Vitória Guimarães II vs Varzim: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Vitória Guimarães II has shown solid form in the last five matches (3 wins, 2 PPG), yet their home record is mixed with 40% wins and 40% losses. Varzim is in excellent overall form (4 wins in the last 5 matches, 2.4 PPG), but away results are unpredictable (30% wins, 40% losses). A key factor is the hosts' advantage in possession (56% vs 47%) and higher xG (1.61 vs 1.09), suggesting greater game control. However, Varzim has better shooting efficiency away (14% vs 10%) and a solid defense in recent games (only 3 goals conceded in the last 5 matches). Considering the goal difference of both teams (0 goal difference in their respective matches) and the history of draws, a split of points seems the most likely outcome, though a slight edge for the hosts stems from the home field factor.
Vitória Guimarães II vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vitória Guimarães II played against Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The game was played on February 28, 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Recent form
Vitória Guimarães II has 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 2.00 points per game. Varzim has 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss, with 2.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Vitória Guimarães II scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 0.90. Varzim scores 1.43 and allows 0.90. Games in this league average 2.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 43% of Vitória Guimarães II's games and 52% of Varzim's. The Over 2.5 rates are 33% and 43%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 36% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vitória Guimarães II has the higher season xG average, 1.38 to 1.28 per game. Vitória Guimarães II takes 10.2 shots per game, while Varzim takes 9.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Vitória Guimarães II leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 0.67 goals per game after halftime. Varzim leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vitória Guimarães II's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). For Varzim, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga 3 games average 2.17 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 36% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 1 away win. Those games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Vitória Guimarães II has shown solid form in the last five matches (3 wins, 2 PPG), yet their home record is mixed with 40% wins and 40% losses. Varzim is in excellent overall form (4 wins in the last 5 matches, 2.4 PPG), but away results are unpredictable (30% wins, 40% losses). A key factor is the hosts' advantage in possession (56% vs 47%) and higher xG (1.61 vs 1.09), suggesting greater game control. However, Varzim has better shooting efficiency away (14% vs 10%) and a solid defense in recent games (only 3 goals conceded in the last 5 matches). Considering the goal difference of both teams (0 goal difference in their respective matches) and the history of draws, a split of points seems the most likely outcome, though a slight edge for the hosts stems from the home field factor.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória Guimarães II | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Varzim is 20% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães II · 2.4 pts / game - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Varzim is 30% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães II · 1.43 goals / game - Varzim
Vitória Guimarães II scores in 76% of games (16 of 21 meczów), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 meczów).
Varzim scores in 71% of games (15 of 21 meczów), while Vitória Guimarães II keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães II
Over / Under - Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Varzim is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães II · 1.52 pts / game - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória Guimarães II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 43%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 2.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vitória Guimarães II
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Vitória Guimarães II | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.00 | 2.17 | ▲ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 48% | 33% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 64% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Vitória Guimarães II's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss against Varzim. Games average 2.50 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória Guimarães II vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished Vitória Guimarães II 3:0 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Vitória Guimarães II and Varzim?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória Guimarães II won 0, Varzim won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória Guimarães II vs Varzim?
Vitória Guimarães II score 1.10 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.43. The Liga 3 average is 2.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Vitória Guimarães II's matches and 52% of Varzim's.
What form are Vitória Guimarães II and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória Guimarães II have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Varzim 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória Guimarães II vs Varzim?
The statistical background for Vitória Guimarães II vs Varzim — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.