Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC: match statistics
Wellington Phoenix presents solid home form with a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium and a 38% win rate at home. The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per match in home games, which, given their good xG rate (1.63), suggests efficiency in attack. Melbourne Victory FC has very poor results away – just 25% wins, a substantial 63% losses, and a negative goal difference (-6). The visitors struggle with scoring goals on the road (averaging 0.75 per match), and 50% of their matches end without a goal scored. Although Melbourne Victory has a higher average xG away (1.78), their low chance conversion (4%) and poor away form favor the hosts. Considering Wellington's advantage on their own turf and the visitors' efficiency issues, I bet on a home victory, though the match may be competitive.
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Wellington Phoenix played against Melbourne Victory FC in A-League (Australia). The game was played on February 6, 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Recent form
Wellington Phoenix has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.60 points per game. Melbourne Victory FC has 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses, with 1.20 points per game.
Scoring records
Wellington Phoenix scores 1.60 goals per game and allows 1.87. Melbourne Victory FC scores 1.33 and allows 1.27. Games in this league average 2.76 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 80% of Wellington Phoenix's games and 33% of Melbourne Victory FC's. The Over 2.5 rates are 80% and 47%, compared with league averages of 54% for BTTS and 54% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Melbourne Victory FC has the higher season xG average, 1.86 to 1.50 per game. Wellington Phoenix takes 13.2 shots per game, while Melbourne Victory FC takes 17.3.
First-half and second-half trends
Wellington Phoenix leads at halftime in 33% of its games and scores 1.00 goals per game after halftime. Melbourne Victory FC leads at halftime in 20% and scores 0.93 after halftime.
When the teams score
Wellington Phoenix's most productive scoring window is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). For Melbourne Victory FC, it is minutes 46-60 (7 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
A-League games average 2.76 goals. Both teams score in 54% of games, and 54% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
Before this game, one previous meeting was available. The record was 0 home wins, 0 draws and 1 away win. Those games averaged 6.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Wellington Phoenix presents solid home form with a goal difference of 0 at their own stadium and a 38% win rate at home. The hosts score an average of 1.63 goals per match in home games, which, given their good xG rate (1.63), suggests efficiency in attack. Melbourne Victory FC has very poor results away – just 25% wins, a substantial 63% losses, and a negative goal difference (-6). The visitors struggle with scoring goals on the road (averaging 0.75 per match), and 50% of their matches end without a goal scored. Although Melbourne Victory has a higher average xG away (1.78), their low chance conversion (4%) and poor away form favor the hosts. Considering Wellington's advantage on their own turf and the visitors' efficiency issues, I bet on a home victory, though the match may be competitive.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Wellington Phoenix | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Wellington Phoenix is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / game - Wellington Phoenix · 1.2 pts / game - Melbourne Victory FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wellington Phoenix is 20% better for: goals scored per game.
1.6 goals / game - Wellington Phoenix · 1.33 goals / game - Melbourne Victory FC
Melbourne Victory FC is 47% better for: goals allowed per game.
1.87 goals / game - Wellington Phoenix · 1.27 goals / game - Melbourne Victory FC
Wellington Phoenix scores in 93% of games (14 of 15 meczów), while Melbourne Victory FC keeps a clean sheet in 33% (5 of 15 meczów).
Melbourne Victory FC scores in 53% of games (8 of 15 meczów), while Wellington Phoenix keeps a clean sheet in 13% (2 of 15 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Wellington Phoenix
Over / Under - Melbourne Victory FC
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wellington Phoenix is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / game - Wellington Phoenix · 1 pts / game - Melbourne Victory FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Wellington Phoenix - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 33% of games and wins 33%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Allows 0.3 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Melbourne Victory FC - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 20% of games and wins 40%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.
Defense stays consistent across the full game.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals per game | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Wellington Phoenix | Liga | Melbourne Victory FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | ▲ 3.47 | 2.76 | ▼ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 80% | 54% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 80% | 54% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 13% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 93% | 75% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Record from Wellington Phoenix's perspective: 0 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss against Melbourne Victory FC. Games average 6.00 goals, and both teams scored in 100% of them.
FAQ
What was the result of Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC?
The A-League match finished Wellington Phoenix 2:3 Melbourne Victory FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC?
Wellington Phoenix score 1.60 goals per game on average and Melbourne Victory FC 1.33. The A-League average is 2.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 80% of Wellington Phoenix's matches and 33% of Melbourne Victory FC's.
What form are Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory FC in?
Over the last 5 games Wellington Phoenix have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Melbourne Victory FC 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.