Wehen Wiesbaden vs Preußen Münster: match statistics

Wehen Wiesbaden have shown clearly better form in their last five matches, collecting 7 points from 2 wins and a draw, while Preußen Münster have managed only 2 points and remain without a victory. The hosts have scored 9 goals during this period, 2 more than their opponents, and their average of 1.8 goals per match should expose the visitors’ defensive weaknesses. Münster have conceded as many as 12 goals in five appearances, averaging 2.4 goals per match, compared with Wiesbaden’s 8 goals conceded. However, both teams have recently shown a tendency to make defensive errors, so a scenario in which the visitors score remains realistic. Nevertheless, the advantage in form, attacking efficiency and goal difference points to a home win.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, which is a very strong signal for goals at both ends. During this period, Wehen Wiesbaden averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Preußen Münster scored 1.4 goals but allowed their opponents as many as 2.4. The home side created an average xG of 1.29 against their opponents’ xG of 1.46, while the corresponding figures for the visitors were 1.24 and 1.78, meaning that neither defense was effective at limiting the opposition’s chances. The combined record from the last five matches stands at 9 goals scored and 8 conceded for Wehen, and 7 scored and 12 conceded for Münster, making a scenario with both teams finding the net the most likely outcome.

In their last five matches, Wehen Wiesbaden averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Preußen Münster scored 1.4 goals but allowed their opponents as many as 2.4 goals per game. Both teams recorded at least three goals in 4 of their last 5 appearances, meaning 80% of their matches went Over 2.5 goals. Likewise, 80% of those matches featured goals from both teams, while the visitors’ particularly weak defense increases the home side’s attacking potential. The xG figures are somewhat more cautious, but still point to a combined potential close to 3.00 goals: 1.65 for the home team and 1.35 for the visitors. The strongest signal is Over 1.5 goals, as the current form of both attacks and the high number of goals conceded clearly reduce the likelihood of a one-goal game at most.

Wehen Wiesbaden have a clearly stronger first-half profile across their last five matches: they were leading at the break in 60% of games, while Preußen Münster were never ahead at half-time. The hosts conceded an average of just 0.4 goals before the break, compared with 1.8 for the visitors, and their half-time goal difference of +3 versus Münster’s -4 strongly supports the scenario of a home lead at half-time. Across their last five matches overall, Wiesbaden averaged 1.8 goals scored, while Münster conceded 2.4 on average; the visitors failed to win any of those matches and lost 60% of them. After the interval, both teams averaged one point per match, so the hosts’ main advantage remains their ability to establish a lead before half-time and hold on to it until the final whistle.