VPS vs Ilves: match statistics
VPS vs Ilves: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
VPS played against Ilves in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on April 24, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
VPS has 0 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 0.67 points per game. Ilves has 0 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 0.33 points per game.
Scoring records
VPS scores 0.00 goals per game and allows 0.33. Ilves scores 1.33 and allows 2.33. Games in this league average 2.42 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 0% of VPS's games and 100% of Ilves's. The Over 2.5 rates are 0% and 100%, compared with league averages of 42% for BTTS and 47% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Ilves has the higher season xG average, 1.28 to 0.80 per game. VPS takes 5.7 shots per game, while Ilves takes 11.0.
First-half and second-half trends
VPS leads at halftime in 0% of its games and scores 0.00 goals per game after halftime. Ilves leads at halftime in 33% and scores 0.67 after halftime.
When the teams score
VPS's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (0 goals). For Ilves, it is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Veikkausliiga games average 2.42 goals. Both teams score in 42% of games, and 47% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a draw (X). VPS at home records 100% draws and 100% clean sheets with an average of 0 goals scored and 0 conceded per home match, 2 shots on target and 54% possession; in the last 5 matches they have a record of 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss and 1.6 points per game. Ilves have not won away (0% wins), have 50% draws and 50% losses, score an average of 1.5 goals away, but concede 2.0 on average and conceded 12 goals in the last 5 matches, yielding only 0.4 pts per game in that period. In terms of quality of chances VPS at home have xG 1.03 versus xG against 2.11, while Ilves away have xG 1.05 versus xG against 1.53, so Ilves create similar chances but have clear defensive issues. Considering VPS’s 100% home draws and Ilves’s lack of away wins and the points difference (1.6 vs 0.4 PPG in the last 5), I assign the highest probability to a draw (65%), with 10% for a home win and 25% for an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS at 100% (VPS 100% and Ilves 100%), which is a strong signal that these teams’ matches frequently end with goals from both sides. Match data support this: VPS has average xG 1.74 versus 1.05 for Ilves; VPS averages 5.0 shots on target and 14.0 shots per match, while Ilves averages 3.0 shots on target and 9.5 shots, with Ilves conversion rate at 16% versus 7% for VPS. However, the last 5 matches show divergence — VPS scored 17 and conceded just 1 (3.4 for and 0.2 against on average), producing 0% BTTS in the last five, whereas Ilves in that period has 8 scored and 12 conceded (1.6 and 2.4) and 100% BTTS. Given the league BTTS level of 42%, and that both teams have 100% of matches over 2.5 goals this season, the dominant seasonal BTTS signals and xG/SOT stats indicate a higher probability of both teams scoring than VPS’s recent form alone would suggest. Therefore I forecast BTTS - Yes with a probability of 75% vs 25% — driven by both teams’ seasonal 100% BTTS, the xG edge 1.74 vs 1.05 and Ilves’ high efficiency (16% conversion), despite VPS’s recent run warranting caution.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on both teams' xG (VPS 1.74 vs Ilves 1.05) and conceded xG (1.53 for both), I expect approximately 1.64 goals for VPS and 1.29 for Ilves, totaling ~2.93 goals. A Poisson model for total xG = 2.93 projects probabilities: Over 1.5 ≈ 79%, Over 2.5 ≈ 56% and Over 3.5 ≈ 34%. Additionally, seasonal data reinforces the bias toward more goals — both teams scored in 100% of matches and both teams’ matches exceeded 2.5 goals in 100% of fixtures this season; VPS scored 17 goals in the last 5 matches (avg 3.4), Ilves conceded 12 goals (avg 2.4), and VPS averages 14 shots (5 on target) vs Ilves 9.5 (3 on target). Taking this into account I lift the estimates to Over 1.5 = 86%, Over 2.5 = 65% and Over 3.5 = 38%; the strongest signal from the data is Over 2.5 (back the Over at the 2.5 line), since xG ≈ 2.93 aligns with seasonal 100% Over 2.5 and 100% both-teams-to-score matches.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
First-half statistics strongly favor Ilves: VPS did not score before the break (average 0.0) and conceded an average of 2.0 goals by half-time, while Ilves averaged 1.0 goal at the break and led at the break in 50% of matches. Over the full match VPS concedes an average of 3.0 goals per game, despite generating higher xG (1.74 vs 1.05) and more shots (14 vs 9.5); with the hosts’ low finishing rate (conversion 7% vs Ilves’ 16%) this indicates problems in chance completion. Both teams regularly score (both have goals in 100% of matches), but Ilves’ efficiency (an average 1.5 goals per away match this season) gives them the edge over 90 minutes. Therefore the most likely scenario is Ilves to lead at the break and Ilves to win after 90 minutes, hence the selection 2/2.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| VPS | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
VPS is 103% better for: last-5 form.
0.67 pts / game - VPS · 0.33 pts / game - Ilves
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
VPS is 606% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.33 goals / game - VPS · 2.33 goals / game - Ilves
VPS scores in 0% of games (0 of 3 meczów), while Ilves keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 meczów).
Ilves scores in 100% of games (3 of 3 meczów), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - VPS
Over / Under - Ilves
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ilves is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - VPS · 1.33 pts / game - Ilves
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
VPS - second-half results
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Ilves - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals per game | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.33 | 0.67 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| Average goals per game | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 0% |
| No goal | 33% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Concedes most in 61-75 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
VPS
Ilves
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).
Teams vs league
| VPS | Liga | Ilves | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 0.33 | 2.42 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 42% | ▲ 100% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 47% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 34% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 0% | 74% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from VPS's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Ilves. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of VPS vs Ilves?
The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 3:2 Ilves. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between VPS and Ilves?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches VPS won 1, Ilves won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs Ilves?
VPS score 0.00 goals per game on average and Ilves 1.33. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 0% of VPS's matches and 100% of Ilves's.
What form are VPS and Ilves in?
Over the last 5 games VPS have a 0-2-1 record (0.67 points per game) and Ilves 0-1-2 (0.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs Ilves?
The statistical background for VPS vs Ilves — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.