Poland - 3 Liga Group 1Data current as of 23 July 2026

Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg: match statistics

165%(1.65)
X22%(3.72)
213%(4.50)

Warta Sieradz displays impressive home form with an 82% win rate at their own stadium and a +13 goal difference. In 11 home matches, the hosts have scored an average of 2.09 goals while conceding only 0.91 per match, indicating a solid defense. Olimpia Elbląg has poor away results - only a 30% win rate, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, and a negative goal difference of -6. The quality gap is also evident in xG statistics, where Warta holds an advantage in both attack and defense. The recent form of both teams (1.6 vs 1.8 PPG) is similar; however, Warta's home advantage and Olimpia's weakness in away matches point to a certain victory for the hosts.

Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Warta Sieradz play Olimpia Elbląg in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The match date is 25 March 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 4:1.

Current form

Warta Sieradz: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Olimpia Elbląg: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Warta Sieradz scores 1.88 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Olimpia Elbląg scores 1.26 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Warta Sieradz 68%, Olimpia Elbląg 65%. Over 2.5: Warta Sieradz 62%, Olimpia Elbląg 59%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

Warta Sieradz has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.29. Warta Sieradz: 10.1 shots per match, Olimpia Elbląg: 7.2.

Match halves

Warta Sieradz: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.21. Olimpia Elbląg: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.59.

Goals by minute

Warta Sieradz: 61-75 (17 goals). Olimpia Elbląg: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

3 Liga Group 1: 3.33 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

Warta Sieradz displays impressive home form with an 82% win rate at their own stadium and a +13 goal difference. In 11 home matches, the hosts have scored an average of 2.09 goals while conceding only 0.91 per match, indicating a solid defense. Olimpia Elbląg has poor away results - only a 30% win rate, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, and a negative goal difference of -6. The quality gap is also evident in xG statistics, where Warta holds an advantage in both attack and defense. The recent form of both teams (1.6 vs 1.8 PPG) is similar; however, Warta's home advantage and Olimpia's weakness in away matches point to a certain victory for the hosts.

Half-by-half

3 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
10Shots7
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
7Shots on target4
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.5xG1.16
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
6Corners7
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
52Dangerous attacks59
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
-1Fouls-1
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
-1Cards-1
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.88Goals scored / match1.26
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1Goals conceded / match1.88
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
46%Average possession35%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
4.29Shots on target / match2.53
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.12Shots per match7.15
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
4.29Shots on target2.53
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
18.6%Shot conversion17.7%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
46%Possession35%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.48xG for1.29
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.32xG against1.5
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Shooting quality

Warta Sieradz: Counter-attackingOlimpia Elbląg: Counter-attacking
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
Accuracy (shots on target)42%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.440.50

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Warta Sieradz is 450% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Warta Sieradz · 0.4 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
62% W24% R15% P
Season (W-D-L)
21-8-5
2.09 pts / match · goal difference +30
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLDDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.50Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Olimpia Elbląg
LLDLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
26% W24% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-8-17
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -21
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-8
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LLLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.55BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Warta Sieradz is 49% better for: goals scored per match.

1.88 goals / match - Warta Sieradz · 1.26 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Warta Sieradz · 1.88 goals / match - Olimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz scoring profile: very strong

Warta Sieradz scores in 97% of matches (33 of 34 matches), while Olimpia Elbląg keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).

Olimpia Elbląg scoring profile: very strong

Olimpia Elbląg scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Warta Sieradz keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).

64Goals scored (season)43
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
34Goals conceded (season)64
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
2.88Average goals in match3.15
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
8Goals scored (last 5)4
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

How often they score at least...

97%1 goal79%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
56%2 goals32%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
32%3 goals12%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
3%4 goals3%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal82%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
26%2 goals56%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
6%3 goals35%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
0%4 goals12%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

24%BTTS at half-time24%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
3%BTTS in both halves6%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
32%Scored in both halves18%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
60%BTTS - last 560%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

68%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
32%Min. 2 goals before half-time44%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time21%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time79%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
62%Min. 2 goals after half-time47%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Warta Sieradz is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.47 pts / match - Warta Sieradz · 1.15 pts / match - Olimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz - half-time state
32% leading50% draw18% trailing
Olimpia Elbląg - half-time state
26% leading35% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.47Points per match (1st half)1.15
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
0.65Goals scored (1st half)0.65
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.85
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.5
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
65%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
44%No goal before half-time53%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

After half-time (2nd half)

1.82Points per match (2nd half)1.09
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.21Goals scored (2nd half)0.59
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.94
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
1.74Average goals (2nd half)1.53
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
56%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg
29%No goal after half-time53%
Warta SieradzOlimpia Elbląg

Warta Sieradz - second-half results

50% W32% R18% P
50
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
62
Second-half points
+23
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Olimpia Elbląg - second-half results

26% W29% R44% P
39
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.15
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Warta Sieradz - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.40
Goals scored / match0.80.8
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+4+1
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Olimpia Elbląg - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.20
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match1.40.6
Average goals in match1.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals40%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Warta Sieradz
ScoredConceded
3
5
0-15
8
5
16-30
12
6
31-45
8
4
46-60
17
5
61-75
16
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (17 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Olimpia Elbląg
ScoredConceded
9
7
0-15
5
10
16-30
9
15
31-45
6
13
46-60
7
11
61-75
7
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.01
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
90%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-34%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
77%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Warta Sieradz

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.72
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Olimpia Elbląg

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.38
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
83%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.63
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).

Teams vs league

Warta SieradzLigaOlimpia Elbląg
Average goals in match 2.883.33 3.15
Both teams scored 68%62% 65%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 62%66% 59%
Clean sheets 32%20% 18%
Goal before half-time 68%74% 74%
Goal after half-time 85%83% 79%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.33
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.82
Home goals / match
1.51
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+17%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
44%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Warta Sieradz 1 - 0 - 0 Olimpia Elbląg. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Olimpia Elbląg
0 : 2
Warta Sieradz

FAQ

What was the result of Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Warta Sieradz 4:1 Olimpia Elbląg. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

Warta Sieradz score 1.88 goals per game on average and Olimpia Elbląg 1.26. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Warta Sieradz's matches and 65% of Olimpia Elbląg's.

What form are Warta Sieradz and Olimpia Elbląg in?

Over the last 5 games Warta Sieradz have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Olimpia Elbląg 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg?

The statistical background for Warta Sieradz vs Olimpia Elbląg — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.