Watford vs Millwall: match statistics
Watford is displaying significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.4 points per game, compared to Millwall's 1.6 points. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 62% win rate and a positive goal difference of +11, alongside a superior average xG (1.78 vs 1.25 for the visitors). Millwall adopts a defensive approach on the road, with 42% of games ending in draws and only 33% in victories, making them tough to break down but offensively blunt (averaging 1 goal per away match). Watford averages 1.77 goals in home fixtures with a high 11% conversion rate and 52% possession dominance, providing a distinct edge. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts are the favorites, though Millwall's defensive style could result in a tight contest with the possibility of a draw.
Watford vs Millwall: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Watford played against Millwall in Championship (England). The game was played on January 17, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Watford has 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 2.60 points per game. Millwall has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.
Scoring records
Watford scores 1.48 goals per game and allows 1.16. Millwall scores 1.12 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.62 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Watford's games and 46% of Millwall's. The Over 2.5 rates are 56% and 46%, compared with league averages of 58% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Watford has the higher season xG average, 1.50 to 1.42 per game. Watford takes 13.8 shots per game, while Millwall takes 12.5.
First-half and second-half trends
Watford leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.80 goals per game after halftime. Millwall leads at halftime in 31% and scores 0.62 after halftime.
When the teams score
Watford's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Millwall, it is minutes 76-90+ (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.62 goals. Both teams score in 58% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Watford is displaying significantly better form, winning four of their last five matches and securing 2.4 points per game, compared to Millwall's 1.6 points. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 62% win rate and a positive goal difference of +11, alongside a superior average xG (1.78 vs 1.25 for the visitors). Millwall adopts a defensive approach on the road, with 42% of games ending in draws and only 33% in victories, making them tough to break down but offensively blunt (averaging 1 goal per away match). Watford averages 1.77 goals in home fixtures with a high 11% conversion rate and 52% possession dominance, providing a distinct edge. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts are the favorites, though Millwall's defensive style could result in a tight contest with the possibility of a draw.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Watford | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Watford is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / game - Watford · 1.6 pts / game - Millwall
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Watford is 32% better for: goals scored per game.
1.48 goals / game - Watford · 1.12 goals / game - Millwall
Watford is 9% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.16 goals / game - Watford · 1.27 goals / game - Millwall
Watford scores in 84% of games (21 of 25 meczów), while Millwall keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 meczów).
Millwall scores in 73% of games (19 of 26 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 16% (4 of 25 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Watford
Over / Under - Millwall
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Millwall is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.12 pts / game - Watford · 1.38 pts / game - Millwall
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Watford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 44%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Millwall - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 31% of games and wins 46%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.4 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Watford
Millwall
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Watford | Liga | Millwall | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.64 | 2.62 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▼ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 24% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 73% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 78% | ▼ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Record from Watford's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Millwall. Games average 1.00 goals, and both teams scored in 0% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Watford vs Millwall?
The Championship match finished Watford 0:2 Millwall. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Millwall?
Watford score 1.48 goals per game on average and Millwall 1.12. The Championship average is 2.62 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Watford's matches and 46% of Millwall's.
What form are Watford and Millwall in?
Over the last 5 games Watford have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Millwall 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Millwall?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Watford vs Millwall: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.