Wasilków vs Bełchatów: match statistics
Wasilków vs Bełchatów: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wasilków played against Bełchatów in 3 Liga Group 1 (Poland). The game was played on April 12, 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Recent form
Wasilków has 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.00 points per game. Bełchatów has 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses, with 1.80 points per game.
Scoring records
Wasilków scores 1.04 goals per game and allows 2.36. Bełchatów scores 1.64 and allows 2.08. Games in this league average 3.40 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 60% of Wasilków's games and 64% of Bełchatów's. The Over 2.5 rates are 72% and 72%, compared with league averages of 64% for BTTS and 68% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Wasilków has the higher season xG average, 1.19 to 1.17 per game. Wasilków takes 6.7 shots per game, while Bełchatów takes 7.6.
First-half and second-half trends
Wasilków leads at halftime in 20% of its games and scores 0.48 goals per game after halftime. Bełchatów leads at halftime in 32% and scores 0.96 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wasilków's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (6 goals). For Bełchatów, it is minutes 76-90+ (11 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
3 Liga Group 1 games average 3.40 goals. Both teams score in 64% of games, and 68% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite in this fixture is Bełchatów: the visitors have 8 wins this season versus the hosts' 4 and have scored 41 goals compared to Wasilków's 26, indicating superiority in scoring efficiency this season. The form gap is clear — Wasilków have lost all of their last 5 matches (0 points) and conceded 14 goals in those five games (2.8 per match), while Bełchatów have won 3 of their last 5 and average 1.8 points in that period, conceding only 5 goals (1.0 per match). In chance creation, the visitors away average 4.3 shots on target from 9.1 attempts with a 19% conversion, while the hosts at home average 3.14 on target from 8.57 attempts and a 12% conversion, translating to 1.5 goals away for the visitors versus 1.18 goals for the hosts at home. Quality-of-chance analysis shows xG 1.27 for Wasilków and 1.22 for Bełchatów, but xG against is higher for the visitors (1.92 vs 1.22); nevertheless recent numbers (GA in last 5: 5 vs 14) suggest Bełchatów have better defensive organization in the short term. Taking into account superior efficiency (19% vs 12%), advantage in goals scored (41 vs 26) and form (3 wins in 5 vs 0), I tip a win for the visitors and estimate probabilities at 60% for Bełchatów, 25% for a draw and 15% for a Wasilków win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I assess BTTS - Yes as more likely (72%), because seasonal indicators show BTTS 54% for Wasilków and 75% for Bełchatów, with a league average of 64%. Wasilków have produced BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and conceded an average of 2.8 goals per game (14 conceded in 5), while Bełchatów scored 7 goals in that period (1.4 per game), suggesting the hosts frequently concede and the visitors are capable of scoring. Bełchatów have no clean sheets this season (0% CS), and Wasilków average 1.77 goals per home game, which further increases the likelihood of both teams scoring. xG shows 1.12 for the hosts vs 1.22 for the visitors, and xGA is 1.4 (Wasilków) and 1.92 (Bełchatów), which together indicate defensive gaps and a higher probability of BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I calculated expected goals as the average of a team’s xG_for and the opponent’s xG_against: Wasilków (xG_for 1.12 vs Bełchatów defense xG_against 1.92) ≈ 1.52, Bełchatów (xG_for 1.22 vs Wasilków defense 1.40) ≈ 1.31, total = 2.83. Using a Poisson distribution with λ=2.83 this yields ~77% probability for Over 1.5 (P≥2), ~54% for Over 2.5 (P≥3) and ~32% for Over 3.5 (P≥4). Seasonal data confirm an offensive trend: Over 1.5 for Wasilków 77% and Bełchatów 92%, Over 2.5 respectively 69%/75%, and BTTS 54% and 75% for the two teams. Additionally Wasilków concedes on average 2.15 goals per season and has conceded 14 goals in the last 5 matches (2.8/match), while Bełchatów has scored 41 goals this season (1.50 average), which increases scoring likelihood. The strongest signal is the market Over 1.5 — the high projected total of 2.83 and consistent seasonal Over 1.5 percentages favor the Over side.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonally Bełchatów scores an average of 0.75 goals by half-time versus 0.62 for Wasilków, but the home side leads at the break more often: 38% over the season and 40% in the last 5 matches (about 39% overall). In the last 5 matches Wasilków has scored 8 first-half goals compared to 3 for the visitors (averages 1.0 vs 0.2). However, the situation reverses in the second half: in the last 5 matches Wasilków conceded an average of 2.2 goals after the break, while Bełchatów scored an average of 1.2 goals after the break, giving the visitors a strong impulse for a turnaround. Form confirms this picture — Wasilków have lost all of their last 5 games, while Bełchatów have won 3 of 5 (60%), so the visitors are in better physical and mental condition. Although seasonally the hosts have a better average points in second halves (1.23 vs 0.67), the last 5 matches show the opposite trend (Wasilków 0.0, Bełchatów 1.4), meaning the visitors dominate after the break in the recent period. Therefore the strongest signal is the scenario in which Wasilków lead at the break and Bełchatów overturn the result to win the match — I select HT/FT 1/2 as the most likely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wasilków | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.45 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bełchatów is 58% better for: goals scored per game.
1.04 goals / game - Wasilków · 1.64 goals / game - Bełchatów
Bełchatów is 13% better for: goals allowed per game.
2.36 goals / game - Wasilków · 2.08 goals / game - Bełchatów
Wasilków scores in 60% of games (15 of 25 meczów), while Bełchatów keeps a clean sheet in 12% (3 of 25 meczów).
Bełchatów scores in 72% of games (18 of 25 meczów), while Wasilków keeps a clean sheet in 4% (1 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wasilków
Over / Under - Bełchatów
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bełchatów is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / game - Wasilków · 1.28 pts / game - Bełchatów
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wasilków - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 16%. Usually protects a halftime lead through the final whistle.
Allows 0.7 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Bełchatów - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 32% of games and wins 32%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wasilków
Bełchatów
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 1).
Teams vs league
| Wasilków | Liga | Bełchatów | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 3.40 | 3.40 | ▲ 3.72 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 64% | • 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 68% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 4% | 20% | ▼ 12% |
| Goal before half-time | • 76% | 76% | • 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 86% | ▼ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- BełchatówGoalKacper Poplawski
Head-to-head
Record from Wasilków's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Bełchatów. Games average 4.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Wasilków vs Bełchatów?
The 3 Liga Group 1 match finished Wasilków 3:1 Bełchatów. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wasilków vs Bełchatów?
Wasilków score 1.04 goals per game on average and Bełchatów 1.64. The 3 Liga Group 1 average is 3.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 68% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Wasilków's matches and 64% of Bełchatów's.
What form are Wasilków and Bełchatów in?
Over the last 5 games Wasilków have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Bełchatów 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wasilków vs Bełchatów?
The statistical background for Wasilków vs Bełchatów — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.