VPS vs Gnistan: match statistics
VPS vs Gnistan: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
VPS played against Gnistan in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on May 9, 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Recent form
VPS has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Gnistan has 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses, with 0.80 points per game.
Scoring records
VPS scores 0.80 goals per game and allows 0.60. Gnistan scores 0.80 and allows 2.00. Games in this league average 2.19 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 20% of VPS's games and 40% of Gnistan's. The Over 2.5 rates are 20% and 40%, compared with league averages of 44% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
VPS has the higher season xG average, 1.43 to 0.92 per game. VPS takes 12.0 shots per game, while Gnistan takes 7.8.
First-half and second-half trends
VPS leads at halftime in 40% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Gnistan leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.40 after halftime.
When the teams score
VPS's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Gnistan, it is minutes 61-75 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.19 goals. Both teams score in 44% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 0 home wins, 2 draws and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win for VPS. VPS has won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 24 goals in those five games, while Gnistan has won 2 of 5 and scored 5 goals. At home VPS averages 15 shots and 5 on target per match with an average xG of 1.69, whereas Gnistan away average 8 shots and 2.5 on target with xG 0.94, indicating a clear home advantage in creating quality chances. Defensively VPS concedes 1.0 goal on average at home and keeps clean sheets in 50% of matches, while Gnistan has 0% clean sheets and an average xG against of 2.13 versus the home 1.66, suggesting the visitors allow more dangerous situations. Additionally VPS averages 2.4 points per match over the last 5 fixtures versus Gnistan’s 1.4 points, therefore a home victory is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
VPS is in clear offensive form: in the last 5 matches they scored 24 goals (avg 4.8 per match) with last5 xG_for 2.16, indicating strong chance creation. Gnistan has 5 goals in their last 5 (avg 1.0) and last5 xG_for 1.05, however seasonally away they score only 0.5 goals per match and have a low shot conversion of 6%. Defensively Gnistan concedes many chances — xG_against_away = 2.13 and have conceded 10 goals on the road this season — while VPS concedes 2.67 goals per home match on the season, although in the last 5 VPS have conceded only 0.8 on average. BTTS stats are mixed: season BTTS VPS 33% vs Gnistan 50%, but in the last 5 it's 40% and 20% respectively, and in the league BTTS is 50% with 56% clean sheets. Considering VPS's offensive momentum (24 goals in 5 games) and Gnistan's defensive weaknesses (2.13 xG_against, 10 goals conceded this season), I assess the "Yes" scenario (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal) as more likely at 62% vs 38%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate a total of approximately 2.80 goals in the match: home VPS ~1.71, away Gnistan ~1.09. VPS season xG is 0.91, while Gnistan concedes season xG of 2.13, which in a simple model yields 1.52 expected goals for the hosts; additionally, in the last 5 matches VPS has an average xG of 2.16 and has scored 24 goals (avg 4.8), so the forecast for VPS increases to ~1.71. For Gnistan, seasonal attacking xG is 0.94, and VPS seasonally concedes xG of 1.53 (simple model ~1.23), but considering the visitors’ last 5 matches (xG 1.05, 5 goals scored) I adjusted the away forecast to ~1.09. The sum 2.80 is above the 2.5 line, therefore Over 1.5 shows the strongest signal (77%), Over 2.5 has a moderate edge (53%), and Over 3.5 is less likely (31%). I recommend betting Over 1.5, because VPS’s high attacking form (24 goals in 5 matches and average xG 2.16) and Gnistan’s vulnerability to conceding (10 conceded in the season, 5 in the last 5) increase the likelihood of at least 2 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is 1/1 — VPS leads at the break and wins the match; I assess it at 55%. In the last 5 matches VPS led at half-time in 4 of 5 games (80%) and won 4 of 5 (80%), with an average half-time goals of 2.8 for VPS versus 0.2 for Gnistan. Seasonally VPS scores on average 1.0 goal per match versus 0.5 for Gnistan, and the home side’s finishing rate is 13% compared to 6% for the visitors; with similar xG (0.91 vs 0.94) this gives VPS an advantage in converting chances into goals. Gnistan has no wins this season (0% wins) and is often level at half-time (seasonal HT data shows 100% draws), so the visitors leading at the break is unlikely (5% overall). Therefore the distribution assigns 55% to 1/1, 12% to X/1 and 10% to X/X as realistic alternatives, 10% to 1/X and small shares to the remaining outcomes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| VPS | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
VPS is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - VPS · 0.8 pts / game - Gnistan
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
VPS is 233% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.6 goals / game - VPS · 2 goals / game - Gnistan
VPS scores in 40% of games (2 of 5 meczów), while Gnistan keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 meczów).
Gnistan scores in 60% of games (3 of 5 meczów), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - VPS
Over / Under - Gnistan
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
VPS is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / game - VPS · 1 pts / game - Gnistan
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
VPS - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 40% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.6 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Gnistan - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 20%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.8 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
VPS
Gnistan
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| VPS | Liga | Gnistan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 1.40 | 2.19 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 20% | 44% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▲ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 32% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 75% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 72% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from VPS's perspective: 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses against Gnistan. Games average 0.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of VPS vs Gnistan?
The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 1:1 Gnistan. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between VPS and Gnistan?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches VPS won 0, Gnistan won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs Gnistan?
VPS score 0.80 goals per game on average and Gnistan 0.80. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 20% of VPS's matches and 40% of Gnistan's.
What form are VPS and Gnistan in?
Over the last 5 games VPS have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Gnistan 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs Gnistan?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.