Wadi Degla vs Masr: match statistics

Wadi Degla have produced a clearly better record over their last five matches, earning 8 points from 2 wins and 2 draws, while Masr have collected 5 points. The hosts have scored 6 goals and conceded just 3 during this period, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per match. Masr have managed only 4 goals while conceding 6, losing 2 of their last 5 matches. Although Wadi Degla sit lower in the table, their current form and significantly more stable defense point towards a narrow home win. However, two draws for the hosts and two draws for the visitors in their last five matches increase the likelihood of a closely contested game.

The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Wadi Degla have maintained a solid defensive record in their last 5 matches, conceding an average of just 0.6 goals while allowing opponents an xG of 0.81. Masr scored only 0.8 goals per match during this period, with an average xG of 0.87, which limits the visitors’ chances of breaking through the hosts’ defense. BTTS occurred in just 20% of Wadi Degla’s last five matches and 40% of Masr’s games, averaging only 30% overall. The hosts should have better conditions for finding the net, as they score an average of 1.2 goals, while Masr concede 1.2 goals and allow opponents an xG of 1.61. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that at least one team—primarily Masr—will fail to score.

Wadi Degla have scored 6 goals and conceded only 3 in their last five matches, averaging 1.2 and 0.6 goals per game, respectively. Masr have a weaker attacking record, scoring an average of 0.8 goals while conceding 1.2, so the hosts should have the greater share of the goal advantage. Only 20% of the last five matches for each team ended with at least three goals, while the low frequency of both teams scoring—20% for Wadi Degla and 40% for Masr—limits the prospect of a high-scoring game. Although the xG matchup suggests approximately 2.24 goals, the hosts' defense, with an xG against of 0.81, supports the Under 3.5 goals scenario, which is the strongest outcome according to the data.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Wadi Degla win at full-time, as both teams have recently scored just 0.2 goals per match before the break. Masr were level at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Wadi Degla were level in 2 of 5; moreover, in none of these games did either team score more than once before the break. After half-time, the hosts look significantly stronger: they average 1.0 goals scored and concede just 0.2, whereas Masr concede 1.0 goal in this period. Wadi Degla won the second half in 60% of their last five appearances and did not lose any of them, while Masr won after the break in only 20% of their matches. The hosts’ superiority over the full period is also reflected in their form: they averaged 1.6 points per match compared with Masr’s 1.0, and conceded 0.6 goals per game compared with their opponents’ 1.2.