Vipers vs Police Uganda: match statistics
Vipers demonstrate impressive home form with an 83% win rate at home and just 0.67 goals conceded on average per match. The league leaders have not lost a single match this season (9-3-0) and hold a +10 goal difference advantage at their own stadium. Police Uganda, although in good form (2.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), shows greater vulnerability to conceding goals on the road (1.17 average) and achieves only 50% wins in away matches. A key factor is also Vipers' higher chance conversion efficiency (18% vs 13%) and better average xG (1.8 vs 1.81, but with a lower xG Against of 1.12 vs 1.71). Considering the home advantage, Vipers' unbeaten run this season, and their solid defense, the hosts are the favorites, though the quality of Police Uganda makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.
Vipers vs Police Uganda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vipers played against Police Uganda in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The game was played on January 27, 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Recent form
Vipers has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Police Uganda has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Vipers scores 1.92 goals per game and allows 0.50. Police Uganda scores 1.92 and allows 0.92. Games in this league average 2.27 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 50% of Vipers's games and 69% of Police Uganda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 42% and 62%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 41% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Police Uganda has the higher season xG average, 1.83 to 1.79 per game. Vipers takes 10.3 shots per game, while Police Uganda takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Vipers leads at halftime in 58% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Police Uganda leads at halftime in 31% and scores 1.15 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vipers's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Police Uganda, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Uganda Premier League games average 2.27 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 41% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vipers demonstrate impressive home form with an 83% win rate at home and just 0.67 goals conceded on average per match. The league leaders have not lost a single match this season (9-3-0) and hold a +10 goal difference advantage at their own stadium. Police Uganda, although in good form (2.6 PPG in the last 5 matches), shows greater vulnerability to conceding goals on the road (1.17 average) and achieves only 50% wins in away matches. A key factor is also Vipers' higher chance conversion efficiency (18% vs 13%) and better average xG (1.8 vs 1.81, but with a lower xG Against of 1.12 vs 1.71). Considering the home advantage, Vipers' unbeaten run this season, and their solid defense, the hosts are the favorites, though the quality of Police Uganda makes a draw a realistic scenario as well.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vipers | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.41 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Vipers is 84% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.5 goals / game - Vipers · 0.92 goals / game - Police Uganda
Vipers scores in 92% of games (11 of 12 games), while Police Uganda keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 games).
Police Uganda scores in 100% of games (13 of 13 games), while Vipers keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vipers
Over / Under - Police Uganda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vipers is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.08 pts / game - Vipers · 1.38 pts / game - Police Uganda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vipers - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 58% of games and wins 75%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Police Uganda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +9 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vipers
Police Uganda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Vipers | Liga | Police Uganda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.42 | 2.27 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 44% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 42% | 41% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 34% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 61% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- VipersGoalMilton KarisaAssist: Abdul Karim Watambala
- VipersGoalAbdul Karim Watambala
- Police UgandaGoalSaidi Kyeyune
FAQ
What was the result of Vipers vs Police Uganda?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Vipers 4:1 Police Uganda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vipers vs Police Uganda?
Vipers score 1.92 goals per game on average and Police Uganda 1.92. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Vipers's matches and 69% of Police Uganda's.
What form are Vipers and Police Uganda in?
Over the last 5 games Vipers have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Police Uganda 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vipers vs Police Uganda?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.