Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of 23 July 2026

Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena: match statistics

Welayta Dicha crest
Welayta Dicha
1 : 0half-time 1:0
Hadiya Hosaena crest
Hadiya Hosaena

Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Welayta Dicha play Hadiya Hosaena in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 4 May 2026 at 12:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Welayta Dicha: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Hadiya Hosaena: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Welayta Dicha scores 0.97 and concedes 0.82 goals per match. Hadiya Hosaena scores 0.82 and concedes 0.92. League average: 1.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Welayta Dicha 45%, Hadiya Hosaena 47%. Over 2.5: Welayta Dicha 26%, Hadiya Hosaena 24%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

xG, shots and style

Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.31 vs 1.04. Welayta Dicha: 8.6 shots per match, Hadiya Hosaena: 6.1.

Match halves

Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.63. Hadiya Hosaena: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (10 goals). Hadiya Hosaena: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

I predict a draw because Welayta Dicha records as many as 50% draws in home matches and averages 1.29 goals per game at home with an xG of 1.36, yet has scored only 2 goals in the last 5 fixtures. Hadiya Hosaena have 6 goals in their last 5 matches and concede on average just 0.71 goals away with 50% clean sheets, which significantly limits the hosts’ chances. Hosts generate more chances (on average 8.29 shots and 3.21 on target at home vs 5.21 and 2 on target for the visitors) and have higher xG (1.36 vs 0.99), but the high proportion of goalless matches for Welayta (36% at home) and their poor finishing in the last 5 (2 goals) negate these advantages. Considering the hosts’ 1.6 points average in the last 5 games vs the visitors’ 1.2 and the balance between Welayta’s chance creation and Hadiya’s defense, a low-scoring draw is most likely, hence the 30%/45%/25% distribution.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

46Possession (%)54
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
5Shots5
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
1Shots on target0
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
1.07xG1.18
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
3Corners4
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
93Dangerous attacks119
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
-1Fouls-1
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
-1Cards-1
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0.97Goals scored / match0.82
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0.82Goals conceded / match0.92
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
47%Average possession46%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
3.03Shots on target / match2.05
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.58Shots per match6.08
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
3.03Shots on target2.05
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
11.3%Shot conversion13.4%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
47%Possession46%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
1.31xG for1.04
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0.99xG against1.34
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

Shooting quality

Welayta Dicha: BalancedHadiya Hosaena: Counter-attacking
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
Accuracy (shots on target)35%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Welayta Dicha is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.2 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena

Welayta Dicha
DWLWD
Season result split
29% W47% R24% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-18-9
1.34 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-10-4
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.06BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Hadiya Hosaena
DLWDD
Season result split
29% W39% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
11-15-12
1.26 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
8-7-4
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Welayta Dicha is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

0.97 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.82 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena

Welayta Dicha is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.82 goals / match - Welayta Dicha · 0.92 goals / match - Hadiya Hosaena

Welayta Dicha scoring profile: strong

Welayta Dicha scores in 61% of matches (23 of 38 matches), while Hadiya Hosaena keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

Hadiya Hosaena scoring profile: strong

Hadiya Hosaena scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 42% (16 of 38 matches).

37Goals scored (season)31
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
31Goals conceded (season)35
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
1.79Average goals in match1.74
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
5Goals scored (last 5)3
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal68%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
24%2 goals11%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
11%3 goals3%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
3%4 goals0%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

How often they concede at least...

58%1 goal66%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
21%2 goals24%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
3%3 goals3%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0%4 goals0%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time18%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
11%Scored in both halves5%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

BTTS and goal count

26%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
20%BTTS - last 540%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

53%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time3%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

2nd half

61%Min. 1 goal after half-time55%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time3%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Welayta Dicha is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.13 pts / match - Welayta Dicha · 1.08 pts / match - Hadiya Hosaena

Welayta Dicha - half-time state
18% leading58% draw24% trailing
Hadiya Hosaena - half-time state
18% leading53% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.13Points per match (1st half)1.08
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0.34Goals scored (1st half)0.39
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0.42Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0.76Average goals (1st half)0.89
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
66%Clean sheet before half-time55%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
68%No goal before half-time63%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.21
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
0.39Goals conceded (2nd half)0.42
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
1.03Average goals (2nd half)0.84
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
63%Clean sheet after half-time66%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena
61%No goal after half-time63%
Welayta DichaHadiya Hosaena

Welayta Dicha - second-half results

29% W50% R21% P
43
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.13
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Hadiya Hosaena - second-half results

21% W58% R21% P
41
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.08
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Welayta Dicha - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Hadiya Hosaena - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.4
Average goals in match0.80.4
1 goal80%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Welayta Dicha
ScoredConceded
3
3
0-15
3
4
16-30
7
9
31-45
5
2
46-60
10
5
61-75
9
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Hadiya Hosaena
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
3
5
16-30
10
7
31-45
3
6
46-60
7
6
61-75
6
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.77
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
46%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+70%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Welayta Dicha

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-16.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
107%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
94%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Hadiya Hosaena

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.30
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.42
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.0
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Welayta DichaLigaHadiya Hosaena
Average goals in match 1.791.78 1.74
Both teams scored 45%40% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 26%28% 24%
Clean sheets 42%40% 34%
Goal before half-time 53%56% 63%
Goal after half-time 61%59% 55%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.78
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
28%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
40%
Clean sheets
0.91
Home goals / match
0.87
Away goals / match
+5%
Home attack advantage
+4%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
27%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Welayta Dicha 0 - 0 - 1 Hadiya Hosaena. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welayta Dicha 1:0 Hadiya Hosaena. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena?

Welayta Dicha score 0.97 goals per game on average and Hadiya Hosaena 0.82. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 45% of Welayta Dicha's matches and 47% of Hadiya Hosaena's.

What form are Welayta Dicha and Hadiya Hosaena in?

Over the last 5 games Welayta Dicha have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Hadiya Hosaena 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena?

The statistical background for Welayta Dicha vs Hadiya Hosaena — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.