Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United: match statistics
Wellington Phoenix holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Despite a 50% home win record, the team shows solid offensive form with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a high xG (1.7), indicating the creation of quality scoring chances. Adelaide United records very poor results away with just 20% wins and a streak of four consecutive losses prior to their last triumph. The visitors possess a negative goal difference (-3) in away matches and a lower xG (1.23) compared to the hosts. A key factor is that Adelaide has not drawn a single game this season, suggesting a decisive result, and the statistics favor Wellington. Both teams have identical PPG (1.2) in their last five matches, but home advantage and superior offensive metrics give the hosts a real chance to secure all three points.
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wellington Phoenix play Adelaide United in A-League (Australia). The match date is 11 January 2026 at 03:00. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Wellington Phoenix: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Adelaide United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wellington Phoenix scores 1.38 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Adelaide United scores 1.68 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wellington Phoenix 65%, Adelaide United 79%. Over 2.5: Wellington Phoenix 69%, Adelaide United 64%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Adelaide United has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.43. Wellington Phoenix: 12.8 shots per match, Adelaide United: 14.5.
Match halves
Wellington Phoenix: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.88. Adelaide United: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 1.07.
Goals by minute
Wellington Phoenix: 46-60 (9 goals). Adelaide United: 61-75 (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Wellington Phoenix holds a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Despite a 50% home win record, the team shows solid offensive form with an average of 1.5 goals per match and a high xG (1.7), indicating the creation of quality scoring chances. Adelaide United records very poor results away with just 20% wins and a streak of four consecutive losses prior to their last triumph. The visitors possess a negative goal difference (-3) in away matches and a lower xG (1.23) compared to the hosts. A key factor is that Adelaide has not drawn a single game this season, suggesting a decisive result, and the statistics favor Wellington. Both teams have identical PPG (1.2) in their last five matches, but home advantage and superior offensive metrics give the hosts a real chance to secure all three points.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wellington Phoenix | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wellington Phoenix is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.6 pts / match - Adelaide United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adelaide United is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.68 goals / match - Adelaide United
Adelaide United is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.85 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.43 goals / match - Adelaide United
Wellington Phoenix scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Adelaide United keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
Adelaide United scores in 89% of matches (25 of 28 matches), while Wellington Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Wellington Phoenix
Over / Under — Adelaide United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adelaide United is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.29 pts / match - Adelaide United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wellington Phoenix - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Adelaide United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Wellington Phoenix | Liga | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 60% | ▲ 79% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 82% | ▲ 93% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Wellington Phoenix 1 - 1 - 0 Adelaide United. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United?
The A-League match finished Wellington Phoenix 2:2 Adelaide United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Wellington Phoenix won 1, Adelaide United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United?
Wellington Phoenix score 1.38 goals per game on average and Adelaide United 1.68. The A-League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Wellington Phoenix's matches and 79% of Adelaide United's.
What form are Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United in?
Over the last 5 games Wellington Phoenix have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Adelaide United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United?
The statistical background for Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.