Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II: match statistics
Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Warta Gorzów played against Zagłębie Lubin II in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The game was played on May 15, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Warta Gorzów has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Zagłębie Lubin II has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Warta Gorzów scores 1.61 goals per game and allows 1.45. Zagłębie Lubin II scores 2.30 and allows 1.80. Games in this league average 3.17 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Warta Gorzów's games and 63% of Zagłębie Lubin II's. The Over 2.5 rates are 68% and 77%, compared with league averages of 59% for BTTS and 65% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Zagłębie Lubin II has the higher season xG average, 1.93 to 1.41 per game. Warta Gorzów takes 7.2 shots per game, while Zagłębie Lubin II takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Warta Gorzów leads at halftime in 16% of its games and scores 0.45 goals per game after halftime. Zagłębie Lubin II leads at halftime in 10% and scores 0.43 after halftime.
When the teams score
Warta Gorzów's most productive scoring window is minutes 0-15 (34 goals). For Zagłębie Lubin II, it is minutes 0-15 (46 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 3 games average 3.17 goals. Both teams score in 59% of games, and 65% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a Warta Gorzów win. At home the hosts average 1.73 goals scored and 1.27 conceded per game; in their last 5 matches they have conceded a total of 4 goals, while Zagłębie Lubin II have conceded 12 in their last five and concede an average of 1.71 on the road. Statistically Zagłębie possess the stronger attack — 69 goals scored this season vs 50 for Warta, higher xG (1.76 vs 1.43), more shots on target (6.22 vs 5.08) and a superior conversion rate (18% vs 12%). However, Warta rarely fail to score (share of goalless matches 7% vs 21%), have a higher home win rate (47% vs Zagłębie’s 36% away wins) and slightly better points per game in form (1.4 vs 1.2), which gives them the edge in the head-to-head. Given the hosts’ improved defensive form recently and their efficiency in avoiding goalless draws, I expect Warta to have the better chances of taking all three points.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have high seasonal BTTS rates: Warta Gorzów 63% and Zagłębie Lubin II 64%, versus the league average 57%, indicating a propensity for both sides to score. Over the season the home side averages 2.63 goals scored and concedes 1.88, while the visitors score 1.93 and concede 1.71 — these seasonal figures point to both attacking potential and vulnerability to conceding. xG also supports goals from both sides — home xG 2.02 vs. away 1.76 — and the home team averages 16.5 shots (6.69 on target) vs. 13.0 (6.22 on target) for the visitors, with over 2.5 occurring 81% and 71% of the season respectively, and the over 2.5+BTTS combination at 56% for both. Caution factors: in the last 5 matches the hosts had only 20% BTTS, scoring 1.0 and conceding 0.8 on average, while the visitors had 60% BTTS in their last 5, scoring 1.8 and conceding 2.4, which reduces confidence in the scenario. Considering the dominant seasonal signals (63%/64%), the high xG and shot volume, despite the short-term dip for the hosts, I tip BTTS - Yes as the more likely outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model (averaging the team's attacking xG and opponent’s defensive xG) estimates expected goals at 3.55 for the match: 1.89 for Warta Gorzów (attacking xG 2.02 and opponent defensive xG 1.75) and 1.66 for Zagłębie Lubin II (attacking xG 1.76 and home defensive xG 1.56). Such a high combined lambda=3.55 translates to roughly an 87% chance of Over 1.5 goals and about 69% for Over 2.5 goals (Poisson distribution), while the probability of Over 3.5 is around 47%. Seasonal numbers confirm the offensive nature — Warta at home scores on average 2.63 goals and has 100% of matches Over 1.5, while Zagłębie II averages 1.93 goals; BTTS is 63% and 64% for the two sides. In their last 5 matches Zagłębie II scored 9 and conceded 12 goals (averages 1.8 and 2.4), which further increases the risk of goals from both teams. Consequently the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5 (highest probability and confirmation from seasonal stats), therefore I recommend a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is most likely: the home team draws at the break in 71% of matches and the away team in 63%, with average first-half goals of 1.29 (home) and 1.50 (away). After the break goals predominate and the home side gains the advantage — in second halves home teams score an average of 2.29 goals and at least one goal is scored in 100% of their matches; homes also have higher xG (2.02 vs 1.76 for away) plus more shots (16.5 vs 13.0) and a higher average goals per match (2.63 vs 1.93). Season-to-date homes win 63% of matches versus 36% for guests, which, combined with the high number of second-half goals, increases the probability of a turnaround in favor of Warta. Although in the last five matches the visitors scored 10 first-half goals (versus 3 for the hosts), the overall HT proportions favor a draw at the break, so I have assigned the Half-Time/Full-Time scenario draw at the break and home win (X/1) a 45% probability as the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Warta Gorzów | Zagłębie Lubin II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.56 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Warta Gorzów is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Warta Gorzów · 1.2 pts / game - Zagłębie Lubin II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Zagłębie Lubin II is 43% better for: goals scored per game.
1.61 goals / game - Warta Gorzów · 2.3 goals / game - Zagłębie Lubin II
Warta Gorzów is 24% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.45 goals / game - Warta Gorzów · 1.8 goals / game - Zagłębie Lubin II
Warta Gorzów scores in 84% of games (26 of 31 meczów), while Zagłębie Lubin II keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 meczów).
Zagłębie Lubin II scores in 83% of games (25 of 30 meczów), while Warta Gorzów keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Warta Gorzów
Over / Under - Zagłębie Lubin II
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Zagłębie Lubin II is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / game - Warta Gorzów · 1.13 pts / game - Zagłębie Lubin II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Warta Gorzów - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 16% of games and wins 42%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Zagłębie Lubin II - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 10% of games and wins 50%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals per game | 2.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (34 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (20). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (46 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (34). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Warta Gorzów
Zagłębie Lubin II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Warta Gorzów | Liga | Zagłębie Lubin II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▼ 3.06 | 3.17 | ▲ 4.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 59% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 68% | 65% | ▲ 77% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 23% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 48% | 40% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal after half-time | • 42% | 41% | ▲ 43% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Warta GorzówGoalJakub Iskra
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Warta Gorzów's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Zagłębie Lubin II. Games average 3.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Warta Gorzów 1:2 Zagłębie Lubin II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
Warta Gorzów score 1.61 goals per game on average and Zagłębie Lubin II 2.30. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Warta Gorzów's matches and 63% of Zagłębie Lubin II's.
What form are Warta Gorzów and Zagłębie Lubin II in?
Over the last 5 games Warta Gorzów have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Zagłębie Lubin II 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II?
The statistical background for Warta Gorzów vs Zagłębie Lubin II — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.