Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Vitória Guimarães, despite a recent dip in form (1 win in the last 5 matches), maintains solid home statistics with a 38% win rate and a neutral goal difference of 0. CD Nacional holds a mere 25% win rate in away fixtures and is currently enduring a poor run (0 wins in the last 4 away matches). The hosts hold the edge in possession (47% vs 43%) and possess a superior xG ratio on their home turf. While both teams display similar offensive efficiency, Nacional concedes an average of just 0.88 goals away, potentially complicating matters for the hosts. Considering home advantage and the visitors' recent struggles, Vitória Guimarães has a higher probability of securing a victory, though a draw remains a plausible outcome.
Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vitória Guimarães played against CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on January 2, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Vitória Guimarães has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. CD Nacional has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Vitória Guimarães scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.31. CD Nacional scores 1.13 and allows 1.40. Games in this league average 2.69 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 31% of Vitória Guimarães's games and 60% of CD Nacional's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 40%, compared with league averages of 45% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vitória Guimarães has the higher season xG average, 1.39 to 1.29 per game. Vitória Guimarães takes 13.0 shots per game, while CD Nacional takes 11.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Vitória Guimarães leads at halftime in 19% of its games and scores 0.50 goals per game after halftime. CD Nacional leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vitória Guimarães's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For CD Nacional, it is minutes 31-45+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.69 goals. Both teams score in 45% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória Guimarães, despite a recent dip in form (1 win in the last 5 matches), maintains solid home statistics with a 38% win rate and a neutral goal difference of 0. CD Nacional holds a mere 25% win rate in away fixtures and is currently enduring a poor run (0 wins in the last 4 away matches). The hosts hold the edge in possession (47% vs 43%) and possess a superior xG ratio on their home turf. While both teams display similar offensive efficiency, Nacional concedes an average of just 0.88 goals away, potentially complicating matters for the hosts. Considering home advantage and the visitors' recent struggles, Vitória Guimarães has a higher probability of securing a victory, though a draw remains a plausible outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória Guimarães | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Vitória Guimarães is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães · 1 pts / game - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 13% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães · 1.13 goals / game - CD Nacional
Vitória Guimarães is 7% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.31 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães · 1.4 goals / game - CD Nacional
Vitória Guimarães scores in 56% of games (9 of 16 meczów), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).
CD Nacional scores in 73% of games (11 of 15 meczów), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Nacional is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães · 1.33 pts / game - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 27%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vitória Guimarães
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Vitória Guimarães | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.31 | 2.69 | ▼ 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 45% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 30% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▼ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Vitória Guimarães 2:1 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional?
Vitória Guimarães score 1.00 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.13. The Liga NOS average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Vitória Guimarães's matches and 60% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Vitória Guimarães and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória Guimarães have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and CD Nacional 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional?
The statistical background for Vitória Guimarães vs CD Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.