Finland - VeikkausliigaData current as of October 27, 2026

VPS vs Oulu: match statistics

VPS crest
VPS
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Oulu crest
Oulu

VPS vs Oulu: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

VPS played against Oulu in Veikkausliiga (Finland). The game was played on September 8, 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Recent form

VPS has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Oulu has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.

Scoring records

VPS scores 1.32 goals per game and allows 1.00. Oulu scores 1.14 and allows 1.14. Games in this league average 2.58 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 55% of VPS's games and 41% of Oulu's. The Over 2.5 rates are 41% and 36%, compared with league averages of 49% for BTTS and 46% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

VPS has the higher season xG average, 1.48 to 1.24 per game. VPS takes 12.1 shots per game, while Oulu takes 10.6.

First-half and second-half trends

VPS leads at halftime in 36% of its games and scores 0.59 goals per game after halftime. Oulu leads at halftime in 23% and scores 0.73 after halftime.

When the teams score

VPS's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (7 goals). For Oulu, it is minutes 61-75 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Veikkausliiga games average 2.58 goals. Both teams score in 49% of games, and 46% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 5 previous meetings were available. The record was 2 home wins, 0 draws and 3 away wins. Those games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

VPS have significantly better home figures: they average 1.64 goals with an xG of 1.50, while Oulu score 1.18 goals away from home and generate an xG of 1.28. The hosts concede just 1.00 goal per match at home, whereas Oulu’s away defense allows opponents an average of 1.45 goals and an xG of 1.57. VPS also record more shots on target, 4.82 compared with 3.73, and have a positive home goal difference of +7, compared with Oulu’s -3 in away matches. The last five games do not indicate a significant difference in form, as VPS won 2 matches and Oulu also won 2, with one draw, but the visitors have scored just 4 goals during this period. A closely contested match is expected, but VPS’s superior quality at home points to a narrow victory for the hosts.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The BTTS signal is clearly below the league average: VPS has seen both teams score in 36% of its matches, while Oulu stands at 45%, compared with 49% across the league. In their last five matches, Oulu recorded BTTS in just 20% of cases, scoring an average of 0.8 goals and conceding 0.8, which points to frequent matches in which only one side finds the net. VPS has a solid seasonal defensive record, conceding an average of 0.82 goals and keeping a clean sheet in 45% of matches, so the visitors may struggle to score. Oulu does concede an average of 1.45 goals, but the hosts score only 1.09 goals per match and also failed to score in 27% of their appearances. Lower recent scoring figures—1.0 goals for VPS and 0.8 for Oulu per match—support the scenario in which at least one team fails to score, making BTTS - No the preferred outcome.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

The goal profiles of both teams point to a moderate tempo: VPS average 1.09 goals, while Oulu average 1.18 goals per match. VPS have a solid defense, conceding an average of 0.82 goals, whereas Oulu have scored just 0.8 goals and conceded 0.8 in their last five matches. The xG figures suggest around 1.30 goals for the hosts and 1.02 for the visitors, producing a projected total of 2.32 goals, below the 3.5 line. Under 3.5 goals was recorded in 91% of VPS matches and 73% of Oulu matches, while neither team has shown consistency in scoring at least three goals. The strongest option is therefore Under 3.5, as four goals would require a clear departure from both teams’ season-long trends.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a VPS win at full-time (X/1), as the hosts have been level at the break in 64% of their matches and have conceded just 0.18 goals on average during the first half. VPS score only 0.27 goals per match before the break, which supports a cautious opening, although Oulu have a major defensive problem in this phase, allowing opponents to score an average of 1.09 goals. After the interval, the hosts score an average of 0.82 goals and win the second half in 55% of matches, while their season-long win rate stands at 55%, compared with Oulu’s 36%. VPS’s advantage is further reinforced by their more solid overall defensive record, conceding an average of 0.82 goals compared with Oulu’s 1.45, as well as Oulu’s higher opponents’ xG of 1.57 versus VPS’s 1.19.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 0
Second half

Game stats

40Possession (%)60
VPSOulu
7Shots16
VPSOulu
2Shots on target5
VPSOulu
0.85xG1.72
VPSOulu
2Corners8
VPSOulu
36Dangerous attacks50
VPSOulu
17Fouls9
VPSOulu
4Cards1
VPSOulu

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

1.32Goals scored / game1.14
VPSOulu
1Goals allowed / game1.14
VPSOulu
48%Average possession47%
VPSOulu
4.82Shots on target / game3.68
VPSOulu

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

12.09Shots per game10.55
VPSOulu
4.82Shots on target3.68
VPSOulu
10.9%Shot conversion10.8%
VPSOulu
48%Possession47%
VPSOulu
1.48xG for1.24
VPSOulu
1.34xG against1.38
VPSOulu

Shooting quality

VPS: BalancedOulu: Balanced
VPSOulu
Accuracy (shots on target)40%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Oulu is 17% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - VPS · 1.4 pts / game - Oulu

VPS
LWLWL
Season result split
41% W27% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-7
1.50 pts / game · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
WWLLL
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.57Opponent xG: 1.43BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Oulu
WLLWD
Season result split
45% W18% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-8
1.55 pts / game · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
4-2-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.91Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

VPS is 16% better for: goals scored per game.

1.32 goals / game - VPS · 1.14 goals / game - Oulu

VPS is 14% better for: goals allowed per game.

1 goals / game - VPS · 1.14 goals / game - Oulu

VPS scoring profile: strong

VPS scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 games), while Oulu keeps a clean sheet in 41% (9 of 22 games).

Oulu scoring profile: very strong

Oulu scores in 73% of games (16 of 22 games), while VPS keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 games).

29Goals scored (season)25
VPSOulu
22Goals conceded (season)25
VPSOulu
2.32Average goals per game2.27
VPSOulu
5Goals scored (last 5)4
VPSOulu
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
VPSOulu

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal73%
VPSOulu
27%2 goals27%
VPSOulu
18%3 goals5%
VPSOulu
9%4 goals5%
VPSOulu

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal59%
VPSOulu
18%2 goals27%
VPSOulu
9%3 goals18%
VPSOulu
0%4 goals5%
VPSOulu

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time14%
VPSOulu
0%BTTS in both halves5%
VPSOulu
14%Scored in both halves14%
VPSOulu

BTTS and goal count

36%Min. 3 goals and BTTS32%
VPSOulu
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
VPSOulu
40%BTTS - last 520%
VPSOulu

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

77%Min. 1 goal before half-time59%
VPSOulu
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time27%
VPSOulu
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
VPSOulu

2nd half

64%Min. 1 goal after half-time68%
VPSOulu
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time32%
VPSOulu
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time23%
VPSOulu

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

VPS is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / game - VPS · 1.14 pts / game - Oulu

VPS - half-time state
36% leading32% draw32% trailing
Oulu - half-time state
23% leading45% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per game (1st half)1.14
VPSOulu
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.41
VPSOulu
0.64Goals conceded (1st half)0.64
VPSOulu
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.05
VPSOulu
50%Clean sheet before half-time59%
VPSOulu
55%No goal before half-time68%
VPSOulu

After half-time (2nd half)

1.41Points per game (2nd half)1.73
VPSOulu
0.59Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
VPSOulu
0.36Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
VPSOulu
0.95Average goals (2nd half)1.23
VPSOulu
68%Clean sheet after half-time68%
VPSOulu
59%No goal after half-time45%
VPSOulu

VPS - second-half results

32% W45% D23% L
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding114%

Leads at halftime in 36% of games and wins 41%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.3

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Oulu - second-half results

45% W36% D18% L
25
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding196%

Leads at halftime in 23% of games and wins 45%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.1

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

VPS - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.60.4
Goals allowed / game1.00.2
Average goals per game1.60.6
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Oulu - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.60
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.20.6
Average goals per game0.61.0
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

VPS
ScoredConceded
6
3
0-15
3
5
16-30
7
6
31-45
3
1
46-60
6
5
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Oulu
ScoredConceded
1
6
0-15
4
1
16-30
4
7
31-45
4
3
46-60
7
5
61-75
5
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

2.30
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.2 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
89%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+66%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
53%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

VPS

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.18
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
88%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Oulu

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.15
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Veikkausliiga).

Teams vs league

VPSLigaOulu
Average goals per game▼ 2.322.58▼ 2.27
Both teams scored▲ 55%49%▼ 41%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 41%46%▼ 36%
Clean sheets▼ 27%29%▲ 41%
Goal before half-time▲ 77%73%▼ 59%
Goal after half-time▼ 64%75%▼ 68%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.58
Average goals per game
49%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / game
1.13
Away goals / game
+28%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. VPSSubstitutionOn: Xavier OdhiamboOff: Joonas Vahtera
  2. OuluSubstitutionOn: Lamine GhezaliOff: Niklas Jokelainen
  3. VPSYellow cardYassin Daoussi
  4. OuluYellow cardMarkus Arsalo
  5. VPSYellow cardLassana Mané
  6. OuluSubstitutionOn: Julius PaananenOff: Markus Arsalo
  7. VPSSubstitutionOn: Oluwaseyi OgunniyiOff: Xavier Odhiambo
  8. VPSYellow cardCasper Holmelund

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Record from VPS's perspective: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses against Oulu. Games average 3.80 goals, and both teams scored in 60% of them.

VPS
5 : 1
Oulu
Oulu
1 : 0
VPS
AC Oulu
2 : 0
Vaasan Palloseura
AC Oulu
2 : 1
Vaasan Palloseura
Vaasan Palloseura
4 : 3
AC Oulu

FAQ

What was the result of VPS vs Oulu?

The Veikkausliiga match finished VPS 1:0 Oulu. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between VPS and Oulu?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches VPS won 2, Oulu won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 60% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before VPS vs Oulu?

VPS score 1.32 goals per game on average and Oulu 1.14. The Veikkausliiga average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of VPS's matches and 41% of Oulu's.

What form are VPS and Oulu in?

Over the last 5 games VPS have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Oulu 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for VPS vs Oulu?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for VPS vs Oulu: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.