Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema: match statistics
This match promises to be a closely-fought encounter between the two weakest teams in the league, occupying the bottom spots in the table. Welwalo Adigrat Uni holds a marginal advantage as the home side with a 10% home win rate, but their home form is dismal, having suffered five consecutive defeats at the start of the season. Arba Minch Kenema have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), yet a significant 56% of their away games end in a draw, which points to a defensive mindset. The recent form of both sides is dismal – the hosts have drawn four of their last five matches, while the visitors have lost three of their last five outings. Given both teams' low scoring efficiency (0.5 vs 0.44 goals per game) and the visitors' high draw percentage, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Game details
Welwalo Adigrat Uni played against Arba Minch Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The game was played on February 1, 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Recent form
Welwalo Adigrat Uni has 1 win, 4 draws and 0 losses over its last five games, averaging 1.40 points per game. Arba Minch Kenema has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with 0.40 points per game.
Scoring records
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.61 goals per game and allows 1.17. Arba Minch Kenema scores 0.41 and allows 1.18. Games in this league average 1.71 goals.
BTTS and goal totals
Both teams score in 44% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's games and 35% of Arba Minch Kenema's. The Over 2.5 rates are 28% and 18%, compared with league averages of 41% for BTTS and 27% for Over 2.5.
xG and shots
Arba Minch Kenema has the higher season xG average, 1.06 to 1.01 per game. Welwalo Adigrat Uni takes 5.6 shots per game, while Arba Minch Kenema takes 5.9.
First-half and second-half trends
Welwalo Adigrat Uni leads at halftime in 22% of its games and scores 0.22 goals per game after halftime. Arba Minch Kenema leads at halftime in 12% and scores 0.18 after halftime.
When the teams score
Welwalo Adigrat Uni's most productive scoring window is minutes 16-30 (4 goals). For Arba Minch Kenema, it is minutes 0-15 (2 goals). These are past scoring patterns, not predicted goal times.
League scoring profile
Ethiopia Premier League games average 1.71 goals. Both teams score in 41% of games, and 27% finish with at least three goals.
Head-to-head record
There is not enough head-to-head history for a meaningful comparison.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
This match promises to be a closely-fought encounter between the two weakest teams in the league, occupying the bottom spots in the table. Welwalo Adigrat Uni holds a marginal advantage as the home side with a 10% home win rate, but their home form is dismal, having suffered five consecutive defeats at the start of the season. Arba Minch Kenema have not won any away match this season (0% Win%), yet a significant 56% of their away games end in a draw, which points to a defensive mindset. The recent form of both sides is dismal – the hosts have drawn four of their last five matches, while the visitors have lost three of their last five outings. Given both teams' low scoring efficiency (0.5 vs 0.44 goals per game) and the visitors' high draw percentage, the most probable outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewStats by half
Game stats
Pre-game profile— what do the season numbers say?
This team profile combines season stats and recent form. In-game statistics appear after the final whistle.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Compare both teams' attacking and defensive records this season.
Shooting quality
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five games and season record, overall, at home and away.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.4 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 49% better for: goals scored per game.
0.61 goals / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.41 goals / game - Arba Minch Kenema
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 50% of games (9 of 18 meczów), while Arba Minch Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 meczów).
Arba Minch Kenema scores in 35% of games (6 of 17 meczów), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 meczów).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away games this season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often games involving these teams produce goals at both ends, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these games cross the goal lines?
See how often games involving these teams clear each goal line, for the full game and each half.
Full game - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Over / Under - Arba Minch Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Game halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.22 pts / game - Welwalo Adigrat Uni · 0.88 pts / game - Arba Minch Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 22% of games and wins 17%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
Arba Minch Kenema - second-half results
Leads at halftime in 12% of games and wins 0%. Sometimes gives up a halftime lead.
Allows 0.2 more goals per game after halftime, a sign that the defense becomes less effective later in games.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per game | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / game | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals allowed / game | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals per game | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Table colors show frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate and red is rare. They are not team ratings.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
The parts of a game in which both teams score and allow the most goals.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends from completed games this season.
Game profile
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Arba Minch Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range use public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical game profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed games from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Welwalo Adigrat Uni | Liga | Arba Minch Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals per game | • 1.78 | 1.71 | ▼ 1.59 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▼ 35% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 28% | 27% | ▼ 18% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 41% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 54% | • 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Welwalo Adigrat UniGoalFirew Solomon Ayele
FAQ
What was the result of Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Welwalo Adigrat Uni 1:2 Arba Minch Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Welwalo Adigrat Uni score 0.61 goals per game on average and Arba Minch Kenema 0.41. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's matches and 35% of Arba Minch Kenema's.
What form are Welwalo Adigrat Uni and Arba Minch Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Welwalo Adigrat Uni have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Arba Minch Kenema 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Arba Minch Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.