Madrid: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.