Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano: match statistics
Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vitória de Sernache played against Louletano in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on October 10, 2026. Venue: Estádio Municipal Nuno Álvares Pereira. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Vitória de Sernache has 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.20 points per game. Louletano has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Vitória de Sernache scores 0.60 goals per game and allows 2.60. Louletano scores 1.40 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 40% of Vitória de Sernache's games and 60% of Louletano's. The Over 2.5 rates are 60% and 60%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Louletano has the higher season xG average, 1.37 to 1.22 per game. Vitória de Sernache takes 7.6 shots per game, while Louletano takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Vitória de Sernache leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.20 goals per game after halftime. Louletano leads at halftime in 60% and scores 0.80 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vitória de Sernache's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Louletano, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.40 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Louletano have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Vitória de Sernache have recorded 2 wins and 3 defeats. Away from home, the visitors score an average of 2 goals per match, whereas the hosts manage just 0.5 goals at home and concede 1.5. Louletano’s edge in chance creation is reflected in an average of 5.5 shots on target away from home, compared with Vitória’s 3 at home, as well as an xG of 1.38 versus 1.01. The hosts are yet to win a home match, and their average xG conceded stands at 1.65, boosting the prospects of the more clinical visitors. A draw remains a realistic possibility, as both teams have drawn half of their matches so far in their respective home and away fixtures. However, the balance of evidence points to a Louletano win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last 5 matches, both teams recorded BTTS in 60% of games, above the league average of 48%. Vitória averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded during this period, while Louletano scored 1.8 and conceded 1.0, giving the hosts a genuine chance to find the net despite the visitors’ stronger defensive record. Louletano’s scoring prospects are further boosted by the fact that Vitória concede an average of 1.67 goals per match, while the visitors score an average of 2.0. However, caution is warranted: Louletano kept a clean sheet in 50% of matches and failed to score just as often, so the case for BTTS - Yes is only moderate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
In their last five matches, Vitória de Sernache scored an average of 1.6 goals and conceded 1.8, while Louletano averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. The visitors’ attacking potential is backed up by an average xG of 1.72 over this period, while the hosts have allowed 1.58 xG. Over 2.5 goals landed in 80% of Vitória’s last five matches and 60% of Louletano’s, although both samples are small. The projected total is 2.92 goals, making Over 1.5 goals the strongest pick: it requires just two goals and offers a greater margin for error than the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely HT/FT outcome is a draw at half-time followed by a Louletano win at full-time (X/2). In their last five matches, Vitória de Sernache were level at the break three times, while Louletano have yet to concede a first-half goal, pointing to a closely contested start. Louletano should have the clearer advantage after the break: in their away matches so far, they have averaged 1.5 goals scored in the second half, while Vitória de Sernache have averaged 0.33 goals scored and 1.67 conceded at home. Louletano have also won four of their last five matches, compared with Vitória’s two out of five, so current form favors an away win at full-time. However, this is not a risk-free pick, as the hosts held a lead at the break in two of their three home matches so far.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória de Sernache | Louletano | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 61% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.13 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Louletano is 600% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / game - Vitória de Sernache · 1.4 pts / game - Louletano
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Louletano is 133% better for: goals scored per game.
0.6 goals / game - Vitória de Sernache · 1.4 goals / game - Louletano
Louletano is 86% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.6 goals / game - Vitória de Sernache · 1.4 goals / game - Louletano
Vitória de Sernache scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 games), while Louletano keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 games).
Louletano scores in 80% of games (4 of 5 games), while Vitória de Sernache keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória de Sernache
Over / Under - Louletano
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Louletano is 267% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / game - Vitória de Sernache · 2.2 pts / game - Louletano
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória de Sernache - second-half results
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Louletano - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 60% of games and wins 40%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 1.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vitória de Sernache
Louletano
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Vitória de Sernache | Liga | Louletano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.20 | 2.40 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 46% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 46% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 65% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Vitória de SernacheGoalLucas Daniel SilvaAssist: Martim Rafael Silva Almeida
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?
The Liga 3 match finished Vitória de Sernache 1:0 Louletano. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?
Vitória de Sernache score 0.60 goals per game on average and Louletano 1.40. The Liga 3 average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Vitória de Sernache's matches and 60% of Louletano's.
What form are Vitória de Sernache and Louletano in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória de Sernache have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Louletano 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.