Vitesse vs NAC Breda: match statistics
Vitesse vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vitesse played against NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The game was played on October 3, 2026. Venue: GelreDome. Final score: 2:2.
Recent form
Vitesse has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.80 points per game. NAC Breda has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Vitesse scores 1.63 goals per game and allows 1.38. NAC Breda scores 2.13 and allows 2.13. Games in this league average 3.70 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 63% of Vitesse's games and 88% of NAC Breda's. The Over 2.5 rates are 63% and 88%, compared with league averages of 71% for BTTS and 70% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
NAC Breda has the higher season xG average, 2.28 to 1.75 per game. Vitesse takes 16.5 shots per game, while NAC Breda takes 22.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Vitesse leads at halftime in 25% of its games and scores 0.88 goals per game after halftime. NAC Breda leads at halftime in 50% and scores 1.25 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vitesse's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (3 goals). For NAC Breda, it is minutes 76-90+ (6 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Eerste Divisie games average 3.70 goals. Both teams score in 71% of games, and 70% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitesse have a slight edge thanks to home advantage and their recent form: they have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with NAC Breda’s 2. The hosts conceded 6 goals during this period, while the visitors conceded 12, which points to Vitesse having the stronger defense. However, NAC are a threat going forward away from home, averaging 2 goals per match with an xG of 2,09, compared with Vitesse’s 1,5 goals and xG of 1,98 at home. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals away from home, so the hosts should have chances to exploit this weakness. Both teams have won 50% of their respective home and away matches, so Vitesse’s advantage is slight.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have a high rate of matches featuring goals at both ends: 75% for Vitesse and 100% for NAC Breda, compared with a league average of 71%. Neither side has kept a clean sheet so far, and Vitesse concede an average of 2.25 goals at home, while NAC concede 2.0 away from home. Their attacking potential also points to goals for both teams: the hosts average 2.25 goals and an xG of 2.47, while the visitors average 2.0 goals and an xG of 2.09. In their last five matches, NAC scored and conceded an average of 2.4 goals each, while Vitesse scored 1.8 goals per game. One concern is that Vitesse have failed to score in 25% of their home matches; however, the strength of the other indicators supports the BTTS - Yes pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Matches involving both teams have averaged more than 4 goals so far: Vitesse have scored 2.25 and conceded 2.25 goals, while NAC Breda have scored and conceded 2.0 each. Their attacking potential is reflected in xG figures of 2.47 for Vitesse and 2.09 for NAC, alongside 7.0 and 6.5 shots on target per match, respectively. In their last five matches, the Over 2.5 goals line landed in 60% of Vitesse’s games and 100% of NAC’s, although such a short sample increases uncertainty at higher lines. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as both teams have cleared this line in 100% of their matches so far, with the projected total standing at 4.1 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Vitesse led at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches, while NAC Breda were trailing at half-time in 2 of their 4 away games, pointing to an early home advantage. Vitesse create chances worth an average of 2.47 xG at home, compared with NAC’s 2.09 xG away, and average 7 shots on target against their opponents’ 6.5. Over their last 5 matches, Vitesse conceded an average of 0.4 goals after the break, while NAC conceded 1.6, giving the hosts reason to believe they can maintain their lead until full-time. However, the 1/1 pick remains only moderately confident: NAC won 2 of their 4 away games, and Vitesse conceded an average of 1.75 goals in the second half at home.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vitesse | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Vitesse is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / game - Vitesse · 1.4 pts / game - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
NAC Breda is 31% better for: goals scored per game.
1.63 goals / game - Vitesse · 2.13 goals / game - NAC Breda
Vitesse is 54% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.38 goals / game - Vitesse · 2.13 goals / game - NAC Breda
Vitesse scores in 63% of games (5 of 8 games), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).
NAC Breda scores in 88% of games (7 of 8 games), while Vitesse keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 8 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitesse
Over / Under - NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
NAC Breda is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.25 pts / game - Vitesse · 1.63 pts / game - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitesse - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 25% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 50% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vitesse
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Vitesse | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.00 | 3.70 | ▲ 4.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 63% | 71% | ▲ 88% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 63% | 70% | ▲ 88% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 16% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 75% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▲ 88% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Vitesse 2:2 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Vitesse score 1.63 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 2.13. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 70% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Vitesse's matches and 88% of NAC Breda's.
What form are Vitesse and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games Vitesse have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and NAC Breda 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitesse vs NAC Breda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vitesse vs NAC Breda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.