Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa: match statistics
Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Warta Gorzów play Polonia Nysa in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match date is 9 May 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Warta Gorzów: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Polonia Nysa: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Warta Gorzów scores 1.56 and concedes 1.38 goals per match. Polonia Nysa scores 1.53 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Warta Gorzów 65%, Polonia Nysa 65%. Over 2.5: Warta Gorzów 65%, Polonia Nysa 62%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Polonia Nysa has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.40. Warta Gorzów: 7.2 shots per match, Polonia Nysa: 8.7.
Match halves
Warta Gorzów: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.44. Polonia Nysa: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Warta Gorzów: 0-15 (34 goals). Polonia Nysa: 0-15 (28 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a home win (1): Warta Gorzów has a 43% home win rate this season, while Polonia Nysa records only 29% wins away. Warta averages 1.47 xG per home match and attempts 12.18 shots per game with 5.09 on target, whereas Polonia posts 1.25 xG and 9.22 shots with 4.11 on target. Defensively the hosts are superior: Warta concedes 1.36 goals per home match, with an average xG against of 1.12, versus Polonia’s 1.86 goals conceded and 1.59 xG against on the road. The visitors have recently shown stronger attacking form — scoring 10 goals in the last 5 matches compared to Warta’s 4 in the same period — but Polonia also has a higher share of away matches without scoring (14% vs 7% for the hosts). Considering Warta’s advantage in chance creation (xG 1.47 vs 1.25), higher shot volume and better defensive discipline, I assign a 60% probability to a home win, 22% to a draw and 18% to an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Warta Gorzów | Polonia Nysa | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Warta Gorzów is 233% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Warta Gorzów · 0.6 pts / match - Polonia Nysa
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Warta Gorzów is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.38 goals / match - Warta Gorzów · 1.71 goals / match - Polonia Nysa
Warta Gorzów scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Polonia Nysa keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
Polonia Nysa scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Warta Gorzów keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Warta Gorzów
Over / Under — Polonia Nysa
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Warta Gorzów is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / match - Warta Gorzów · 0.91 pts / match - Polonia Nysa
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warta Gorzów - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Polonia Nysa - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (34 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (28 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (33). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Warta Gorzów
Polonia Nysa
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Warta Gorzów | Liga | Polonia Nysa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.94 | 3.20 | • 3.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 58% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 65% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 24% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 47% | 42% | • 41% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 41% | 44% | ▼ 38% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Warta Gorzów 0 - 1 - 0 Polonia Nysa. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Warta Gorzów 1:0 Polonia Nysa. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa?
Warta Gorzów score 1.56 goals per game on average and Polonia Nysa 1.53. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Warta Gorzów's matches and 65% of Polonia Nysa's.
What form are Warta Gorzów and Polonia Nysa in?
Over the last 5 games Warta Gorzów have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Polonia Nysa 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa?
The statistical background for Warta Gorzów vs Polonia Nysa — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.