Watford vs Swansea City: match statistics
Watford displays significantly superior home form with a 53% win rate and a positive goal difference of +9 at their home ground. The hosts average 1.6 goals per match at home with only 13% of matches without a goal, indicating a solid offensive performance. Swansea City performs considerably worse on the road with a 64% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -7, scoring an average of only 0.86 goals per away match while failing to score in 36% of away games. Although both teams have averaged 1 point per game in their last five matches, Watford's advantage in home statistics (higher xG 1.72 vs 1.26, better conversion rate 10% vs 8%, more shots 15.87 vs 11.07) combined with Swansea's away weaknesses point towards a home victory. However, it must be considered that Watford has shown inconsistent form in their last five home matches, which could offer the visitors a chance to secure a point, hence a draw is also a plausible outcome.
Watford vs Swansea City: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Watford played against Swansea City in Championship (England). The game was played on January 31, 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Recent form
Watford has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Swansea City has 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses, with 1.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Watford scores 1.39 goals per game and allows 1.18. Swansea City scores 1.10 and allows 1.28. Games in this league average 2.60 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 68% of Watford's games and 59% of Swansea City's. The Over 2.5 rates are 50% and 48%, compared with league averages of 57% for BTTS and 51% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Watford has the higher season xG average, 1.49 to 1.34 per game. Watford takes 13.7 shots per game, while Swansea City takes 12.1.
First-half and second-half trends
Watford leads at halftime in 21% of its games and scores 0.75 goals per game after halftime. Swansea City leads at halftime in 14% and scores 0.72 after halftime.
When the teams score
Watford's most productive scoring window is minutes 31-45+ (10 goals). For Swansea City, it is minutes 61-75 (8 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Championship games average 2.60 goals. Both teams score in 57% of games, and 51% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 1 draw and 0 away wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Watford displays significantly superior home form with a 53% win rate and a positive goal difference of +9 at their home ground. The hosts average 1.6 goals per match at home with only 13% of matches without a goal, indicating a solid offensive performance. Swansea City performs considerably worse on the road with a 64% loss rate and a negative goal difference of -7, scoring an average of only 0.86 goals per away match while failing to score in 36% of away games. Although both teams have averaged 1 point per game in their last five matches, Watford's advantage in home statistics (higher xG 1.72 vs 1.26, better conversion rate 10% vs 8%, more shots 15.87 vs 11.07) combined with Swansea's away weaknesses point towards a home victory. However, it must be considered that Watford has shown inconsistent form in their last five home matches, which could offer the visitors a chance to secure a point, hence a draw is also a plausible outcome.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Watford | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Watford is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Watford · 1.4 pts / game - Swansea City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Watford is 26% better for: goals scored per game.
1.39 goals / game - Watford · 1.1 goals / game - Swansea City
Watford is 8% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.18 goals / game - Watford · 1.28 goals / game - Swansea City
Watford scores in 82% of games (23 of 28 meczów), while Swansea City keeps a clean sheet in 24% (7 of 29 meczów).
Swansea City scores in 79% of games (23 of 29 meczów), while Watford keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 28 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Watford
Over / Under - Swansea City
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Watford is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / game - Watford · 0.86 pts / game - Swansea City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Watford - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 21% of games and wins 39%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
Swansea City - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 34%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Watford
Swansea City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Watford | Liga | Swansea City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 2.57 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.38 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 24% | • 24% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | • 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Watford's perspective: 0 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses against Swansea City. Games average 2.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Watford vs Swansea City?
The Championship match finished Watford 0:2 Swansea City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Watford vs Swansea City?
Watford score 1.39 goals per game on average and Swansea City 1.10. The Championship average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Watford's matches and 59% of Swansea City's.
What form are Watford and Swansea City in?
Over the last 5 games Watford have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Swansea City 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Watford vs Swansea City?
The statistical background for Watford vs Swansea City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.