Watford vs Stoke City: match statistics
Watford vs Stoke City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Watford played against Stoke City in Championship (England). The game was played on December 20, 2025. Final score: 1:0.
Recent form
Watford has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Stoke City has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Watford scores 1.43 goals per game and allows 1.33. Stoke City scores 1.33 and allows 0.95. Games in this league average 2.65 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 76% of Watford's games and 38% of Stoke City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 57% and 48%, compared with league averages of 60% for BTTS and 52% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Watford has the higher season xG average, 1.55 to 1.33 per game. Watford takes 14.3 shots per game, while Stoke City takes 11.7.
First-half and second-half trends
Watford leads at halftime in 24% of its games and scores 0.76 goals per game after halftime. Stoke City leads at halftime in 38% and scores 0.71 after halftime.
When the teams score
Watford's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (8 goals). For Stoke City, it is minutes 46-60 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.65 goals. Both teams score in 60% of games, and 52% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Stats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Watford | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Watford is 8% better for: goals scored per game.
1.43 goals / game - Watford · 1.33 goals / game - Stoke City
Stoke City is 40% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.33 goals / game - Watford · 0.95 goals / game - Stoke City
Watford scores in 81% of games (17 of 21 meczów), while Stoke City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 meczów).
Stoke City scores in 67% of games (14 of 21 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 21 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Watford
Over / Under - Stoke City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stoke City is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / game - Watford · 1.48 pts / game - Stoke City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Watford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 24% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Stoke City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 38% of games and wins 48%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals allowed / game | 1.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals per game | 2.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals per game | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Watford
Stoke City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Watford | Liga | Stoke City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 2.76 | 2.65 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 76% | 60% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 52% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 5% | 22% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Watford vs Stoke City?
The Championship match finished Watford 1:0 Stoke City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Stoke City?
Watford score 1.43 goals per game on average and Stoke City 1.33. The Championship average is 2.65 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 76% of Watford's matches and 38% of Stoke City's.
What form are Watford and Stoke City in?
Over the last 5 games Watford have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Stoke City 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Stoke City?
The statistical background for Watford vs Stoke City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.