Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema: match statistics
Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Welayta Dicha play Fasil Ketema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 14 April 2026 at 17:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Welayta Dicha: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Fasil Ketema: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Welayta Dicha scores 0.97 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Fasil Ketema scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Welayta Dicha 45%, Fasil Ketema 26%. Over 2.5: Welayta Dicha 26%, Fasil Ketema 18%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.14. Welayta Dicha: 8.6 shots per match, Fasil Ketema: 7.2.
Match halves
Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.63. Fasil Ketema: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.42.
Goals by minute
Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (10 goals). Fasil Ketema: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict a draw (X), because both teams show a strong propensity to share points: Welayta Dicha records 54% draws at home, while Fasil Ketema has 62% draws away. Welayta holds the edge in creating and converting chances at home — averaging 1.38 goals per game with xG 1.37 and 3.46 shots on target, whereas Fasil away manages only 0.69 goals, xG 1.19 and 2.5 shots on target. The visitors offset this with solid defense: they concede only 0.62 goals per away match on average, keep 62% clean sheets and have a high share of goalless matches at 54%, which favors low-scoring outcomes. Form over the last 5 matches also favors the hosts — Welayta averages 1.8 points per game and scored 5 while conceding 2 in that period, whereas Fasil averages 1.2 pts/game and has only 2 goals in the last 5. Considering the higher conversion rate for the home side (17% vs 9%) and the visitors’ defensive profile, a draw is most likely; estimates: draw 45%, home win 35%, away win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Welayta Dicha | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fasil Ketema is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.8 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Fasil Ketema is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.82 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.74 goals / match - Fasil Ketema
Welayta Dicha scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Fasil Ketema keeps a clean sheet in 55% (21 of 38 matches).
Fasil Ketema scores in 58% of matches (22 of 38 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Welayta Dicha
Over / Under — Fasil Ketema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fasil Ketema is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.42 pts / match - Fasil Ketema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Fasil Ketema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Welayta Dicha
Fasil Ketema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welayta Dicha | Liga | Fasil Ketema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.79 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.47 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 45% | 40% | ▼ 26% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 26% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 40% | ▲ 55% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 56% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 61% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Welayta Dicha 0 - 1 - 0 Fasil Ketema. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welayta Dicha 0:1 Fasil Ketema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
Welayta Dicha score 0.97 goals per game on average and Fasil Ketema 0.74. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Welayta Dicha's matches and 26% of Fasil Ketema's.
What form are Welayta Dicha and Fasil Ketema in?
Over the last 5 games Welayta Dicha have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fasil Ketema 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Welayta Dicha vs Fasil Ketema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.