Warri Wolves vs Katsina United: match statistics
Warri Wolves display solid home form with a 30% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheet rate at home, indicating a strong defense. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +2 in home matches, averaging 1 goal scored per game while conceding only 0.8. Katsina United face serious problems in away matches – a significant 56% of their games end without scoring a goal, and their average goals scored is just 0.56 per match. The visitors have a negative goal difference of -4 on the road and only a 22% win rate in away fixtures. Despite Katsina's better recent overall form (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), their weakness away from home combined with the hosts' strong defensive record favors a Warri Wolves victory.
Warri Wolves vs Katsina United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Warri Wolves play Katsina United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 18 January 2026 at 16:00. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Warri Wolves: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Katsina United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Warri Wolves scores 0.95 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Katsina United scores 0.86 and concedes 0.95. League average: 2.02 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Warri Wolves 37%, Katsina United 30%. Over 2.5: Warri Wolves 34%, Katsina United 22%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Warri Wolves has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.08. Warri Wolves: 4.9 shots per match, Katsina United: 2.6.
Match halves
Warri Wolves: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.61. Katsina United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Warri Wolves: 46-60 (11 goals). Katsina United: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 2.02 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Warri Wolves display solid home form with a 30% win rate and an impressive 50% clean sheet rate at home, indicating a strong defense. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +2 in home matches, averaging 1 goal scored per game while conceding only 0.8. Katsina United face serious problems in away matches – a significant 56% of their games end without scoring a goal, and their average goals scored is just 0.56 per match. The visitors have a negative goal difference of -4 on the road and only a 22% win rate in away fixtures. Despite Katsina's better recent overall form (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), their weakness away from home combined with the hosts' strong defensive record favors a Warri Wolves victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Warri Wolves | Katsina United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 | 0.42 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 1.69 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warri Wolves is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 0.86 goals / match - Katsina United
Katsina United is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Warri Wolves · 0.95 goals / match - Katsina United
Warri Wolves scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Katsina United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (13 of 37 matches).
Katsina United scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Warri Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Warri Wolves
Over / Under — Katsina United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Katsina United is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Warri Wolves · 1.38 pts / match - Katsina United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warri Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Katsina United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Warri Wolves
Katsina United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Warri Wolves | Liga | Katsina United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.03 | 2.02 | ▼ 1.81 |
| Both teams scored | • 37% | 38% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 34% | 34% | ▼ 22% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 37% | ▼ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 61% | ▼ 49% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 64% | ▲ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Warri Wolves 1 - 0 - 0 Katsina United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Warri Wolves vs Katsina United?
The NPFL match finished Warri Wolves 2:0 Katsina United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Warri Wolves vs Katsina United?
Warri Wolves score 0.95 goals per game on average and Katsina United 0.86. The NPFL average is 2.02 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Warri Wolves's matches and 30% of Katsina United's.
What form are Warri Wolves and Katsina United in?
Over the last 5 games Warri Wolves have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Katsina United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warri Wolves vs Katsina United?
The statistical background for Warri Wolves vs Katsina United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.