Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla: match statistics
Wadi Degla displays solid form with three victories in the last five matches and an impressive goal difference of 11:4. The hosts possess a clear advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%) and greater efficiency in creating scoring chances, confirmed by a higher average xG (1.3 vs 0.96). Ghazl El Mehalla is a typical draw-prone team away from home, with as many as 71% of matches ending in shared points, making a draw a realistic scenario. The guests stand out defensively (71% clean sheets away), yet their offense is weak - failing to score in 57% of away matches. Considering the hosts' advantage in key offensive statistics and solid form, a Wadi Degla victory is the most probable result, although the guests' defensive approach could lead to a draw. The class difference and xG metrics favor the hosts.
Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wadi Degla played against Ghazl El Mehalla in Egyptian Premier League (Egypt). The game was played on January 22, 2026. Final score: 3:2.
Recent form
Wadi Degla has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Ghazl El Mehalla has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Wadi Degla scores 1.15 goals per game and allows 0.85. Ghazl El Mehalla scores 0.54 and allows 0.31. Games in this league average 1.91 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 62% of Wadi Degla's games and 23% of Ghazl El Mehalla's. The Over 2.5 rates are 38% and 15%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 33% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Wadi Degla has the higher season xG average, 1.31 to 1.01 per game. Wadi Degla takes 11.0 shots per game, while Ghazl El Mehalla takes 8.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Wadi Degla leads at halftime in 8% of its games and scores 0.92 goals per game after halftime. Ghazl El Mehalla leads at halftime in 8% and scores 0.38 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wadi Degla's most productive scoring window is minutes 61-75 (5 goals). For Ghazl El Mehalla, it is minutes 61-75 (3 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Egyptian Premier League games average 1.91 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 33% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wadi Degla displays solid form with three victories in the last five matches and an impressive goal difference of 11:4. The hosts possess a clear advantage in ball possession (56% vs 46%) and greater efficiency in creating scoring chances, confirmed by a higher average xG (1.3 vs 0.96). Ghazl El Mehalla is a typical draw-prone team away from home, with as many as 71% of matches ending in shared points, making a draw a realistic scenario. The guests stand out defensively (71% clean sheets away), yet their offense is weak - failing to score in 57% of away matches. Considering the hosts' advantage in key offensive statistics and solid form, a Wadi Degla victory is the most probable result, although the guests' defensive approach could lead to a draw. The class difference and xG metrics favor the hosts.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wadi Degla | Ghazl El Mehalla | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 22% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Ghazl El Mehalla is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / game - Wadi Degla · 1.4 pts / game - Ghazl El Mehalla
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wadi Degla is 113% better for: goals scored per game.
1.15 goals / game - Wadi Degla · 0.54 goals / game - Ghazl El Mehalla
Ghazl El Mehalla is 174% better for: goals allowed per game.
0.85 goals / game - Wadi Degla · 0.31 goals / game - Ghazl El Mehalla
Wadi Degla scores in 69% of games (9 of 13 meczów), while Ghazl El Mehalla keeps a clean sheet in 77% (10 of 13 meczów).
Ghazl El Mehalla scores in 38% of games (5 of 13 meczów), while Wadi Degla keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wadi Degla
Over / Under - Ghazl El Mehalla
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ghazl El Mehalla is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.85 pts / game - Wadi Degla · 1.08 pts / game - Ghazl El Mehalla
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wadi Degla - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Ghazl El Mehalla - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 8% of games and wins 15%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals per game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wadi Degla
Ghazl El Mehalla
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Egyptian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Wadi Degla | Liga | Ghazl El Mehalla | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.00 | 1.91 | ▼ 0.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 62% | 43% | ▼ 23% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 33% | ▼ 15% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 38% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal before half-time | • 54% | 55% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▼ 38% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
The Egyptian Premier League match finished Wadi Degla 3:2 Ghazl El Mehalla. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Wadi Degla score 1.15 goals per game on average and Ghazl El Mehalla 0.54. The Egyptian Premier League average is 1.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 62% of Wadi Degla's matches and 23% of Ghazl El Mehalla's.
What form are Wadi Degla and Ghazl El Mehalla in?
Over the last 5 games Wadi Degla have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ghazl El Mehalla 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Wadi Degla vs Ghazl El Mehalla: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.