Brazil - Serie AEstádio Manoel BarradasData current as of 17 July 2026

Vitória vs Vasco da Gama: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Vitória vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Vitória play Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 17 July 2026 at 00:30. Venue: Estádio Manoel Barradas.

Current form

Vitória: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Vitória scores 1.24 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.22 and concedes 1.61. League average: 2.66 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Vitória 47%, Vasco da Gama 72%. Over 2.5: Vitória 41%, Vasco da Gama 61%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

xG, shots and style

Vasco da Gama has higher xG: 1.87 vs 1.22. Vitória: 11.0 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 17.8.

Match halves

Vitória: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.76. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.89.

Goals by minute

Vitória: 16-30 (5 goals). Vasco da Gama: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.66 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.22)
(3.27)
(2.72)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

VitóriaVasco da Gama
1.24Goals scored / match1.22
VitóriaVasco da Gama
1.47Goals conceded / match1.61
VitóriaVasco da Gama
45%Average possession55%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
4.12Shots on target / match5.5
VitóriaVasco da Gama

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match17.83
VitóriaVasco da Gama
4.12Shots on target5.5
VitóriaVasco da Gama
11.2%Shot conversion6.9%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
45%Possession55%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
1.22xG for1.87
VitóriaVasco da Gama
1.53xG against1.33
VitóriaVasco da Gama

Shooting quality

Vitória: BalancedVasco da Gama: Dominant
VitóriaVasco da Gama
Accuracy (shots on target)37%31%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Vitória is 75% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Vitória · 0.8 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

Vitória
WDLWL
Season result split
35% W24% R41% P
Season (W-D-L)
6-4-7
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-1
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.33Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Vasco da Gama
DWLLL
Season result split
28% W28% R44% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-5-8
1.11 pts / match · goal difference -7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-4-4
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.87Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vitória is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.47 goals / match - Vitória · 1.61 goals / match - Vasco da Gama

Vitória scoring profile: very strong

Vitória scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 6% (1 of 18 matches).

Vasco da Gama scoring profile: strong

Vasco da Gama scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).

21Goals scored (season)22
VitóriaVasco da Gama
25Goals conceded (season)29
VitóriaVasco da Gama
2.71Average goals in match2.83
VitóriaVasco da Gama
9Goals scored (last 5)4
VitóriaVasco da Gama
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
VitóriaVasco da Gama

How often they score at least...

76%1 goal78%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
35%2 goals33%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
6%3 goals11%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
6%4 goals0%
VitóriaVasco da Gama

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal94%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
47%2 goals44%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
24%3 goals17%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
6%4 goals6%
VitóriaVasco da Gama

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

58%
League average

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time17%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
0%BTTS in both halves0%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
24%Scored in both halves0%
VitóriaVasco da Gama

BTTS and goal count

35%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
6%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
60%BTTS - last 540%
VitóriaVasco da Gama

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
35%Min. 2 goals before half-time22%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
VitóriaVasco da Gama

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time72%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time56%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time28%
VitóriaVasco da Gama

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Vitória is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Vitória · 0.78 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

Vitória - half-time state
29% leading29% draw41% trailing
Vasco da Gama - half-time state
17% leading28% draw56% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)0.78
VitóriaVasco da Gama
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.33
VitóriaVasco da Gama
0.88Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
VitóriaVasco da Gama
1.35Average goals (1st half)1.11
VitóriaVasco da Gama
41%Clean sheet before half-time28%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
59%No goal before half-time72%
VitóriaVasco da Gama

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.22
VitóriaVasco da Gama
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.89
VitóriaVasco da Gama
0.59Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
VitóriaVasco da Gama
1.35Average goals (2nd half)1.72
VitóriaVasco da Gama
59%Clean sheet after half-time39%
VitóriaVasco da Gama
41%No goal after half-time50%
VitóriaVasco da Gama

Vitória - second-half results

41% W29% R29% P
20
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding121%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.3

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vasco da Gama - second-half results

28% W39% R33% P
14
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.78
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Vitória - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Vasco da Gama - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal100%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Vitória
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
5
4
16-30
2
10
31-45
4
3
46-60
5
1
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Vasco da Gama
ScoredConceded
1
4
0-15
2
4
16-30
3
6
31-45
5
4
46-60
4
5
61-75
7
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
104%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
60%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+81%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Vitória

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.06
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
132%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Vasco da Gama

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.54
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.93
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.65
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.31
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

VitóriaLigaVasco da Gama
Average goals in match 2.712.66 2.83
Both teams scored 47%58% 72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%50% 61%
Clean sheets 35%23% 6%
Goal before half-time 82%77% 83%
Goal after half-time 76%78% 72%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.66
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.55
Home goals / match
1.11
Away goals / match
+40%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+25%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Vitória 1 - 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

CR Vasco da Gama
4 : 3
EC Vitória
EC Vitória
2 : 1
CR Vasco da Gama

FAQ

When do Vitória and Vasco da Gama play?

Vitória face Vasco da Gama on 16 July 2026 in Serie A at Estádio Manoel Barradas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Vitória and Vasco da Gama?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Vitória won 1, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?

Vitória score 1.24 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.22. The Serie A average is 2.66 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Vitória's matches and 72% of Vasco da Gama's.

What form are Vitória and Vasco da Gama in?

Over the last 5 games Vitória have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Vitória vs Vasco da Gama?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Vitória vs Vasco da Gama: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.