Virtus Entella vs Carrarese: match statistics
Virtus Entella vs Carrarese: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Virtus Entella play Carrarese in Serie B (Italy). The match date is 8 May 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Virtus Entella: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Virtus Entella scores 0.95 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. Carrarese scores 1.24 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Virtus Entella 53%, Carrarese 47%. Over 2.5: Virtus Entella 37%, Carrarese 50%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Carrarese has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.38. Virtus Entella: 12.9 shots per match, Carrarese: 13.3.
Match halves
Virtus Entella: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.58. Carrarese: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Virtus Entella: 76-90+ (10 goals). Carrarese: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win: Virtus Entella averages 1.39 goals scored and concedes 0.94 per home match, while Carrarese on the road scores only 1.11 and concedes 1.83. Entella also has higher home xG (1.58) versus visitors' away xG (1.33) and more shots on target (4.78 vs 3.56), indicating superior quality and volume of chances. There is a large contrast in offensive resilience — 6% of Entella’s home matches without scoring versus 28% failed scoring attempts for Carrarese away — and additionally the hosts win 44% of home fixtures compared to just 17% of the visitors’ away wins. Both sides average 1.0 pts per match over the last 5 games, but Carrarese have conceded 8 goals in that period versus 5 for Entella, confirming the hosts’ defensive edge. In light of these numbers I assign Entella a 62% probability, draw 22% and a Carrarese win 16%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Virtus Entella | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Virtus Entella is 300% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Virtus Entella · 0.4 pts / match - Carrarese
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrarese is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Virtus Entella · 1.24 goals / match - Carrarese
Virtus Entella scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 38 matches).
Carrarese scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Virtus Entella keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Virtus Entella
Over / Under — Carrarese
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Virtus Entella is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Virtus Entella · 0.92 pts / match - Carrarese
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Virtus Entella - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Virtus Entella
Carrarese
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Virtus Entella | Liga | Carrarese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.55 | • 2.61 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 37% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Virtus Entella 0 - 0 - 1 Carrarese. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
The Serie B match finished Virtus Entella 2:1 Carrarese. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
Virtus Entella score 0.95 goals per game on average and Carrarese 1.24. The Serie B average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Virtus Entella's matches and 47% of Carrarese's.
What form are Virtus Entella and Carrarese in?
Over the last 5 games Virtus Entella have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Carrarese 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Virtus Entella vs Carrarese?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.