England - ChampionshipVicarage RoadData current as of November 03, 2026

Watford vs Middlesbrough: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Watford vs Middlesbrough: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Watford plays Middlesbrough in Championship (England). The game is scheduled for November 7, 2026. Venue: Vicarage Road.

Recent form

Watford has 1 win, 0 draws and 4 losses over its last five games, averaging 0.60 points per game. Middlesbrough has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses, with 2.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Watford scores 0.92 goals per game and allows 1.77. Middlesbrough scores 2.31 and allows 1.31. Games in this league average 2.93 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 54% of Watford's games and 77% of Middlesbrough's. The Over 2.5 rates are 46% and 77%, compared with league averages of 62% for BTTS and 62% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Middlesbrough has the higher season xG average, 2.14 to 1.30 per game. Watford takes 11.9 shots per game, while Middlesbrough takes 19.8.

First-half and second-half trends

Watford leads at halftime in 15% of its games and scores 0.46 goals per game after halftime. Middlesbrough leads at halftime in 54% and scores 1.38 after halftime.

When the teams score

Watford's most productive scoring window is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). For Middlesbrough, it is minutes 76-90+ (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Championship games average 2.93 goals. Both teams score in 62% of games, and 62% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

Before this game, 2 previous meetings were available. The record was 1 home win, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

Before kickoff

1X2 odds

(4.88)
(4.33)
(1.58)

Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

WatfordMiddlesbrough
0.92Goals scored / game2.31
WatfordMiddlesbrough
1.77Goals allowed / game1.31
WatfordMiddlesbrough
45%Average possession60%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
4.08Shots on target / game6.62
WatfordMiddlesbrough

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

11.92Shots per game19.77
WatfordMiddlesbrough
4.08Shots on target6.62
WatfordMiddlesbrough
7.7%Shot conversion11.7%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
45%Possession60%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
1.3xG for2.14
WatfordMiddlesbrough
1.77xG against1.22
WatfordMiddlesbrough

Shooting quality

Watford: BalancedMiddlesbrough: Dominant
WatfordMiddlesbrough
Accuracy (shots on target)34%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.230.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Middlesbrough is 333% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / game - Watford · 2.6 pts / game - Middlesbrough

Watford
LLWLL
Season result split
23% W15% D62% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-8
0.85 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-2
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
DWLLW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 1.36Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Middlesbrough
WWDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 games
Season result split
62% W31% D8% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-4-1
2.15 pts / game · goal difference +13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-1-0
2.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-1
Last 5 away
3-2-0
DWDWW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.54Opponent xG: 1.01BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Middlesbrough is 151% better for: goals scored per game.

0.92 goals / game - Watford · 2.31 goals / game - Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough is 35% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.77 goals / game - Watford · 1.31 goals / game - Middlesbrough

Watford scoring profile: strong

Watford scores in 62% of games (8 of 13 games), while Middlesbrough keeps a clean sheet in 23% (3 of 13 games).

Middlesbrough scoring profile: very strong

Middlesbrough scores in 100% of games (13 of 13 games), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 games).

12Goals scored (season)30
WatfordMiddlesbrough
23Goals conceded (season)17
WatfordMiddlesbrough
2.69Average goals per game3.62
WatfordMiddlesbrough
5Goals scored (last 5)14
WatfordMiddlesbrough
13Goals conceded (last 5)5
WatfordMiddlesbrough

How often they score at least...

62%1 goal100%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
31%2 goals69%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
0%3 goals38%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
0%4 goals15%
WatfordMiddlesbrough

How often they concede at least...

92%1 goal77%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
38%2 goals46%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
23%3 goals8%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
15%4 goals0%
WatfordMiddlesbrough

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

62%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time15%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
0%BTTS in both halves8%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
0%Scored in both halves31%
WatfordMiddlesbrough

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS69%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
8%Min. 3 goals without BTTS8%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
40%BTTS - last 560%
WatfordMiddlesbrough

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

92%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
54%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
15%Min. 3 goals before half-time15%
WatfordMiddlesbrough

2nd half

54%Min. 1 goal after half-time92%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time69%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time31%
WatfordMiddlesbrough

Game halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Middlesbrough is 168% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.69 pts / game - Watford · 1.85 pts / game - Middlesbrough

Watford - half-time state
15% leading23% draw62% trailing
Middlesbrough - half-time state
54% leading23% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.69Points per game (1st half)1.85
WatfordMiddlesbrough
0.46Goals scored (1st half)0.92
WatfordMiddlesbrough
1.23Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
WatfordMiddlesbrough
1.69Average goals (1st half)1.46
WatfordMiddlesbrough
23%Clean sheet before half-time62%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
69%No goal before half-time46%
WatfordMiddlesbrough

After half-time (2nd half)

1.08Points per game (2nd half)1.92
WatfordMiddlesbrough
0.46Goals scored (2nd half)1.38
WatfordMiddlesbrough
0.54Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
WatfordMiddlesbrough
1Average goals (2nd half)2.15
WatfordMiddlesbrough
62%Clean sheet after half-time54%
WatfordMiddlesbrough
69%No goal after half-time23%
WatfordMiddlesbrough

Watford - second-half results

15% W62% D23% L
9
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.69
PPG before half-time
Lead holding153%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 23%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime-0.7

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Middlesbrough - second-half results

62% W8% D31% L
24
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.85
PPG before half-time
Lead holding115%

Leads at halftime in 54% of games and wins 62%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.2

Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Watford - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.801.00
Goals scored / game0.40.6
Goals allowed / game1.61.0
Average goals per game2.01.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-6-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Middlesbrough - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.603.00
Goals scored / game1.01.8
Goals allowed / game0.60.4
Average goals per game1.62.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference+2+7
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 100% won - 0% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Watford
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
3
5
16-30
0
7
31-45
1
3
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Middlesbrough
ScoredConceded
5
3
0-15
2
1
16-30
5
3
31-45
5
6
46-60
6
3
61-75
7
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

3.16
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
1.1 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
66%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
62%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Watford

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.38
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.38
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
0.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
138%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.25
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

Middlesbrough

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.92
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.17
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
180%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.45
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

WatfordLigaMiddlesbrough
Average goals per game▼ 2.692.93▲ 3.62
Both teams scored▼ 54%62%▲ 77%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 46%62%▲ 77%
Clean sheets▼ 8%22%• 23%
Goal before half-time▲ 92%78%• 77%
Goal after half-time▼ 54%79%▲ 92%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.93
Average goals per game
62%
Both teams scored
62%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.65
Home goals / game
1.28
Away goals / game
+29%
Home attack advantage
+22%
Home defensive advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Record from Watford's perspective: 1 win, 0 draws and 1 loss against Middlesbrough. Games average 4.50 goals, and both teams scored in 50% of them.

Middlesbrough FC
5 : 1
Watford FC
Watford FC
3 : 0
Middlesbrough FC

FAQ

When do Watford and Middlesbrough play?

Watford face Middlesbrough on November 7, 2026 in Championship at Vicarage Road. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Watford and Middlesbrough?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Watford won 1, Middlesbrough won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Middlesbrough?

Watford score 0.92 goals per game on average and Middlesbrough 2.31. The Championship average is 2.93 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Watford's matches and 77% of Middlesbrough's.

What form are Watford and Middlesbrough in?

Over the last 5 games Watford have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Middlesbrough 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Middlesbrough?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.