Vis Pesaro vs Ternana: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to very evenly matched chances for both teams. Vis Pesaro presents solid home form with a 43% draw rate and a +1 goal difference, averaging 1.93 goals per game. Ternana has an identical draw rate (43%) and win rate (36%) away from home, with a slightly better goal difference (+4) and shooting efficiency (13% conversion rate compared to the hosts' 8%). The last five matches for both teams show balanced form - Vis Pesaro at 1.6 PPG with a two-game winning streak, and Ternana at 1.8 PPG despite two consecutive defeats. Similar xG values (1.61 vs 1.22 for the visitors) and identical clean sheet rates (36% each) suggest tactical equilibrium. Considering the high propensity for draws in their respective matches and the balanced statistics, a split of points is the most probable outcome.
Vis Pesaro vs Ternana: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vis Pesaro played against Ternana in Serie C Group B (Italy). The game was played on March 14, 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Vis Pesaro has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Ternana has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Vis Pesaro scores 1.07 goals per game and allows 1.00. Ternana scores 1.24 and allows 1.00. Games in this league average 2.26 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 55% of Vis Pesaro's games and 48% of Ternana's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 38%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 39% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ternana has the higher season xG average, 1.59 to 1.43 per game. Vis Pesaro takes 11.1 shots per game, while Ternana takes 11.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Vis Pesaro leads at halftime in 31% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Ternana leads at halftime in 24% and scores 0.69 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vis Pesaro's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). For Ternana, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie C Group B games average 2.26 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 39% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to very evenly matched chances for both teams. Vis Pesaro presents solid home form with a 43% draw rate and a +1 goal difference, averaging 1.93 goals per game. Ternana has an identical draw rate (43%) and win rate (36%) away from home, with a slightly better goal difference (+4) and shooting efficiency (13% conversion rate compared to the hosts' 8%). The last five matches for both teams show balanced form - Vis Pesaro at 1.6 PPG with a two-game winning streak, and Ternana at 1.8 PPG despite two consecutive defeats. Similar xG values (1.61 vs 1.22 for the visitors) and identical clean sheet rates (36% each) suggest tactical equilibrium. Considering the high propensity for draws in their respective matches and the balanced statistics, a split of points is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vis Pesaro | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ternana is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Vis Pesaro · 1.8 pts / game - Ternana
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ternana is 16% better for: goals scored per game.
1.07 goals / game - Vis Pesaro · 1.24 goals / game - Ternana
Vis Pesaro scores in 72% of games (21 of 29 meczów), while Ternana keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
Ternana scores in 72% of games (21 of 29 meczów), while Vis Pesaro keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vis Pesaro
Over / Under - Ternana
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vis Pesaro is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / game - Vis Pesaro · 1.28 pts / game - Ternana
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vis Pesaro - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 31%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ternana - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vis Pesaro
Ternana
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group B).
Teams vs league
| Vis Pesaro | Liga | Ternana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.07 | 2.26 | • 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 49% | • 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 38% | 39% | • 38% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 30% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 63% | • 62% |
| Goal after half-time | • 72% | 72% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Vis Pesaro's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Ternana. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?
The Serie C Group B match finished Vis Pesaro 1:0 Ternana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?
Vis Pesaro score 1.07 goals per game on average and Ternana 1.24. The Serie C Group B average is 2.26 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 39% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Vis Pesaro's matches and 48% of Ternana's.
What form are Vis Pesaro and Ternana in?
Over the last 5 games Vis Pesaro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ternana 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vis Pesaro vs Ternana?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vis Pesaro vs Ternana: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.