Vitória vs Chapecoense: match statistics
Vitória vs Chapecoense: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Vitória played against Chapecoense in Serie A (Brazil). The game was played on October 7, 2026. Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas. Final score: 4:0.
Recent form
Vitória has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.80 points per game. Chapecoense has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Vitória scores 1.00 goals per game and allows 1.50. Chapecoense scores 1.07 and allows 1.96. Games in this league average 2.66 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 39% of Vitória's games and 67% of Chapecoense's. The Over 2.5 rates are 39% and 56%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Vitória has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.29 per game. Vitória takes 12.1 shots per game, while Chapecoense takes 12.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Vitória leads at halftime in 29% of its games and scores 0.57 goals per game after halftime. Chapecoense leads at halftime in 7% and scores 0.63 after halftime.
When the teams score
Vitória's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). For Chapecoense, it is minutes 76-90+ (10 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Serie A games average 2.66 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Vitória are favorites primarily due to their home record: they have won 64% of these matches, while Chapecoense have won just 7% of their away games and lost 64%. The hosts score an average of 1.29 goals and concede 0.86 at home, while the visitors average 0.79 goals scored and 1.71 conceded away. The quality of chances also favors Vitória: their home xG is 1.51, whereas Chapecoense allow chances worth an average of 2.14 xG on the road. However, some caution is warranted, as Vitória have won only 1 of their last 5 matches, compared with Chapecoense’s 2 out of 5. Despite the visitors’ improved form, their poor away record and failure to keep a clean sheet in these matches point to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS - Yes landed in 69% of Vitória’s matches and 64% of Chapecoense’s, both above the league average of 60%. The hosts kept a clean sheet in only 15% of their matches, while the visitors did so in none, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends. Across their last five matches, the teams conceded an average of 1.8 and 1.4 goals respectively, while their average xG stood at 1.57 and 1.49, indicating that both regularly create chances. Chapecoense’s finishing is the biggest risk to this pick: the visitors score an average of 0.79 goals and have failed to score in 36% of their matches. Even so, BTTS - Yes landed in 80% of their last five games, so a scenario in which both teams score remains more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 85% of Vitória’s matches and 93% of Chapecoense’s, making this the strongest indicator in favor of Over 1.5 goals. Vitória average 1.38 goals scored, while Chapecoense concede 1.71; additionally, the hosts’ xG stands at 1.50, while their opponents allow chances worth 2.14 xG. The visitors score just 0.79 goals per match, but Vitória concede an average of 2.23, so a goal from Chapecoense is also a realistic possibility. Over 2.5 goals is less firmly supported by the data: it has landed in 69% of Vitória’s matches, but only 43% of Chapecoense’s, so Over 1.5 goals is the preferred pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Vitória went into the break level in 62% of its matches, compared with 50% for Chapecoense. The hosts have an edge in chance creation, with an average xG of 1.50 versus 1.10 for the visitors, but they have won only 15% of their matches, making a home win a less compelling signal than a draw. Chapecoense did win 2 of the last 5 matches, compared with 1 Vitória win, but over the full period under review it won only 7% of its matches. The limited scoring effectiveness of both teams after the break also points towards the draw holding: Vitória failed to score after half-time in 62% of matches, and Chapecoense in 50%. Therefore, the X/X HT/FT scenario narrowly edges out a half-time draw followed by a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Vitória | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Chapecoense is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / game - Vitória · 1.4 pts / game - Chapecoense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chapecoense is 7% better for: goals scored per game.
1 goals / game - Vitória · 1.07 goals / game - Chapecoense
Vitória is 31% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.5 goals / game - Vitória · 1.96 goals / game - Chapecoense
Vitória scores in 68% of games (19 of 28 games), while Chapecoense keeps a clean sheet in 7% (2 of 27 games).
Chapecoense scores in 70% of games (19 of 27 games), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 36% (10 of 28 games).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Vitória
Over / Under - Chapecoense
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Vitória is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / game - Vitória · 0.78 pts / game - Chapecoense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Vitória - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 29% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Chapecoense - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 7% of games and wins 11%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Vitória
Chapecoense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Vitória | Liga | Chapecoense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 2.50 | 2.66 | ▲ 3.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 36% | 23% | ▼ 7% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▲ 85% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Vitória's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Chapecoense. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Vitória vs Chapecoense?
The Serie A match finished Vitória 4:0 Chapecoense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Vitória vs Chapecoense?
Vitória score 1.00 goals per game on average and Chapecoense 1.07. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Vitória's matches and 67% of Chapecoense's.
What form are Vitória and Chapecoense in?
Over the last 5 games Vitória have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Chapecoense 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória vs Chapecoense?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.