Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg: match statistics
Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Waldhof Mannheim play MSV Duisburg in 3. Liga (Germany). The match date is 11 April 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 1:4.
Current form
Waldhof Mannheim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. MSV Duisburg: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Waldhof Mannheim scores 1.55 and concedes 1.89 goals per match. MSV Duisburg scores 1.74 and concedes 1.29. League average: 3.21 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Waldhof Mannheim 68%, MSV Duisburg 66%. Over 2.5: Waldhof Mannheim 68%, MSV Duisburg 63%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
xG, shots and style
Waldhof Mannheim has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.52. Waldhof Mannheim: 13.2 shots per match, MSV Duisburg: 12.4.
Match halves
Waldhof Mannheim: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.05. MSV Duisburg: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.03.
Goals by minute
Waldhof Mannheim: 46-60 (16 goals). MSV Duisburg: 76-90+ (17 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3. Liga: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 64%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1). Waldhof creates more chances at home — averaging 14.31 shots with 5.44 on target, translating to 1.81 goals per game and xG 1.69, while MSV away averages 11.19 shots, 3.69 on target, 1.31 goals and xG 1.34. Hosts are less often shut out (FTS 19% vs 38% for MSV) and have a positive home goal differential (+5) with 1.5 goals conceded on average, contrasted with the visitors’ away differential (-5 and 1.63 conceded away). MSV, however, enjoy a higher league position (4th vs 10th) and a better season goal record 55:51 and a high away clean sheet rate (44%), making them defensively dangerous. Considering Waldhof’s advantage in chance quality (higher SOT and xG) and similar recent form over the last 5 matches (PPG 1.6 vs 1.8), I assess the probabilities at 55% for the hosts, 25% for a draw and 20% for MSV.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Waldhof Mannheim | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MSV Duisburg is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Waldhof Mannheim · 1.6 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MSV Duisburg is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Waldhof Mannheim · 1.74 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
MSV Duisburg is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.89 goals / match - Waldhof Mannheim · 1.29 goals / match - MSV Duisburg
Waldhof Mannheim scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while MSV Duisburg keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
MSV Duisburg scores in 79% of matches (30 of 38 matches), while Waldhof Mannheim keeps a clean sheet in 11% (4 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Waldhof Mannheim
Over / Under — MSV Duisburg
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
MSV Duisburg is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Waldhof Mannheim · 1.39 pts / match - MSV Duisburg
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Waldhof Mannheim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MSV Duisburg - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (17 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Waldhof Mannheim
MSV Duisburg
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3. Liga).
Teams vs league
| Waldhof Mannheim | Liga | MSV Duisburg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.45 | 3.21 | ▼ 3.03 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 64% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 64% | • 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 21% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 77% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 83% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Waldhof Mannheim 0 - 0 - 1 MSV Duisburg. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?
The 3. Liga match finished Waldhof Mannheim 1:4 MSV Duisburg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?
Waldhof Mannheim score 1.55 goals per game on average and MSV Duisburg 1.74. The 3. Liga average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Waldhof Mannheim's matches and 66% of MSV Duisburg's.
What form are Waldhof Mannheim and MSV Duisburg in?
Over the last 5 games Waldhof Mannheim have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and MSV Duisburg 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Waldhof Mannheim vs MSV Duisburg?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.