Virtus Entella vs Vicenza: match statistics

Virtus Entella have a slight home advantage: they average 1.53 xG and score 1 goal per match, while Vicenza are yet to score away from home. The hosts average 14 shots with 59% possession, whereas their opponents produce as many as 18 attempts and 1.57 xG, yet their away finishing remains ineffective. Both defenses are vulnerable to errors, with Entella conceding 2 goals per home match and Vicenza as many as 3, despite the hosts restricting opponents to just 0.81 xG. In their last five matches, Entella have scored 5 goals and conceded 7, while Vicenza’s record stands at 7:12, pointing to greater defensive organization issues for the visitors. Neither team has won a match under the analyzed conditions so far, but Entella’s greater home stability and Vicenza’s lack of away scoring efficiency support a home win.

The strongest signal for BTTS comes from current form: in their last 5 matches, both teams recorded this outcome in 60% and 80% of games, respectively. During this period, Vicenza averaged 1.4 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.4, while Virtus Entella scored 1.0 goal and allowed opponents 1.4. Their attacking potential is confirmed by xG from the last five appearances, standing at 1.49 for the home side and 1.89 for the visitors, with opponents’ defensive xG at 1.46 and 1.09. Entella averages 9 shots on target and scores 3.0 goals at home, while Vicenza has failed to keep a clean sheet in any match, clearly increasing the hosts’ chances of scoring. Although Vicenza have yet to score in their seasonal away data, their recent finishing and high BTTS level in current form support a Goal/Goal outcome.

Data from the last five matches indicates increased scoring potential: Entella’s games averaged 2.4 goals, while Vicenza’s averaged as many as 3.8 goals. During this period, Vicenza conceded 2.4 goals per match, while Entella created chances worth an average of 1.49 xG. The visitors generated 1.89 xG per match, which should put pressure on a home defense conceding an average of 1.4 goals. The Over 1.5 goals line offers the greatest edge, as at least three goals were scored in 60% of Entella’s matches and 80% of Vicenza’s matches over the last five games, while only two goals are needed to cover this lower line.

The strongest scenario is Virtus Entella leading at half-time and winning the match, as the hosts averaged 3.0 goals and won 100% of their home matches, while Vicenza failed to score and lost 100% of their away fixtures. Entella also created significantly more danger: their average xG was 2.50 compared with Vicenza’s 1.57, while the average number of shots on target was 9 to 3. In the first halves, the hosts scored an average of 1.0 goal, whereas the visitors failed to score and conceded an average of 2.0 goals, strengthening the case for a home lead at the break. After half-time, Entella averaged 2.0 goals, while Vicenza continued to fail to score, so the hosts’ advantage should be maintained or extended. Caution is warranted due to Entella’s weaker overall form across five matches, in which they won only 20%, but the highly favourable home-away figures support the 1/1 HT/FT outcome.