Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora: match statistics
Vitória Guimarães display significantly better form at home, winning 45% of their home matches and maintaining a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (48% vs 41%) and offensive efficiency, as confirmed by the average xG (1.4 vs 0.85). Estrela Amadora have serious problems in away matches, losing 40% of games and recording a negative goal difference (-9), as well as failing to score in half of their away encounters. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per match away from home, which, combined with the hosts' solid offense (averaging 1.36 goals per home match), gives Vitória a clear advantage. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts, who have collected more points (1.2 vs 1.0 PPG), making them the favorite in this clash.
Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vitória Guimarães played against Estrela Amadora in Liga NOS (Portugal). The game was played on February 14, 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Recent form
Vitória Guimarães has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Estrela Amadora has 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses, with 1.00 points per game.
Scoring records
Vitória Guimarães scores 1.10 goals per game and allows 1.43. Estrela Amadora scores 1.19 and allows 1.76. Games in this league average 2.78 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 38% of Vitória Guimarães's games and 48% of Estrela Amadora's. The Over 2.5 rates are 43% and 52%, compared with league averages of 46% for BTTS and 56% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vitória Guimarães has the higher season xG average, 1.41 to 1.13 per game. Vitória Guimarães takes 13.2 shots per game, while Estrela Amadora takes 10.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Vitória Guimarães leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.52 goals per game after halftime. Estrela Amadora leads at halftime in 19% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vitória Guimarães's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Estrela Amadora, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Liga Portugal games average 2.78 goals. Both teams score in 46% of games, and 56% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória Guimarães display significantly better form at home, winning 45% of their home matches and maintaining a positive goal difference (+1) at their own stadium. The hosts have an advantage in ball possession (48% vs 41%) and offensive efficiency, as confirmed by the average xG (1.4 vs 0.85). Estrela Amadora have serious problems in away matches, losing 40% of games and recording a negative goal difference (-9), as well as failing to score in half of their away encounters. The visitors concede an average of 2 goals per match away from home, which, combined with the hosts' solid offense (averaging 1.36 goals per home match), gives Vitória a clear advantage. The form from the last five matches also favors the hosts, who have collected more points (1.2 vs 1.0 PPG), making them the favorite in this clash.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória Guimarães | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Vitória Guimarães is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães · 1 pts / game - Estrela Amadora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estrela Amadora is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.1 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães · 1.19 goals / game - Estrela Amadora
Vitória Guimarães is 23% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.43 goals / game - Vitória Guimarães · 1.76 goals / game - Estrela Amadora
Vitória Guimarães scores in 62% of games (13 of 21 meczów), while Estrela Amadora keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 meczów).
Estrela Amadora scores in 57% of games (12 of 21 meczów), while Vitória Guimarães keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória Guimarães
Over / Under - Estrela Amadora
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória Guimarães is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / game - Vitória Guimarães · 0.95 pts / game - Estrela Amadora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória Guimarães - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Estrela Amadora - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 19% of games and wins 24%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 2.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -6 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vitória Guimarães
Estrela Amadora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Vitória Guimarães | Liga | Estrela Amadora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.52 | 2.78 | ▲ 2.95 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 30% | ▼ 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 72% | • 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Vitória Guimarães's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 0 losses against Estrela Amadora. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora?
The Liga NOS match finished Vitória Guimarães 2:1 Estrela Amadora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora?
Vitória Guimarães score 1.10 goals per game on average and Estrela Amadora 1.19. The Liga NOS average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Vitória Guimarães's matches and 48% of Estrela Amadora's.
What form are Vitória Guimarães and Estrela Amadora in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória Guimarães have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Estrela Amadora 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória Guimarães vs Estrela Amadora?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.