Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC: match statistics
Wellington Phoenix presents solid home form with a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium and a 38% win rate at home. The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per match in home games, which, given their good xG rate (1.63), suggests efficiency in attack. Melbourne Victory FC has very poor results away – just 25% wins, a substantial 63% losses, and a negative goal difference (-6). The visitors struggle with scoring goals on the road (averaging 0.75 per match), and 50% of their matches end without a goal scored. Although Melbourne Victory has a higher average xG away (1.78), their low chance conversion (4%) and poor away form favor the hosts. Considering Wellington's advantage on their own turf and the visitors' efficiency issues, I bet on a home victory, though the match may be competitive.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Wellington Phoenix play Melbourne Victory FC in A-League (Australia). The match date is 6 February 2026 at 07:00. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Wellington Phoenix: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Melbourne Victory FC: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Wellington Phoenix scores 1.38 and concedes 1.85 goals per match. Melbourne Victory FC scores 1.63 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Wellington Phoenix 65%, Melbourne Victory FC 52%. Over 2.5: Wellington Phoenix 69%, Melbourne Victory FC 52%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Melbourne Victory FC has higher xG: 1.88 vs 1.43. Wellington Phoenix: 12.8 shots per match, Melbourne Victory FC: 17.2.
Match halves
Wellington Phoenix: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.88. Melbourne Victory FC: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Wellington Phoenix: 46-60 (9 goals). Melbourne Victory FC: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Wellington Phoenix presents solid home form with a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium and a 38% win rate at home. The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per match in home games, which, given their good xG rate (1.63), suggests efficiency in attack. Melbourne Victory FC has very poor results away – just 25% wins, a substantial 63% losses, and a negative goal difference (-6). The visitors struggle with scoring goals on the road (averaging 0.75 per match), and 50% of their matches end without a goal scored. Although Melbourne Victory has a higher average xG away (1.78), their low chance conversion (4%) and poor away form favor the hosts. Considering Wellington's advantage on their own turf and the visitors' efficiency issues, I bet on a home victory, though the match may be competitive.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Wellington Phoenix | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Wellington Phoenix is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melbourne Victory FC is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.63 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC is 47% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.85 goals / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.26 goals / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Wellington Phoenix scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 22% (6 of 27 matches).
Melbourne Victory FC scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Wellington Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Wellington Phoenix
Over / Under — Melbourne Victory FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melbourne Victory FC is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Wellington Phoenix · 1.33 pts / match - Melbourne Victory FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wellington Phoenix - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Wellington Phoenix | Liga | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.23 | 2.82 | • 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 60% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▼ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 23% | • 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 72% | ▼ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 82% | ▼ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Wellington Phoenix 1 - 0 - 1 Melbourne Victory FC. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC?
The A-League match finished Wellington Phoenix 2:3 Melbourne Victory FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory FC?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Wellington Phoenix won 1, Melbourne Victory FC won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC?
Wellington Phoenix score 1.38 goals per game on average and Melbourne Victory FC 1.63. The A-League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Wellington Phoenix's matches and 52% of Melbourne Victory FC's.
What form are Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory FC in?
Over the last 5 games Wellington Phoenix have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Melbourne Victory FC 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.