Ethiopia - Ethiopia Premier LeagueData current as of September 07, 2026

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema: match statistics

120%(0.00)
X35%(0.00)
245%(0.00)

Adama Kenema significantly outperforms the hosts in terms of form and statistics. Welwalo Adigrat Uni sits in last place (19th) in the table with a mere 13% home win rate and a disastrous -9 goal difference in home matches. The hosts failed to score in 63% of their home fixtures, confirming massive offensive struggles. Sitting in 7th place, Adama Kenema displays a solid away defense (67% clean sheets, averaging 0.5 goals conceded) along with better scoring efficiency. The visitors also hold the advantage in ball possession (65% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion. Recent form for both teams (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) further favors the visitors, who should win or at least draw this encounter.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics

Game details

Welwalo Adigrat Uni played against Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on January 8, 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Recent form

Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss over its last five games, averaging 1.20 points per game. Adama Kenema has 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, with 1.60 points per game.

Scoring records

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.50 goals per game and allows 1.29. Adama Kenema scores 0.62 and allows 0.46. Games in this league average 1.76 goals.

BTTS and goal totals

Both teams score in 36% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's games and 23% of Adama Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 29% and 15%, compared with league averages of 43% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.

xG and shots

Adama Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.05 to 1.01 per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.3 shots per game, while Adama Kenema takes 6.5.

First-half and second-half trends

Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 14% of its games and scores 0.21 goals per game after halftime. Adama Kenema leads at halftime in 15% and scores 0.38 after halftime.

When the teams score

Welwalo Adigrat Uni's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (2 goals). For Adama Kenema, it is minutes 76-90+ (4 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.

League scoring profile

Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.76 goals. Both teams score in 43% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.

Head-to-head record

There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Adama Kenema significantly outperforms the hosts in terms of form and statistics. Welwalo Adigrat Uni sits in last place (19th) in the table with a mere 13% home win rate and a disastrous -9 goal difference in home matches. The hosts failed to score in 63% of their home fixtures, confirming massive offensive struggles. Sitting in 7th place, Adama Kenema displays a solid away defense (67% clean sheets, averaging 0.5 goals conceded) along with better scoring efficiency. The visitors also hold the advantage in ball possession (65% vs 46%) and higher shot conversion. Recent form for both teams (1.6 PPG vs 1.2 PPG) further favors the visitors, who should win or at least draw this encounter.

View the statistical overview

Stats by half

1 : 0
First half
0 : 1
Second half

Game stats

40Possession (%)60
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
5Shots6
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
3Shots on target2
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.14xG1.13
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
6Corners3
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
84Dangerous attacks83
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
22Fouls19
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0Cards0
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Pre-game profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.

Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.5Goals scored / game0.62
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.29Goals allowed / game0.46
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
45%Average possession53%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
2Shots on target / game2.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Team statswho is more efficient?

Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.

5.29Shots per game6.46
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
2Shots on target2.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
9.5%Shot conversion9.5%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
45%Possession53%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.01xG for1.05
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.07xG against0.95
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Shooting quality

Welwalo Adigrat Uni: BalancedAdama Kenema: Balanced
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
Accuracy (shots on target)38%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.190.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.

Adama Kenema is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.6 pts / game - Adama Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
WDLDD
Season result split
14% W29% R57% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-8
0.71 pts / game · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / game
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-2-5
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LLWDD
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 0.79Opponent xG: 1.00BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Adama Kenema
WDLWD
Season result split
38% W46% R15% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-6-2
1.62 pts / game · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / game
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Last 5 away
2-2-1
WLDDW
Last 5 games - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.02Opponent xG: 1.07BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Adama Kenema is 24% better for: goals scored per game.

0.5 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.62 goals / game - Adama Kenema

Adama Kenema is 180% better for: goals allowed per game.

1.29 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.46 goals / game - Adama Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scoring profile: more difficult

Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 43% of games (6 of 14 meczów), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 77% (10 of 13 meczów).

Adama Kenema scoring profile: strong

Adama Kenema scores in 62% of games (8 of 13 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 meczów).

7Goals scored (season)8
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
18Goals conceded (season)6
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
1.79Average goals per game1.08
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
3Goals scored (last 5)4
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
3Goals conceded (last 5)4
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

How often they score at least...

43%1 goal62%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
7%2 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%3 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal23%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
43%2 goals15%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
7%3 goals8%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
7%4 goals0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.

36%
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 14 meczów
43%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time8%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%Scored in both halves0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS15%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
40%BTTS - last 540%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these games cross the goal lines?

See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.

1st half

57%Min. 1 goal before half-time31%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

2nd half

43%Min. 1 goal after half-time38%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time15%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
7%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Game halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Adama Kenema is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 1.23 pts / game - Adama Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing
Adama Kenema - half-time state
15% leading77% draw8% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per game (1st half)1.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.79Average goals (1st half)0.46
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
57%Clean sheet before half-time85%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
71%No goal before half-time77%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per game (2nd half)1.38
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.21Goals scored (2nd half)0.38
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.64Goals conceded (2nd half)0.23
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
0.86Average goals (2nd half)0.62
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
64%Clean sheet after half-time85%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema
86%No goal after half-time62%
Welwalo Adigrat UniAdama Kenema

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results

7% W64% R29% P
14
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at halftime in 14% of games and wins 14%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime+0.1

Allows 0.1 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.

Adama Kenema - second-half results

23% W69% R8% P
16
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
18
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.23
PPG before half-time
Lead holding253%

Leads at halftime in 15% of games and wins 38%. Also wins some games without leading at halftime.

Defense after halftime0.0

Defense stays consistent across the full game.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game0.601.40
Goals scored / game0.20.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.0
Average goals per game0.80.4
1 goal60%20%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%100%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Adama Kenema - last 5 games by half
1st half2nd half
Points per game1.201.40
Goals scored / game0.40.4
Goals allowed / game0.60.2
Average goals per game1.00.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.

Welwalo Adigrat Uni
ScoredConceded
0
6
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
2
46-60
1
6
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Adama Kenema
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
2
16-30
0
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.

Game profile

1.44
Estimated goals
attack vs. opponent defense
0.5 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
82%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
27%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs. defense for both teams

Welwalo Adigrat Uni

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.73
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
145%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
+0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Adama Kenema

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.10
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.43
Defensive efficiency
Does the defense or goalkeeper outperform the chances allowed? A positive value means the team allows fewer goals than its xGA suggests.
+0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defense vs. league
Goals allowed compared with the league average. An 80% score means 20% fewer goals allowed.
53%
Form trend
Compares points from the last five games with the full-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Welwalo Adigrat UniLigaAdama Kenema
Average goals per game 1.791.76 1.08
Both teams scored 36%43% 23%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%27% 15%
Clean sheets 29%38% 77%
Goal before half-time 57%59% 31%
Goal after half-time 43%57% 38%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.76
Average goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
0.87
Home goals / game
0.89
Away goals / game
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defensive advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
57%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

Biniam Ayten⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Adama KenemaGoalBiniam Ayten

FAQ

What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:1 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema?

Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.50 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.62. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 23% of Adama Kenema's.

What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Adama Kenema in?

Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Adama Kenema 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Adama Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.